Mexico in the United States, take your own needs

Mexico and the United States share 3,000 kilometers of land borders, including 55 land entry ports, 15 million people live near the border. Mexico is undoubtedly one of the most important trading partners in the United States.

There are 30,000 trucks, 420,000 cars, and 1 million people every day

Border through Mexico and the United States ▼

For a long time, news about the relationship between the two countries is usually negative. The history of the US -Mexico War, the current situation of smuggling of drug guns, and unsolved problems of gangs, and the imagination of illegal immigrants and capital harvesting make the relationship between the two countries look unhealthy.

However, if the perspective is far away and these gimmicks are passing through these gimmicks, we find that the economies of the two countries have penetrated each other, the population flow is frequent, the relationship has become more and more close, and it is getting more and more wrong. Even to some extent, the United States and Mexico are integrating.

Latin (green), dominated by Mexicans, has become

The main population of the US -Mexico border state (red is African -American) ▼

In recent years, with Sino -US relations, trade frictions have continued. The United States tries to transfer the industry chain to its neighbors with a stronger position and a stronger sense of identity to replace the distant traditional trading partners. That is, the so -called "off -shore outsourcing" instead of "offshore outsourcing", which is more straightforward, and the United States has a great intention to use Mexico to replace China's foreign trade partner status.

In 2021, Mexico's export trade accounts for 45% of GDP

It can be said that the United States has supported nearly half of the Mexicans

(Figure: shutterstock) ▼

Replacement of Chinese trading partners?

China has been the largest trading partner in the United States since 2015. As Trump came to power, Sino -US relations continued to be tense. In 2019, the trade friction was in the cusp, and the largest US trading partner became Mexico, which is a gang, drugs, and civilian caves.

Before that, Mexico was indeed regarded by the United States as a troublesome neighbor

It is the source of drugs, illegal guns and immigrants

(Figure: Flickr) ▼

Of course, Mexico is an important source of American drugs, but Mexico exports to the United States more than just drugs. Taking 2019 as an example, the top 5 of Mexico's exports to the United States that year were: Automobile ($ 101 billion), machinery ($ 66 billion), motor ($ 64 billion), optical and medical equipment (16 billion US dollars (16 billion US dollars) ) Hey fossil fuel ($ 13 billion).

Due to the salivation of the American local car market

Almost all large car companies in the world set up factories in Mexico

(Figure: Flickr) ▼

That's right, Mexico has crude oil, machinery manufacturing, and even assembly of cars. It is not the imagination of poverty -stricken and backward banana republics, but a more industrial country with more industrial categories, petrochemical, power, mining, metallurgy, and manufacturing. And the trade complementarity with the United States is extremely high.

Because of this, since 2019, companies in China, Canada, and Mexico have launched fierce competition in the US market. Mexico has later won the status of the United States' largest trading partner country.

Mexico's ambitions can not only be the "corn film province" in the United States

(Figure: shutterstock) ▼

In the first half of 2019, the trade amount of goods in China and the United States was far lower than the trade amount of US -Main goods. In the second half of the year, China and Canada took over Mexico. By the end of the year, Mexico returned to the position of the largest trading partner in the United States, with a total cargo trade of US $ 614.5 billion. China, Canada, and Mogo accounted for about 14%of the total foreign trade in the United States, respectively, and the total of the first half of the country's foreign trade was close to the total foreign trade. The top of the top of the Three Kingdoms was not fierce.

Until 2019, China, Canada, and Mo Mo have come back

(Source: US Department of Commerce) ▼

In March 2020, which had not yet fully erupted the new crown epidemic, the US government intends to guide enterprises to accelerate its departure from China. At that time, the US Minister of Commerce Ross publicly made a statement that "China's epidemic will help accelerate the return of manufacturing to return to North America."

Mexico is also intended to undertake industrial transfer, and its economic minister, Marx, has also expressed such a will. "Mexico has negotiated with a number of foreign companies and hopes to attract business from Asia to obtain the benefits of the US -Mexico -Canada Free Trade Agreement."

