Make up one knife: Putin's "rare speech", release three important information

One day after delay, Russian President Putin's latest TV speech on Russia and Ukraine was finally broadcast yesterday afternoon in Beijing time.

Although the time is not long, about 20 minutes, the "local mobilization" starts today. It will "use everything to protect the Russian territory" and support four regions such as Lugusk to hold Russian referendum. "Military operations" are still necessary ...

This series of points came out, which immediately attracted widespread attention from the international community.

Why did the "rare speech" in the US media come out at this time? What are the complex signals behind the wording of speech? Where will the Russian conflict will go?

01

Putin's national TV speech this time is about 20 minutes. Although the time is not too long, a "rare" in the New York Times has told the strong concern caused by this speech. The speech is still in progress. One of the information one by one bombing the homepage headline of the international mainstream media website in turns in the form of "actual records".

The phrase "will use all available means" to protect the integrity of Russian territory has laid the tough tone of this speech on the West.

Putin directly pointed out that "the goal of the West is to weaken, divide, and eventually destroy our country," and say that the West has across all boundaries and attacks Russia with equipment.

He accused the West accusing the West of Russia and Ukraine's conflict peacefully. "It was under the instructions of the West that Ukraine interrupted the process of reaching an agreement with the Russian side." He also criticized the West to "nuclear blackmail" against Russia, saying that "this not only refers to Western encouragement to encourage the West The bombing of Zapolo Nuclear Power Station may lead to nuclear disasters, including representatives of major NATO countries threatened to use large -scale killing weapons to Russia. "

After emphasizing "the use of all available means", Putin deliberately made up, "This is not intimidation."

According to media such as Russia and Satellite News Agency, on the basis of severely criticizing the West, Putin focused on his speech:

The first is to emphasize that "special military operations" are still necessary.

Putin said that after Kyiv publicly refused to solve the problem of peace, Ufang launched a new large -scale attack on Donbas. The main goal of Russia's "special military operations" has never changed, that is, "liberating the whole of Bath."

In this situation, Putin emphasized that "absolutely necessary and only possible", "absolutely necessary and only possible", "cracking down on Ukraine Nazis" requires special military operations.

The second is to emphasize the support of "Russia", including Lugusk, Donedsk, Hermuson and Zapolo.

Putin said, "The current Kyiv regime publicly refuses to solve the problem of peacefully," and the four regions seeks to Russia for support for referendum. Moscow decides to support most residents in the four regions. Maximum efforts to ensure their safety when choosing.

The third is to announce "local mobilization" in the Russian Federation.

This is also a place that attracts particular attention and guessing in the speech. Reuters and other media said that this was the first similar mobilization of Russia after World War II.

Putin said that due to the long -lasting conflict in Donbas and other places, the Russian Ministry of Defense and the General Staff of the General Staff suggested to mobilize local mobilization. Considering that Russia is in fact fighting "the entire Western military machine", Putin believes that it is necessary to support this suggestion.

He said that he had signed a local mobilization order and took effect today.

Putin added that in the state of "local mobilization", only citizens who are currently in reserve, especially those who have served in the armed forces, have certain military professional knowledge and related experience, will be enlisted. Considering the particularity of "special military operations", before being sent to the troops, the enlisted person must receive additional military training.

For "local mobilization", more details of Russian Defense Director Shoyagi introduced more details in the subsequent TV speech.

Sho Gulu said that the current front of Russia and Ukraine is more than 1,000 kilometers, and "protecting this front and those territories" is the purpose of this local mobilization.

In terms of scale, Russia's mobilized manpower reserves are close to 25 million, but this mobilization is expected to convene about 300,000 reserve personnel, accounting for only 1%of mobilized resources.

In his speech, Shaygu also announced the casualties of the Russia -Ukraine forces since the launch of the "Special Military Operations". He said that the Ultimate died of 6,1207 people and 4,9368 people, "have damaged half of the army." A total of 5937 people were killed in Russia. Some Russian media said that this was the first time that the Russian officials have announced the number of Russian wounded since the end of March.

02

One day before Putin's speech, on September 20, the pro -Russian regime in four regions, including Lugusk, Donetsk, Hermuson, and Zapolo, announced that it would be held from September 23rd to 27th. Entering Russia referendum.

These four regions account for about 15%of the Ukrainian territory. "It also occupies most of the territory in the area. In Zapolo, the Russian and pro -Russian armed forces have not obtained most of the local control.

Modwerjov, vice chairman of the Russian National Security Commission, said that "a referendum and new territories are incorporated into Russia, and the world's geopolitics will have irreversible changes."

In this regard, European and American countries have condemned the first time. US President's National Security Assistant Salvin said Washington rejected any such referendum "unscrupulous". The United States will never acknowledge Russia's annexation part of any Ukraine, "we always acknowledge that these territories are part of Ukraine." EU foreign policy Berrely said that the EU and their member states will not acknowledge the results of the referendum. If the referendum continues, further measures will be considered in Russia.

French President Macron said referendums to join Russia in Ukraine will not be recognized by the international community. He said the referendum plan was "poor performance" and "sad and funny."

German Prime Minister Tsurtz directly called the referendum to vote for "false".

Ukrainian President Zelei thanked Western countries to condemn the referendum plan in eastern Ukraine. He said: "I thank all my friends and partners in Ukraine that they have made large -scale and firm condemnation of Russian organizations for more pseudo -referendum intentions."

Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Woriestak said that the citizen of Ukraine participated in a referendum in the non -base auxiliary control area or will face a criminal liability for a maximum of 5 years.

On the other side of the ocean, New York, the United States, such a split scene is also staged.

Also on September 20, the general debate of the 77th UN General Assembly kicked off at the United Nations headquarters of New York. The heads of state, the head of the government, and the senior representatives gathered in New York to discuss the response to the major issues currently facing the international community.

There is no doubt that the Russian and Ukraine conflict led the UNECC.

According to US President's National Security Affairs Assistant, Bayon will speak at the UN General Assembly on the 21st local time. His speech will focus on severely condemning Russia and criticize his violation of the UN Charter. Shatin said Bayeng would call on more countries to publicly or privately oppose Russia.

In the first day of the joint meeting on the 20th on the 20th, Macron said directly, "Since February 24, we have witnessed a backward backward to the empire and colonial era." Macron said that France has resolutely give this. reject.

Ukrainian President Zelei Sky Time will give a speech at the United University on Wednesday local time.

At this Conference of the United University, Western countries are trying to cooperate with more countries to oppose Russia, which further delay the agenda of the Nations University. Outside the Western world, there are more and more worries of other countries.

The President of African Union McGesar said that Africa "does not want to be a hotbed of the New Cold War", which is interpreted as the pressure of the African continent in the Russia -Ukraine conflict.

Serbian President Wugic warned that the world is facing a major conflict that has never been before since 1945. There is no good news or easy news for us who only want to ensure safety and provide security nations.

The UN Secretary -General Gutres issued a rare severe warning, saying that "our world is in danger and is paralyzed."

He specifically pointed out that surrounding a series of challenges has been restrained due to geopolitical tensions. The world is in dangerous situation and paralyzed.

"During a certain period, international relations seem to be moving towards the world of two countries; now, we may face the situation of the zero group group. There is no cooperation; no dialogue; no collective solution to the problem."

03

A reality is that Russia does face increasingly obvious military pressure and diplomatic pressure.

The situation of the battle between the eastern front and the southern front of Ukraine is still fierce. Russia said that the Russian army hit the Ukraine in multiple combat directions. U -Fang said that the Ukrainian army had regained most of the eastern parts of Harkov.

At the same time, the attitude of holding a neutral position in Russia and Ukraine in the past is subtle changes. For example, "Modi challenged Putin" hyped by Western media.

During the bilateral talks held by the Samarham Peak in Samarham last week, Indian Prime Minister Modi told Russia President Putin: "Now it should not be the war era. I have talked to you on the phone." Putin replied at the time that he understood Modi's concerns about Russia and Ukraine's conflict, and Russia would do everything possible to end his conflict in Ukraine as soon as possible. "

How to "end" Russia and Ukraine?

Change the game.

Some parts of eastern Ukraine announced whether to join Russia's referendum and Putin's speech by Putin's mobilization of local military mobilization, which have been regarded by many scholars as a measure to break the ride of Russia and Ukraine.

A Russian researcher told Fu Yidao that in this context, he came to see Putin's speech, and it released at least three aspects of information:

First, it shows that Russia is ready to upgrade with Western conflict.

As soon as the news of the referendum in some parts of Wudong came out, the relationship between Russia and the West had further intensified. At this time, Russia's active military mobilization was one of Moscow's means to deter the West.

Second, show Russia's confidence and determination to fight against the West in the end.

Although "the West has begun nuclear scary", both Russia and the United States know that the war of nuclear war is tantamount to suicide. NATO, headed by the United States, will do not adopt direct military confrontation and military intervention.

But the continuous deterioration of Russia and Western relations will be a high probability event. This will be reflected in the field of diplomacy and economic, even the "Cold War". For example, the game of Russia and the United States in military games, military confrontation and military reserve competitions will exacerbate, but the possibility of hot war is still very small. Third, the possibility of Russia and Ukraine's conflict to war is increasing.

At present, Russia still leaves diplomatic rooms, saying that it is "local mobilization". In fact, the overall mobilization seems to have begun, especially in combination with Russia's two trends yesterday.

Russian State Duma passed the draft amendment of the Criminal Law on the 20th.

The seven main updates summarized by Tas Society are related to the "mobilization period", "martial law period", "state of war", "combat operation" and so on. For example, "mobilization, martial law, and crimes in the state of wars will constitute an aggravated punishment plot", "mobilization, martial law, wartime status, armed conflict, or committing actions stipulated in the" violation of superiors "in operations, will be Being in prison for 5 to 15 years ", and so on.

On the same day of the Russian country Dumana, Putin ordered the study to provide Western weapons provided to Ukraine to improve Russian -made weapons. Putin also requires some national defense industrial enterprises to increase production capacity and allow Russian weapons production to achieve 100 % import substitution.

The Russian -Ukraine conflict has continued to this day for 210 days, and the West has set up long -lasting and consuming scripts for Russia. It is just that the damage caused by this conflict is not only reflected in the battlefield, but the European people and other countries are also suffering from this land.

As China has always appealed, the relevant party should achieve a ceasefire and stop war through dialogue negotiations, and find ways to take into account the reasonable and safe concerns of all parties as soon as possible, and hope that the international community will create conditions and space for this.

Source: Make up one knife

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