After half a century, the "abortion right" flip the United States to the watershed of "conservative"?｜ Slowly · Observation

Direct news dialogue: Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University

The U.S. Supreme Court overthrowing the uproar caused by the 1973 "Roman Case", which continued to spread across the United States. However, radical protests did not prevent at least 13 states that prohibit abortion. According to the anti -abortion method in Texas, abolition will not be prosecuted, but doctors who perform illegal abortion may face life imprisonment. Why does the "abortion right" become a highly sensitive and inexhaustible issue in the United States? Will the social division of the United States really lead to the "Second Civil War"? What is the essence of this controversial opposition to the United States?

A Gallop poll in March this year shows that 58%of Americans tend to maintain the "Robe Case" (also known as the "Roy Case"). 32%. In other words, in the context of no civil urgency, nine judges of the US Supreme Court have overturned the precedent of the judgment that standing for nearly half a century. What does this mean?

A UN Secretary -General spokesman Diaryk said that the United Nations has repeatedly reiterated that reproductive rights are an important part of women's rights and a principle of human rights safeguarded by international agreements. Why does the United States sing against the world's mainstream on issues such as "abortion right"? Will the United States more conservative in the future? What impact will this have on the world and Sino -US relations?

Regarding these questions, Direct News interviewed Wang Hao, an associate professor at the American Research Center of Fudan University. He analyzed that the "Robe's Vehicle Case" was overthrown, which means that the United States has taken a big step forward, and this transformation in the United States has also had an impact on China. Wang Hao believes that observing the competition between China and the United States in the future, do not depend on how the two parties are competing for diplomacy, it depends on who can solve the problem of domestic development through the internal reform of the two countries. This is the core factor that determines the results of the competition between China and the United States in the future.

Core referral

1. The essence of the controversy of "abortion right" is a conservative and liberal dispute between American society and the people. White people are initiating an offensive to prevent the United States from being "discolored."

2. Behind the controversy of the "abortion right" is the two parties fighting for party disputes and pulling votes.

3. The possibility of "civil war" is therefore the possibility of "civil war".

4. The controversy of the "abortion right" shows that the judges of the US Supreme Court lost "independence" and "professionalism" and transformed into a loyalty of party values.

5. The "abortion right" is overthrown, and Trump ’s meritorious work is the key to his reunion, which is the result of the mid -term election this year.

6. The dispute between abortion rights is one of the "main battlefields" of the American Cultural War. Other issues such as ethnic equality, gender equality, gun control, immigration and drug control, etc., will continue to cause conflicts.

7. The two -party policy of the United States "turning the cake", the opposition and social division of the party are leading the United States to lose the motivation of deep reform.

8. With an important symbol of "abortion right", the United States "comprehensive conservative" cannot be avoided. This is a strong return of the historical pendulum, and its duration will be counted for decades.

On June 24, the abortion supporters protested outside the Federal Supreme Court in Washington, the capital of the United States. (Xinhua News Agency)

Selected interview

1. The "abortion right" controversy sweeps the United States and the United States is facing "division"?

Direct news Wanxia: Why does the "abortion right" become a highly sensitive and incomparable issue in the United States? What is the essence of this controversy in the United States?

Wang Hao, an associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: On June 24, the US Supreme Court decided to overthrow the "Luo Veter Case". The case was adopted in 1973 to protect women's "abortion rights". After overthrowing the bill, large -scale parade protest demonstrations broke out across the United States. Similar scenes, everyone should be familiar with, including the "Freud Incident" in the previous two years, and parade demonstrations caused by racism or racial conflicts earlier.

The conflict between the United States and so on. The contradictions between people of different ethnic groups or different values ​​are always occurring. This reflects that the United States as a very diverse immigrant country. There are also very diverse people. These people have different views and claims on the issues of almost all major economic and social fields.

For example, the issue of "abortion right", which supports women who have "abortion rights", are mainly "liberals" in the United States. What kind of people are "liberals"? They particularly value each individual's "the right to choose." However, as a cube, there are another group of people called "conservatives" in the United States. Their main point of view believes that the individual rights claimed by "liberals" are problems. As an individual, the principles pursued in life should be a series of lifestyles, even "retro", and should not emphasize "personal color" and "excessive freedom".