The United States has just dealt with Huawei

The abacus of the back foot of Mexico is already playing Apple

(Figure: shutterstock) ▼

Compared to polite and polite public speeches, the remarks made by think tanks are not vague. For example, the International Strategic Research Center has proposed that "the United States, Canada, and Mexico should establish a supply chain for replace China in the North American market and will and will be. It is the cornerstone to implement a near -shore strategy in the Americas. "

The government tears its face to grab the list of Chinese companies

Mexico companies must have the ability to eat

(Figure: shutterstock) ▼

In the first half of 2020, Mexico was still the largest trading partner in the United States. As the new crown epidemic caused a global popularity, important cities in Mexico once stopped because of the epidemic. China quickly controlled the epidemic, and the advantages of all industrial categories were highlighted. In the second half of the year, they surpassed Mexico, but the difference between the two was only $ 48.7 billion. In the first two months of 2021, Mexico once again became the largest trading partner in the United States.

In the last quarter of 2020, Trump took cooperation with the military as a reason for the military

Sanctioning Chinese enterprises again, hurting others just to replace it with China (let the Mexico pick it cheap, picture: shutterstock) ▼

The United States integrates Mexico's key nodes

Between the United States and Mexico, it is not just the relationship between soybeans and corn. As mentioned earlier, 15 million people lived on both sides of the border, not just drug dealers, stripping dancers, and their US chiefs. Their more common portraits are ordinary employees who work on manufacturers across the US -Mexico border.

Who is willing to be on the streets if you have a job?

(Figure: One picture network) ▼

Mexico's voluntary binding with the US economy is not the norm of history. The source is the "North American Free Trade Agreement" (NAFTA), which was officially effective in 1994.

Historically, the memory of the two countries about each other is generally unpleasant. Mexico, which is a potential threat to the southern border, frequently interfere with Mexico's right wing, and supports Mexico right wings.

One -third of the territory of the United States today is brought from Mexicans

It is impossible for Mexicans to remember (Figure: wiki) ▼

Mexican folks are also permeated with anti -American emotions, which has led to the problem of polarization of Mexico's disposable struggle, but the national governance capacity has been low for a long time. The lack of funds, and the internal and external environment is not very stable, so it is naturally difficult to develop the economy to develop the economy.

Some Mexicans hate the United States and accuse it with high walls to isolate themselves and their families

Others hate themselves why they are not Americans

(Figure: shutterstock) ▼

In the 1980s, the Japanese economy was as good as that in the United States to purchase assets in the United States and was regarded as an important economic opponent by the United States. The process of integration in Europe has accelerated and internal resources are integrated.

In order to maintain economic advantages, the United States needs to expand its own economic map; Canadian resources are rich, economic are rich, but the local area is rare and lacks a huge market. Mexico has a large population, low tax rate, and large potential markets, but lack of funds and technologies; three Those who have the intention of deepening cooperation.

On the surface, every three things are obtained, and the most beneficiaries of them are also like a mirror

(Each needs to be taken, each happy, picture: wiki) ▼

According to the "North American Free Trade Agreement", the three countries formed a free trade zone, reducing trade obstacles, increasing investment opportunities, and establishing dispute resolution procedures. American companies have successively invested in building factories in Mexico to enjoy tax benefits and lower labor and land costs. Powerful Mexican companies also choose to invest in the United States.

Through competition, the two countries north and south of the border are developed with comparative advantages, promoting manufacturers' multinational cooperation, forming supply chains, joint manufacturing products, reducing costs while increasing the competitiveness of goods.

There are resources in Canada, Labor in Mexico, and markets in the United States

Of course, the United States always earns high value for added value

(Figure: wiki)

In 2020 Mexico attracted "near -shore outsourcing" companies involving furniture (23%), home appliances and electronics (20%), medical devices (15%), machines and tools (14%), and automotive components (12%), etc. Representative companies are mainly American companies, including Ford, GM, Honeywell, Nike, Hasbro, and so on.

Many of them come from the American and Chinese muscles in the United States and China

(Ford Motor in the factory area of ​​Mexico, Figure: One Photo Network) ▼

As early as 2014, the industrial sector in Mexico consumed US $ 136 billion in US intermediate products, and the American industrial sector consumed the US -worth of Mexico intermediate products worth $ 132 billion. Today, 40%of the value of the United States from Mexico's imports originated from the United States.

These may come from the goods provided by the United States or the services provided by American companies. This means that 40 US dollars are returned to the United States from Mexico's imported US dollars in imports; only 4 cents returned from China to US dollars from China. The extent of the large -scale joint production of the two countries is evident.

You piece, I am one by one, we will make a piece sooner or later

(Figure: One picture network) ▼

So, what is the price?

