US media: US intelligence agencies predict the three futures of the Russian -Ukraine conflict, the most likely is it
Author:Global Times Time:2022.07.01
According to Bloomberg and other US media reports on June 30, US National Intelligence Director Avril Haines said that US intelligence agencies predict that Russia will face a "hard battle" in Ukraine, and the Russian army may obtain some Progress, but not a major breakthrough.
US National Intelligence Director Avril Eris Hanes Tuyuan: Bloomberg Society
The New York Times said that after more than a month, the US intelligence agency publicly revealed the latest assessment of the Russian -Ukraine conflict for the first time. On Wednesday, local time, Haynes said in a meeting in Washington that the consensus of American intelligence agencies was that the Ukraine conflict may last for a long time. She also said that although the Russian army was consolidating the results it achieved, it was unlikely that Russia had made breakthroughs in major cities other than Donbas in the short term.
Hanes said that the Russian army now controls about 20%of Ukraine's territory. In some areas of control, resistance activities are increasing, which reduces the possibility of Russia's rapid progress or peaceful resolution.
According to Hayins, according to the predictions of American intelligence agencies, the most likely situation that the Russian -Ukraine conflict will occur in the next few weeks or even a few months is that "the conflict will still be a difficult battle. The Russian army will be in this game. Gradually made progress in the battle, but did not make breakthroughs. " In this case, the Russian army will control most of the regions of Lugusk and Donetsk and will consolidate its control over southern Ukraine.
The other two universal cases predicted by American intelligence agencies are: First, the Russian army made a breakthrough to enable it to reconcile troops and attack Halkov in northeast Ukraine or Odessa in the southwest; second The Ukrainian army stabilized its front on Donbas and made some small progress. Haynes said, "In short, the situation is still quite grim." (Editor: HHJ)
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