Many "conservatives" believe that supporting women's abortion is actually stifling the right to life. They believe that once you are pregnant, the fetus in the body is already a life. If a woman is allowed to abandon, it is equivalent to killing a life. From the beginning of the founding of the United States, its "Declaration of Independence" said that "the right to life is irreplaceable." So far, around this issue, in fact, the United States has not reached a consensus, basically half pairs and half, which reflects the division and opposition of American society, and even some people use the word "tear". 2. Conservatives and liberals "water and fire cannot tolerate" party struggle is an important promoter!

Direct news Wanxia: Why protect the fetus of the fetus and the human rights of women, will it become a contradiction in the United States?

Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: In fact, it should not be a contradiction between the two. The most important reason is that at present, especially in recent decades, domestic politics in the United States One feature is the "polarization" of the height of democracy and republics. "Polarization" refers to the two parties and the supporters behind them, which becomes more and more difficult to tolerate the existence of each other. Therefore, the current "abortion right" has also become a tool for party games or party struggles.

In recent years, the phenomenon of frequent occurrences in the United States in recent years, such as "the government closes," is actually the product of the party's struggle. In the past few years, the United States will be posted on political labels around the United States "whether to wear masks" and "whether vaccine". For example, if you advocate wearing masks and vaccines, that is, the Democrats, that is, the left, otherwise it will be regarded as supporting the Republican Party, that is, "conservatives" and right. The United States today is a highly political and ideological country. Such a situation is very unfavorable to solve the actual problems.

▲ On May 3, 2022, local time, New York, USA, local people gathered in demonstrations, calling for the protection of women's right to abandon abortion.

3. Anti -tuning with the world's mainstream? Biden: The United States has retreated for 150 years

Zhixia: The United Nations Human Rights College also criticized this incident and believes that rejection of "abortion right" is a major blow to women's human rights and gender equality. In the United States in the United States, the leaders of the three countries have rarely expressed their dissatisfaction with the resolution. Is the United States' resolutions on the issue of "abortion right", is it the mainstream singing with the world?

Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: I agree with what you just said. It has indeed gone through the progress of human civilization in the past few decades, and even for several centuries of human civilization, including the problem of allowing women to abortion. Many "individual rights rights "The problem, it is a product of the progress of human society, and the result of the long -term" civil rights movement "in the West, especially the United States, in fact, it has reached consensus in western society.

However, in recent years we have seen that since the United States is in power, a very obvious "conservative" wave has appeared in China, that is to say, the development direction of the United States has suddenly reversed. The progress formed in the past few decades and the development direction of "liberalism" has been gone back.

The "Luo Jie Wade" is a very famous achievement in the "civil rights movement" in the United States in the last century. Then this time the bill was overthrown, which means that the United States retreats to half a century ago. Even in Biden's statement, it retreated for 150 years. But if combined with domestic politics, it is precisely the Republican Party's use of this incident to mobilize the "conservative" voters to perform a performance and mobilization performance for the upcoming mid -term elections, and even the 2024 election. In fact, in fact, in fact, in fact, in fact, in fact, in fact, in fact It is precisely a trend of domestic politics in the United States.

4. "White's counterattack" in the United States conservative forces return tide

Straight News Wanxia: Texas also has a very extreme "Heartbeat Act". It is believed that once the fetus has a heartbeat, it is identified as a human right, so at this time, you cannot abandon. The abortion doctor must be sentenced to 199 years in prison, which is longer than the prisoner of the murderer. Where did this concept come from?

Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: This problem is very important. It has involved a fundamental "value concept" contradiction in the process of evolution in the past 200 years since history. As far as the Texas "conservatives" you just mentioned, in fact, what reflects the original and deep -rooted concept of the United States since the establishment of the United States, in fact, it is a religious concept. The core of concept is the respect for life rights.

However, in recent decades, for example, the "abortion right" that women who have won through the "civil rights movement" reflect a secular concept, emphasizing the rights of people as a living individual. In fact, these two concepts in the United States have always been in the process of collision, contest and game. In the past few decades, we have found that in the field of social and cultural, worldly concepts have defeated the concept of religion, which can be traced back to the "new policy of Roosevelt", including the "civil rights movement" in the 1960s.

Straight News Wanxia: Yes, a "sex liberation" movement also appeared at the time. On the one hand, it can be "sexual and open", and on the one hand, it is so conservative on the issue of abortion, and many people feel uncomfortable. In fact, American society is completely two society, in a state of division. Is it "conservative" now? Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: The phenomenon you just talked about was described as "two America" ​​by scholars studying American society. It is difficult to say that the United States is a uniform and highly consensus country inside. On the contrary, it is almost divided into two "two America". The two ideas that are completely opposed to value are dominated by the corresponding crowd. One is a highly religious, very conservative "Red American" to support the Republican Party, and the other highly secluded Democratic Party, the so -called "blue American". Therefore, there are "Red State" and "Blue State" in the United States. Highly opposition and division are the reality of the United States.