The integration of the economy of the United States, Mo, and Canada has brought huge economic benefits to the Three Kingdoms, and also eased the social contradictions of the poor country Mexico. However, the integration process will inevitably involve who dominates and who to integrate. The answer is obvious.

In order to further crack down on China, by the way, make good use of the two neighbors around him

2018 NAFTA has been upgraded to become the US -Mexico Agreement (USMCA)

(Figure: wiki)

After the agreement was signed, the United States continued to rise in Mexico's investment, and it doubled between 2015 and 2019. By 2020, Mexico attracted US $ 29.079 billion, of which 30.1%came from the United States and 40.6%flowed to the manufacturing industry. A large number of US dollars have poured into the development of Mexico's industry. When the US dollar and American companies have penetrated various important industries in Mexico, they occupy high -end positioning. In the future, whether this will become the obstacle to the rise of the Risheng of Mexico is a matter of consideration.

Coca -Cola has even domesticated Mexico into the world's first global Coca -Cola consumption

Even the water is controlled by others, let alone the development of high -tech

(Figure: shutterstock) ▼

The United States occupies an absolute advantage in the division of labor in the United States and Mexico, and has divided the design, marketing, and corporate service links with higher profit margins. Mexico has more low -tech and labor -intensive industries. Although many Mexicans benefit from this, from the perspective of Latin American left -wing, this is inevitable that the harvest of Mexicans is suspected. After all, you don’t want to do it in Mexico, some South American countries want to share a share

(Figure: shutterstock) ▼

At the same time, it is economically binding with the United States, which has dual risks of economic and political risks for Mexico. Once economic fluctuations in the United States have an impact on Mexico.

The integration between the United States and Mexico is far from the level of the EU, and it can be seen that the future has no tendency to integrate. It can neither integrate into a portrait of the United States, nor is it alienated to the middle class with educated and technical technologies to the United States. At the same time, the smuggling of cross -border drugs, cross -border princes, and firearms is also a negative product for strengthening economic connection.

Behind these repeatedly banned illegal transactions

Actually it is the huge demand of neighboring countries

(Figure: shutterstock) ▼

For the United States, it is also costly to strengthen the connection with Mexico. Middle -class workers in the United States have experienced a difficult years in the past few decades. The median revenue in actual households is still lower than the peaks of 2007 and 1999. The days of manufacturing workers are particularly not good, and their jobs have decreased by 29%since 2000.

Originally the blue -collaring of the days still said

The class slipped at this moment, who is willing to be willing to

(Figure: shutterstock) ▼

Although studies have shown that from 2000 to 2010, 87%of manufacturing unemployment was caused by the increase in productivity, only 13%was related to trade. Some studies even believe that investment in Mexico can revitalize the American industry.

However, no matter whether these conclusions are correct or not, they cannot persuade the workers who are deprived of strongly. When they point their finger to the Chinese outside the ocean and the Mexicans who are pouring into the border, they are enough to shake the populist frenzy of American political traditions.

It is such a vast supporter

The seemingly outrageous Trump can be unlike Biden

(Figure: shutterstock) ▼

Although the price is painful, the economic connection between the United States and Mexico will inevitably develop. Because of the status quo of Mexico, this may be the least bad situation. After all, there are South American powers such as Colombia, and they are jealous of Mexico's "near -shore outsourcing" business.

Colombia is not willing to export to the United States

Tobacco leaves immersed in the laborers' thighs

(Figure: Flickr) ▼

After decades of development, the US -Mexico -shore outsourcing has made great progress and benefited from the two countries. However, Mexico's labor force, especially the number of technical workers, is limited after all, and cannot shake the status of "offshore outsourcing" in the short term. However, in the context of China's demographic dividend and being regarded by the West as competitors and actively seeking industrial upgrading, the "near -shore outsourcing" is indeed expected to be expected in the future.

As for this kind of stabilizing the future value of workers, it is not worth looking forward to.

Reference materials:

1.https://www.wilsoncenter.org/publication/working-together-economic-m

2.https://ustr.gov/countries/americas/mexico

3.https://www.state.gov/u-s-relations-with-mexico/

4.https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/rb9533-1.html

5.https://www.ciis.org.cn/yjcg/xslw/202107/t20210727_8058.html

*The content of this article is provided for the author, which does not represent the position of the Earth Investment Bureau

Cover: shutterstock

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