The military reform plan triggered the top priority to protest India's affairs is not "external problems" but "internal worry"

A shocking video recently spread on the Indian Internet recently: a group of young people holding sticks rushed into a train station in Bigharbon, ignited the train parked on the raily, wrapped in the red flames of the rolling black smoke rising and rose to rising. Started, devoured the body and shielded the sky.

Since the Modi government announced on June 14 that it launched the "Agnepas" military reform plan, protests and riots started from the lowest per capita GDP of India and the Northern State, and then spread quickly to the country. Organizations such as the Indian Student Federation and other organizations held large -scale assemblies in many places to protest the "anti -youth policy" launched by the Modi government.

In India, the army not only defends national security, but also has the function of solving employment problems. Ma Keli, a South Asian issue research expert and director of the International Strategic Research Center of the China Reform and Opening Forum, pointed out in an interview with China Youth Daily · China Youth Network that the Indian government intends to expand the size of the soldiers and increase weapons and equipment under the premise of basically unchanged budgets to cope with China "Foreign threats" and Pakistan and other "foreign threats" have harmed the interests and futures of their young people. The general opposition of Indian society shows that the urgency of the Indian government is not "external", but "internal worry."

Military "formal workers" change "contract workers"

In Indian language, "Agnepas" means "the road of fire", and the recruits who entered the army through the plan were therefore called "Fire Warriors". The plan will be implemented from September this year. At that time, the age of recruitment of the three army and air forces will be reduced to the ages of 17.5 to 21, and the length of service will be greatly shortened from 17 years to 4 years. After 4 years of service, only a quarter of the "Fire Fire Warrior" can continue to stay in the troops. The rest will leave about 1.17 million rupees (about RMB 100,000). Retirement and other allowances are canceled.

As soon as this military reform plan was released, it was widely opposed by all levels of Indian society. The National Congress criticized the ruling party as "both the door and stupid" and demanded that Modi stopped implementing the plan. The Indian Communist Party (CPI-M) stated that professional troops cannot be based on "contract workers" and "short-term workers". The "Argnipas" plan saves expenses, but severely hurts soldiers' loyalty. Some people brought the government to the Supreme Court on the grounds of "unconstitutional".

In order to calm the situation, the Modi government immediately made concessions, announced the relaxation of the age limit of recruitment, allowing the enlisted "Fire Warrior" to exceed the regulations of 3 years, and promised to provide them with job opportunities after the "Fire Fire Warrior" retired, such as entering the police department. Even so, the opponent said that the protest would be carried out until the government abolished the "Agneapas" plan.

Ma Guli analyzed the China Youth Daily · China Youth.com that the Indian government launched the "Argnipas" plan to expand the potential soldiers. There are three reasons for the expansion: first, in recent years, India and Pakistan relations are in a high tension, especially in the Kashmir area; second, India has not been harmonious with China, and the border between China and India has frictions. The environment is also not optimistic, and anti -government armed forces in the northeast are still active. Therefore, expanding the scale of the army seems to be the "inevitable choice" of India.

In India's national defense budget in 2021-2022, purchasing weapons spending increased from US $ 15.91 billion to US $ 18.48 billion, an increase of 16%year-on-year, the highest increase in 15 years. In 2022, India will continue to buy weapons from many countries, including the French "gust" fighter jet, the Russian S-400 air defense system, and so on.

To increase officers, the arsenal to expand, but the overall national defense budget of India has not increased significantly. The Indian defense budget in the fiscal year of 2020-2021 was US $ 73.86 billion, and the fiscal year of 2022-2023 was US $ 76.88 billion, an increase of only 4%. Therefore, the Indian government had to dismantle the east wall to make up the west wall and turn their attention to reducing the cost of labor.

According to India's "German Pioneer", India has the world's second largest standing army with more than 1.4 million active soldiers. By 2020, India's retired soldiers have reached 320,000, and they are increasing at a number of 55,000 per year. Military pensions account for a quarter of the Indian defense budget, and the total labor costs exceed half of the Indian defense budget. Magol pointed out that the longer the soldiers served in the army, the higher the level, the higher the salary and allowance. The Indian government's calculation is to shorten the service life of soldiers through the "Agnepas" plan, which will greatly reduce salary and pension expenditures, thereby putting more military expenses into weapons and equipment.