On April 29, 1989, the party of the "Robe's Case", Noma McCowevi (pseudonym in the case of the case), met with his young daughter and granddaughter for many years.

5. The "pendulum effect" of American history Trump is the "logo" to the right

Straight News Wanxia: From the "Roosevelt New Deal" to the 1970s, the United States has been in the direction of "liberals", and now it has begun to return to the tide. What is the reason behind it?

Wang Hao, an associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: The history of the United States is very interesting. In the historical process of the country for more than 200 years, it has basically carried out a pendulum cycle in both ends of "freedom" and "conservative". At the beginning, the United States was a very conservative country. At the beginning of the country, it was based on white Christianity, especially the "new religion" ethics and principles. This culture dominates the development of American society and is also known as the "Anglo-Saxon New Education Culture", representing the more conservative ideology of the US economy and social fields.

Specifically reflected in the economy, the government must take care of less and advocate the "free market"; in the field of society and culture, it advocates that white people as the main body and Christian faith as the soul to build such a country. From the beginning of the founding of the People's Republic of China to more than 100 years before the "Roosevelt New Deal", the direction of dominating the country is such a kind of thought. However, after the "Roosevelt New Deal", the country's development direction changed. Because there have been many problems with the "conservative" path, for example, in terms of economy, if the government does not care about anything, the market does not eventually cause the financial crisis without control.

In addition, the Great Depression caused by the social level has occurred very seriously from the rich and the poor, class contradictions, and racial contradictions. There are also racial contradictions. The people at the bottom of the people have a difficult life and their abdomen. Therefore, the Great Depression has promoted the country's transition, as Roosevelt said: our government must make a difference, to allow ordinary people to avoid hunger, poverty, and so on. Later, the "liberalism" represented by the Democratic Party, in terms of economics, advocates that the Great Government must control the development of the economy, build a welfare country, and ensure the most basic life. Began to pursue racial equality in the social and cultural fields, and it is no longer possible to make a white man like the past.

The United States is an immigration country. After more than 100 years of development, more and more foreign immigrants from all over the world have entered. Therefore, after the "Roosevelt New Deal", in the field of social and cultural, the "multiculturalism" in the United States began to flourish, and slowly formed a huge challenge to the "Anglo-Saxon New Education Culture". Later, the "civil rights movement" increasingly developed in the direction of advocating race equality, gender equality, and advocating "individual diversification" and "individual freedom". Essence

When Trump was in power in the past two years, we often heard a word called "political correctness", that is, we cannot discriminate against blacks.

When I met a black man on the road, he couldn't call him "Black People". This is impolite. It can only be called "African American", which is "African -American". The United States has formed a kind of "political correctness" that respects ethnic minorities or respect for vulnerable groups. This trend lasted about half a century. And when Trump was in power, the white people had a strong counterattack. They felt that ethnic minorities and disadvantaged groups were too much. From the heart, they were discriminated against these people. What I couldn't say in the past, all said it, which set off a conservative wave of conservatives. In the past two years, we often hear the so -called "white supremacy", which is actually a "racism".

6, "abortion right" is just the first bone card

Straight news Wanxia: After the "abortion right" battle, will there be other problems?

Wang Hao, an associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: I think that with the controversy or political struggle around the "abortion right", it may mean that the "conservativeism" in the field of social and cultural fields may come back. For decades.

And this time the "abortion right" problem is just the beginning, there are many later, such as "legalization of same -sex marriage". In 2015, the Supreme Court of the United States passed the "Legalization of same -sex marriage", so next, "conservatives" are likely to use this problem to make articles, maybe like overthrowing the "abortion right", and "legalization of same -sex marriage" also overturned. Essence "Conservatives" are pushing back American society step by step, just like Domino cards, the "abortion right" may only be the first bone card, and there will be a successive effect later. Trump's decision to decide on the abortion right of the Supreme Court of the United States, because he appointed three conservative judges within his tenure.

7. It is impossible to avoid being influenced by the Supreme Court's "comprehensive conservative"

Straight News Wanxia: Former US President Trump once said proudly, "This victory is thanks to me." He did not brag, and he really nominated the three "conservatives" judges at the time of office, which changed the pattern of the Supreme Court. According to the 6: 3 voting ratio, there are 6 "conservative" judges, while the Democratic Party "Liberal" judges have only 3 votes. In this way, has the Supreme Court gradually lost the so -called "independence" and "professional", and began to become the executor of the American party values?

Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: According to the traditional point of view and understanding, the spirit of the American Constitution and the "separation of three powers" are an important guarantee for ensuring American democracy. Among the "three powers", the Supreme Court of "judicial power" should be an objective and neutral institution from independence or transcendence from the competition between the two parties. However, due to these years, the "political polarization" in the United States has intensified, and the intensity of the party's struggle has become stronger and stronger, and the Supreme Court will inevitably be affected.

Coincidentally, during his tenure, Trump recorded the three Supreme Court Justice. The judge of the Supreme Court constituted nine people, and his office was made of life. Trump is very lucky. During the four years in his tenure, the three judges have died one after another, and because they are too old to propose retirement, he has the opportunity to appoint three very conservative judges. They all laid a foreshadowing for the emergence of the "abortion right" incident, so Trump said that "due to him" was caused by cause.

Such a result made the Democratic Party very lost, and they also made a sound and proposed to find a way to reform the Supreme Court system, but the difficulty was very difficult because it involved amendments to the US Constitution. Only the two -thirds of the Congress House can be implemented at the same time, and now the Democratic Party cannot reach two -thirds of the majority in the House of Representatives, so this idea is actually very unrealistic. In this sense, the Supreme Court Justice has formed the absolute advantage of six to three "conservatives", which further confirms that one of the views we just talked about is that the "comprehensive conservative" trend of American society may be unavoidable. of.

8. Supreme Court and Justice gradually abandon "judicial independence"

Straight News Wanxia: The original intention of setting the Supreme Court and the Justice is to "judicial independence". Why did they abandon the original principles today and instead represent the conservative forces? Is it because the judge system lacks supervision?

Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: I think the lack of supervision is not the most important reason. The reason is the constitutional system rooted in the United States. It has existed for more than two hundred years, and in fact, it has deep -rooted defects. What is the most essential point? Because the US constitution was formed more than two hundred years ago, only a few hundred words were formed, and there was a problem to manage the country according to such a simple constitution: that is, in the process of daily life, political operation and social management, how to do how to do how to do how to do it. Interpret the spirit of the Constitution? How to rulks in accordance with the Constitution?

There is a very large space here, how to interpret it. And this responsibility falls on the Supreme Court Justice, because one of the responsibilities of the Supreme Court is to "explain the Constitution." Since the US constitution is very blurred, how should we interpret the Constitution? It depends on the values ​​preferences of the Supreme Court Justice. For example, should it support women's "abortion rights" to maintain personal freedom advocated by the Constitution? Or should we support the "prohibition of abortion" to maintain the right to life claimed by the Constitution? There are great controversy on these issues. Which right is more priority? The leftover documents of the American Constitution were left to many controversy to future generations, which led to different explanations. Naturally, everyone thinks that because of different or specific values ​​preferences, the judges have different interpretations, and slowly forming the marks of party struggle.

Straight news Wanxia: We Chinese have an idiom called "engraving for sword". The era is progressing, why is the US constitution still staying in the original place, and is still using conservative "principleism" to implement the so -called "original constitutional spirit"?

Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: Yes, in addition to abortion, there is a issue that Volkswagen is very concerned recently, which is the control of guns. The second amendment to the US Constitution gives people the right to wear guns. At that time, the United States really needed guns to go out because the environment was sinister. But now the United States has already become a highly developed country, and still has no way to ban guns in accordance with the provisions of more than 200 years ago. In fact, as you said, it is "engraving to see a sword."

(The current Supreme Court of the United States)

9. Is a more conservative American or a blessing to China or China?

Straight News Wanxia: The United States is more conservative. Will this have some impact on the world, including some impact on Sino -US relations? Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: First of all, the trend of conservatives in the United States should be the trend of the future and long term. We must have a sober understanding of this. I think that the more decisive factor is that in recent decades, the population structure of the American population is very fundamental, that is, the proportion of ethnic minorities and migrants has become higher and higher, and the proportion of white American population has continued to decline. According to the 2020 census data, the proportion of white population in the entire country has fallen to 60%, compared with about 80%30 years ago. At this speed, the population predicts that in the next two decades, for up to 30 years, the proportion of white people will fall below 50%of the warning line for the first time, becoming a minority.

