The epidemic caused the United States to lose 500,000 labor
Author:Global Times Time:2022.09.14
The New York Times reported on the 12th that the latest survey shows that the new crown pneumonia's epidemic has led to at least 500,000 people in the US labor market. reason. Experts predict that if the infection rate of new crown pneumonia cannot be effectively curbed, then the employment gap may exist for a long time.
The New York Times said that the impact of the new crown pneumonia on the labor market is obvious: during the epidemic, 1 million Americans were unfortunately killed, and 260,000 of them did not reach the retirement age. Not only that, millions of Americans either retire in advance, or are forced to leave their jobs to take care of their families and children. Today, although various companies have gradually resumed production and operation, data show that the overall willingness to work in Americans is still not as good as before the epidemic. In August of this year, Americans who had already worked or were job hunting accounted for 62.4%of the total population, which was 1 percentage point lower than the outbreak. Edelberg, the head of the Economic Policy Center of the Brookings Society in the United States, said: "The recruitment market is particularly hot now, but few people ask ... ","
A report released by the National Economic Research Agency on the 12th shows that the epidemic of new coronary pneumonia still causes serious harm to the health of Americans, which is also one of the main reasons for the shortage of labor. Researchers took the attendance of the attendance of American employees as the starting point. It was found that between 2020 and 2021, about 10 of each thousand workers were missing for one week due to health reasons. people. Moreover, employees who ask for sick leave for one week or more, the probability of still on the job one year later is 7%lower than that of other health employees who have not asked for sick leave. After calculation, there are about 500,000 people from "leave from sick leave to departure". This means that the proportion of US labor participation rates (adult ownership or searching for work) fell by 0.2 percentage points, and August (62.4%) decreased by 1 percentage point from February 2020. Although W.E.UPJOHN Employees Economist Aaron Sorgena said that the data is more reliable, the New York Times said that the number is conservatively estimated because it does not include those who do not work at the beginning of the investigation, but later because of the latter because of the investigation, but because of the later because it is because of the investigation, it is later because it is because of the beginning of the investigation, but because of the later because of the investigation, it is because of the latter because of the beginning of the investigation. People who have failed to be hired infected with new crown pneumonia virus, those who failed to participate in monthly surveys due to their care of their families, and those who died of new crown pneumonia. Considering these factors, economists estimate that the US labor force decreases by about 750,000, which is equivalent to a decrease of about 0.3 percentage points in the labor market. In addition, according to the calculation of JP Morgan Economist, compared with the situation before 2017, due to the urgent tightening of the US immigration policy, the potential labor force decreased by about 3.2 million.
The Wall Street Journal reported that during the new crown pneumonia's epidemic, millions of Americans left the labor market for various reasons (including retirement, lack of child care and fear of great popularity). Although the total number of labor power in the United States reached 164.7 million in August this year, the first time surpassed the pre -epidemic level, the economist of Stanford University Gorda and the economist of MIT Saltas said that if there is no impact of the epidemic, the total number of laborers is expected to be expected to be expected to be 500,000 people than before the epidemic. If the United States continues to maintain the current new crown infection, it is expected to lose more labor. The Brukins Society said earlier this year that about 1.6 million labor force in the United States may be far from the labor market because of the severe sequelae of new crown pneumonia -that is, the "long new crown" that people know. Common symptoms of "long new crown" patients are physical fatigue, short chest pain, joint muscle pain, cough, and anxiety.
For example, the newspaper said that the 62 -year -old Smith has been unable to get rid of the trouble of illness after the new crown. He said that climbing a staircase at home has to rest for 5 to 10 minutes. After the infection, Smith's company was also forced to make adjustments to hire people to record the meeting notes and write a summary for him. Even so, Smith decided to leave the workplace in October 2021. Smith said that he liked this job very much and originally planned to work until the age of 70, but now he obviously does not have this condition. Yasmin, 25, originally worked at the University of Wisconsin Madison. After infection with the new crown this year, she had only mild symptoms. But I did not expect that the sequelae of the new crown made her feel tired. At a young age, she had to quit her job and concentrate on going home to raise her body. She believes that such symptoms may bother American workers in the next decades.
The Wall Street Journal states that from the perspective of many economists, the issue of employment is one of the main challenges facing the US economy. People in various industries are insufficient, and many companies cannot provide enough goods and services. In the long run, the growth of the national economy depends on the increase in labor and the improvement of productivity. If the labor market is unable to restore its vitality, the service and manufacturing industry will inevitably be blocked, and the economy is difficult to grow. In the context of the current soaring US prices, economists said that solving the imbalance in this employment problem is essential for reducing the high inflation rate.
According to data from the University of John Hopkins, as of 5:21 on September 13th, Beijing time, a total of 9530,3170 cases of new crown pneumonia were confirmed, with a cumulative death of 1050,507 cases. ▲
Special reporter in the United States Zheng Ke, a special reporter Liu Haoran, reporter Liu Yang, a reporter from the newspaper
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