Indian youths to realize class leaps are blocked

The Indian Defense Minister Singh once explained that the implementation of the "Agnepas" plan was to make more young people realize their dreams. "Young people will be regarded as a glory, and they dream of wearing military uniforms." But for the majority of Indian youths, instead of joining the army is "glory and dream", it is better to be hopeful for realizing employment and shortcut to a decent life. Whether it is rural or cities, sending the child into the troops is enough to make any ordinary family rave the eyebrows.

The 19 -year -old Kumar Singh came from the Village of Patira, Bihar. He has been preparing for the army for 3 years, including running 10 kilometers a day. He told the Washington Post that in the rural areas of Poharbang, once anyone joined the army, social status and economic status will change tremendous changes. Participating in the army means that with the ability of stable income and helping his family, it is easier to apply for loans to build a house. You can also choose the ideal marriage object. It can be said that participating in the army means lifelong guarantee for rural youth. But the "Agneapas" plan destroyed Kumar Singh's life plan, which made him feel frustrated: "If I didn't stay in 4 years, what should I do? Can I find a job after retirement?" "Under the leadership of Modi, Indian youths have really become a" road to soup to dance ". Politicians want to use the" Agneapas' plan to deceive anxious young people and destroy their future. Do not provide employment guarantee without providing employment guarantee I want them to make a sacrifice, this is a crime! "The General Secretary of the Communist Party of China Raja wrote in the tweet that 75%of the" Fire Warriors "will be added to the unemployed army that was already very huge in 4 years.

Ma Gali also believes that the Indian government's launch of the "Argnipas" plan does have a consideration of the employment problem of young people by reducing the age of recruitment, but this approach has also laid hidden dangers for future unemployment tide. Moreover, reducing the age of participating in the army and shortening the service period of service is actually "two blocks" -ly if you just reduce the age of enlistment, enlisted people can still stay in the army for more than ten years, and may feel that the future age is still hopeful. Time has also been greatly shortened, and the best age of young people to learn knowledge skills has also been missed. What should he do in 4 years? This is a very realistic issue.

Ma Guli said: "The Indian government has a poor stability. This government only solves the problems in front of the current. Whoever comes to power in the next session will not care." For Indian politicians, the interests of political parties are higher than the national interests, and the personal interests are higher than that Party interests.

The Modi government "outer" must "An inner" first

The wave of protests caused by the "Agnipas" plan actually reflects the disadvantages of Indian society and the economy and Shen Yan's illness.

In Ma Guli's view, Indian youth unemployment is more serious than other developing countries. The Indian Times quoted government survey data reports that in 2022, the unemployment rate of 22 -year -old adolescents in India's 22 states was above 20%, and Karara's juvenile unemployment rate was as high as 47%. In recent years, India has performed well in emerging economies, but economic digital growth has not solved employment difficulties. There are about 1.4 billion people in India, and the new labor population is between 10 million to 20 million each year, of which less than half of them have achieved sufficient employment.

When the aging of population aging in many countries is serious, the "demographic dividend" has become a popular vocabulary that has been frequently mentioned. However, Ma Guli believes that the excess population can only form a demographic dividend only under certain conditions, including enough employment opportunities, a large market, a good education for the labor population, smooth social relationships, and so on. India does engage in some investment construction, but its industrial growth rate is far from keeping up with population growth. According to Ma Guli observation, young faces can be seen everywhere in India, but many people have no job and have nothing to do with their work all day. "The accumulation of the unable employment population has become a serious social problem in India. As soon as the wind blows grass, young people will make trouble."

Ma Guli analyzed that India's need to solve the urgent prince is "internal worry", not the so -called "external trouble". At present, the possibility of further deterioration of relations with Pakistan and Pakistan is less likely. China will not take the initiative to deteriorate the situation in China and India. Instead, it has always insisted on properly resolving disputes through dialogue communication. The main problems facing the Indian government are internal problems, such as uneven economic development, disparity gap between the rich and the poor, the high unemployment rate, constant conflicts with anti -government armed forces, religious and class contradictions. These problems are the development of Indian society development. The biggest obstacle.

"When India is conducting domestic mobilization, it often emphasizes the so -called external security threats, pushing the calamity and responsibility. But in fact, if internal construction can be done well, India's domestic and foreign situation will be much better than now." Ma Guli Lili. Said that if you focus on promoting economic development and benefiting ordinary people, Indian society will naturally be more stable and harmonious.

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