Why does Trump have such a big political market in the United States? In fact, it is also because of the increase in the proportion of minorities to ethnic minorities, and their own population advantage has declined. They are worried that their country will "change color", and the traditional white -dominant position, including Christian culture and white lifestyle, will be replaced by "multiculturalism". Therefore, they believe that if you do n’t stand up and fight against each other, there will be no chance in the future. This "abortion right" problem is actually the offensive initiated by white people, which is an impact on the domestic level.

In diplomacy, the most direct impact is that this "conservative" will make the United States no longer plays the role of "leading country" and "world police". On the contrary, it will become more and more like other big big big big. Like most countries, pursuing their own interests, and no longer excessive interference in overseas interference. For example, after Trump's ruling, he proposed a concept called "U.S. Priority", who only cares about some specific and realistic interests in the United States. Why should he "retreat"? The United States has withdrawn from many international organizations and multilateral agreements. He believes that the cost of the United States has taken over the responsibilities of these leadership in the past.

This difference also has a very clear impact on the US policy on the United States. I remember that during Trump's ruling period, even his team had a voice inside: saying that if China can abandon US Treasury bonds, they can agree that when China recovers Taiwan, the United States will not interfere with different interference. It can make such a transaction, which is a very realistic thinking, which is actually good for China.

In addition, I think this change is good for China. In the past period, we mentioned the "Belt and Road" initiative and proposed to build a community of human destiny. Why can we have such a great impact internationally? The important external reason is that the United States wants to withdraw from the international system, which gives China a greater space to play a more important role in diplomacy. This change has a lot of impact and great impact on China.

10. White people initiate offensive prevention to prevent the United States from "discolored" the United States wants to fight the "civil war"?

Straight News Wanxia: The confrontation between the conservatives and liberals in the United States is getting worse. We all know that the United States has played a Civil War. Is increasingly fierce opposition, will the civil war cause again?

Wang Hao, an associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: Indeed, some people condense the four words of various opposite phenomena in the United States in the United States. Comparative, some people have described this as the "Second Civil War" of the United States. However, I think the so -called "second civil war" is definitely not the same as the form and performance of the first civil war. The "Second Civil War" will not have a military conflict like the last civil war. It is more about the contradiction between each other through political means and principles to solve the contradiction between each other through political means and methods.

Of course, this is difficult, so many people think that there may be no way to fundamentally solve it in this way, and in the end, it is still necessary to solve it by war. If it really goes to war, it is very dangerous for the United States, because the Second Civil War is not like the first civil war, which means that the country's unity is once again, and it is likely to mean the division of the country, and it is true The split. In fact, we see that American politics now has a very simple phenomenon, that is, the more extreme politicians, the easier it is to mobilize supporters, the easier it is to win in the election, just like Trump.

11. Trump re -out of the mountain? After the election of this year

Straight News Wanxia: What do you think of the US election in 2024?

Wang Hao, an associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: For the election in 2024, my judgment is that Trump must be intended to re -leave the mountain now. But there is a premise that he wants to look at the results of this year's midterm election. In November this year, the upcoming mid -term elections of the parliament. If the Republican Party can win a lot, Trump will probably have a comeback in 2024. Because at the level of Congress elections, among all Republican members who need to be changed this year, Twenty -nine candidates are endorsing Trump.

Another question is, would Bayeng meet for re -election? Bynden had previously stated that he was going to be re -elected. But in recent days, many voices against him in the country, especially the Democratic Party.

First of all, the most objective is his age and health issues. Can he support him to continue his election? Secondly, Biden's series of governance claims can no longer adapt to the current US political environment. The way of pursuing the middle road and wanting to unite, it is no longer adapted to the political environment that the United States is currently divided and opposed. Therefore, the Democratic Party has its own plans. If you want to defeat extreme politicians like Trump, is it necessary to select a candidate to go to another extreme in the Democratic Party? For example, people like Sanders. Once such a scene becomes reality, we can imagine that American politics will be in a more extreme division.

12. People "vote" in the United States "Red State" and "Blue State" in the United States are clear?

Straight news Wanxia: After the "Luo Jeremy Vedic case" was overthrown, at least half of the states were restricting abortion. Assuming that the public encounters such a situation, will she "vote with her feet" and live in another state? Will it slowly "Red State" and live in conservative people.

Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: Yes, in fact, in the process of development in recent years, the trend has been very obvious. The domestic "swing state" is getting less and less, the typical "Lanzhou" and The "Red State" pattern is becoming more and more solidified, and this phenomenon is also a reason for the confrontation and polarization of the United States now. So in the future, will the dispute around the "abortion right" exacerbate this situation? I think it will be possible to a certain extent, but don't exaggerate its impact too much.

For most rich groups, the cost of abortion is very high, and it needs to be under great pressure. I recently watched some news and analysis. For example, if the driver promised to go to the abortion to the abortion in Waizhou to take a car driven by himself, he might be punished. So not only economic pressure, but also the pressure of society, so I think this trend will not become a trend. After all, for many people, leaving a native place to adapt to the new environment is not easy.

In addition, some extreme conservatives in the Republican Party are thinking about their second step. They want to promote the Supreme Court to pass a new jurisprudence- "prohibiting abortion". In this case, not only the "abortion right" is not protected by the Constitution, but it also stipulates that no abortion can be abandoned in all states. As the US conservative trend is becoming more and more obvious in the future, will this absurd thing happen? It is worth observing.

13. Policy "turning the cake" in the United States has lost the motivation to deep reform!

Direct news Wanxia: Recently, a news occurred. A large number of remains found in a truck in Texas in the United States. At least 46 people died. According to the judgment, all of them were immigrants. The other 16 people had been taken to the hospital. Because the US immigration policy has been swaying: Trump continues to "repair the wall" to stop immigrants, and Biden said that he can accept immigrants. Policies' "conservatives" and "liberals" have repeatedly swaying, which has also caused similar tragedies?

Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: Indeed, the issue of immigration is also the focus of the current struggle between the two parties. It reflects the opposition of two ideology and values: Trump's "anti -immigrant" and "repair wall" are actually A kind of resistance of white people is to limit the impact of foreign immigrants on the country and declare that "this country is white, not immigrants."

Contrary to this concept, Biden also has Democrats, advocating a diverse, free and open concept, and advocating to accept immigrants. Therefore, in terms of immigration policy, with the change of the government, the "flip -breaked" is repeated. We often see such a phenomenon. If the next government is another party, we will push all the previous government's policies to re -enter the stage. Such a cycle is of course very harmful to the development of the country.

14. Adjustment of "American view" is conducive to better construction of China

Zhixia: Thank you very much for sharing the underlying logic of many problems. For example, what is the essence of this controversy that swept the United States? The teacher played a particularly good example: the pendulum, the entire United States from the "left" after the "Roseford's New Deal", and now it has become "right" after Trump. For decades, this is a very inspiring point I heard today.

Wang Hao, associate professor of the American Research Center of Fudan University: I think that by observing many things that have occurred in the United States in recent years, our "American view" must make a adjustment.

First of all, we cannot treat the United States as a "iron plate", which is very diverse inside. To this day, "diversification" has triggered internal extreme opposition and even division. So when you talk about the United States in the future, you must think of specific problems and specific groups, instead of treating it as a whole. I think this is an inspiration.

The second inspiration is that when the United States has come to this day, can it be used to solve problems and cope with the crisis through internal negotiation and reform compromise in history, so that the country has embarked on a successful path? I am a little doubt now. In the past two hundred years, why can the United States develop well? It is because it has never experienced internal turmoil and has not experienced the social revolution. Instead, it has solved the problem through a gradual improvement method. The internal is very stable. This is where China is going to learn. Why can China's reform and opening up in the past 40 years come to this day? In fact, the secret is that we solve the problem through the way of reform. It is not to engage in revolution, or to push down. This method of reform is more scientific. But today's United States, to such an extreme opposition and differentiation, can it once again condense the consensus of reform? I think it is doubtful now.

So observe the competition between China and the United States in the future. Don't look at how to compete in diplomatic. It depends on who can solve the problem of domestic development through the internal reform of the two countries and cope with the challenges facing. It is the core factor that determines the results of the competition between China and the United States in the future.

Just like the competition between the United States and the Soviet Union during the Cold War, the United States did not defeat the Soviet Union military military, nor the United States defeated the Soviet Union in diplomacy. Then the same is true between China and the United States in the future. If China has become a moderate developed country through reform and achieves national rejuvenation, it is our success. If the United States has lost its reform ability and does not solve the problems facing now, its result is decline.

No one can defeat each other through diplomatic or military operations. If there is a war between China and the United States, it must be the destruction of all mankind. So we see, who can develop ourselves better, this is our ending point.

Author | Wanxia, ​​Shenzhen Satellite TV straight news "Slow Point · Observation" Senior Main Writing

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