Nancai fast comments: the right -wing forces overwhelmed, and the relationship between Italy and Europe was challenged again

On September 25, local time, Italy held early elections in Congress. According to the preliminary results announced by the election agency, led by the Italian Brothers Party, including the Italian Power Party, the Alliance Party, and the "Our Mild" Middle Right -wing Alliance, obtained 43%of the votes. Including 242 seats and 121 seats, double and half. The five -star campaign led by the former Prime Minister Leita and another former Prime Minister Conte was listed in two or three in the five -star movement led by 88 seats/43 seats and 46 seats/24 seats.

Based on this election as a sign, Italy ended the governance period of the neutral cabinet of the left and right union and the technical bureaucracy, and returned to the left and right confrontation. This is also the first election under the new election system after the constitutional amendment of Italy in 2020. According to the Alliance Agreement reached before the selection of the Middle Right Alliance, the brother party leader Meloni should be the prime minister. The party leader Berluskini and the chairman of the alliance party Belsani are also expected to be the deputy prime minister or important position. In Belsani's words, "Melonney, Berluskini and Belsani think the same opinions on almost all issues." It seems expected to spend a relatively stable five -year term.

However, although Belsani "guarantees that we will be in power together in the next five years", the outside world is sad and happy about the new government of the Sino -Right Alliance. For the "national conservatives" government (such as Hungary and Poland) or politicians (such as Trump, Le Pen) in the European Union, the victory of the middle and right -wing government means that after the Swedish election, the European and American ethnic conservatives are with In the confrontation of progressive factions, the next city. For the EU and the progressiveist factions of Europe and the United States, the results of Italy's elections marked the resurrection of the fascist forces, especially the fascist factor of the Brothers and Meronney's praise and its "highly suspicious Europe" position. It also made the European Commission chairman Feng Delin rarely warned before the election: If Italy is going to Poland and Hungary, the European Union will have a means to deal with it. External forces threatening warnings often cause anti -effects. Feng Delin's conversation has also made the middle right -wing alliance more support. No matter how the outside world interprets the results of this election, the victory of the China Right Alliance actually has a considerable social foundation: the socio -economic crisis and tear brought by the debt crisis and epidemic situation of the euro zone are far from being resolved and raised. The energy crisis and inflation have aggravated the national economic poverty. Italy is not only the only country in Europe that has declined in the past three decades, but also encountered the largest natural gas price in 1985. In addition, Italy's unemployment rate is much higher than other euro countries, and public debt has reached 1.5 times that of Italian GDP. In other words, the Italian economy and people's livelihood have not only deteriorated in the short term, but there are no reasons for optimism in the long run. Therefore, when the people's long and short -term life is in trouble, regardless of how the EU and the leftist "warning" have little effect.

In fact, the people's grievances caused by the high energy crisis and prices caused by the sanctions caused by Russia have promoted the growth of support for the support of the rights of the multi -countries in Europe. In Western European countries, Le Pen in France and the Democratic Party of Sweden received unprecedented votes, and the latter entered the new government; in Eastern Europe, the Ride -wing parties' freedom and direct democratic movement support of the Czech Republic rose to the second place. Continue to fall, and the Social Democratic Party, which is involved in the conflict of Russia and Ukraine, has led the polls. Against this background, the Italian Brothers, as the only political parties who refused to join the government of national unity, naturally became the spokesperson for "angry voters". However, considering the economic dependence of Italy's economy in the EU and the economic costs paid by the EU, the withdrawal from the EU or the euro zone is not a serious action option for a new government that is troublesome in internal affairs and diplomacy. Therefore, the brother party leader, Meloni, also expressed its pragmatism -based position before the election: the EU will not oppose the EU, nor will they withdraw from the euro zone. However, if Melonney has made great adjustments to the European position on the European position, in order to respond to the requirements of voters and avoid being accused of "selling voters", the middle and right government will be on the issue of internal affairs. The policies have changed a lot, including strict cracking down and restricting illegal immigrants, adopting a more conservative position on social and cultural issues such as abortion, and equal rights. In these issues involving basic rights or so -called "EU core values", the new Italian government and the European Union, especially the European Parliament, may inevitably.

(The author is a PhD in law from the University of Hamburg, Germany)

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