Weili Daolai | On the 197th, Putin is very busy
Author:Economic Observer Time:2022.09.08
(Picture source: Oriental IC)
Wang Yiwei/Wen on September 8, 2022, the Russian and Ukraine situation progressing to 1997.
Recently, Putin is very busy.
On September 1, Putin visited Galinenrad, the western end of Russia. On September 5, he set off to the eastern end of Russia to inspect the "Oriental-20122" military exercise, attended the seventh Oriental Economic Forum and delivered a keynote speech. You know, from western Russia to eastern parts, 9,000 kilometers away, Putin is 70 years old. The 70 -year -old Putin flew on the west to the east within a week within a week, and it was not easy.
From the perspective of the war to the present, there are three highlights: from the perspective of Russia:
First, the powerful nuclear deterrent power is the most basic guardrail of the Russian and Ukraine War.
Since the nuclear weapons, Russia (former Soviet Union) has been showing this deterrent force to the outside world in various ways. After the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine War, this display was more obvious. This is the fundamental reason why Western countries headed by the United States have never dared to send troops into Ukraine to directly participate in the war. They could not afford this risk.
Nuclear forces may not guarantee Russia to win the Russian and Ukraine War, but nuclear forces can basically ensure that Russia is exempted from large -scale invasion, and this war will not be upgraded to become nuclear wars.
Second, making friends and consolidating international status are important tasks of Russia.
After the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine War, the US President Bynden vowed publicly to make Putin a abandonment of the international community. Breaking Bayon's vows is an important job in Russia. According to media reports, the seventh Oriental Economic Forum held in the Farladivodok (Vladivostok) in the Far East of Russia from September 5th to 8th, more than 5,000 representatives from 67 countries and regions attended. In more than 60 countries, even if they are not holding money, at least they are holding the field. In this regard, Russia does gain something.
Third, Russia's economy is difficult, but it is not collapsed. Military expenses are temporarily sufficient to support war overhead.
For more than half a year of the war, under the sanctions of Western countries headed by the United States, Russia has suffered serious difficulties in the Russian economy, but has not collapsed. In a speech, Putin acknowledged that Russia's inflation was as high as 14%, which was higher than 8.5%higher than the United States. Putin also pointed out that the inflation of Russia is declining, and it will reach about 12%this year. By the first and second quarters of next year, it may drop to 6%or 5%, or it may be reduced to 4%.
Compared with economic difficulties, Russia's money made through energy exports in the international market can already cover its military expenses in the Russian and Ukraine War.
According to the French World News, a research report released a research report on September 5, headquartered in Finland's Energy and Clean Air Research Center (CREA). The report pointed out that from February 24th to August 24th, Russia received 158 billion euros in revenue through export fossil fuels, and during the same period, the country's military expenditure against Ukraine was about 100 billion euros.
该报告还列出了俄罗斯化石燃料的几个最大的买家:欧盟第一,851亿欧元;中国第二,349亿欧元;土耳其第三,107亿欧元;印度第四,66亿欧元;日本Fifth, 2.5 billion euros.
Based on the above information, Russia's energy export revenue is the key to supporting it to continue the war. The United States and its allies clearly see this. As a result, the United States led the trial of limiting the price of Russia's oil, and some countries in the European Union proposed to limit Russia's natural gas.
Oil and qi came to the noodles.
Of course, Putin will not be bound by hand.
He will probably be busy.
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