Brexit lawsuit, Northern Ireland deadlock, Scottish independent referendum, what to save Britain for Tellas?

Polar News reporter Manda

On September 5th, the Dust of the British Prime Minister was settled, and the Foreign Minister Tellas became the new owner of No. 10 Tangning Street. prime minister. The British that Tras took over is internal and external problems, and the crisis is heavy. For her, the most important thing is to clean up the mess left by the former Johnson. Among this pile of messy issues, the most headache for Tras is the follow -up of the Brexit "divorce" lawsuit, the trouble left after the Northern Irish parliament election, and the problem of the Scotland independent referendum.

How can she be good after the "divorce" lawsuit of Britain and the European Union?

According to the Guardian, Britain and the European Union are very stiff on the Brexit issue.

As part of the Brexit agreement, the "Northern Ireland Protocol" stipulates that the northern Ireland region stays in the European Single Market and the EU Customs League to prevent the "hard boundaries" on land on the island of Ireland.

However, the United Kingdom did not comply with the relevant provisions of the linked book, and the European Union filed 7 infringement lawsuits against Britain.

Tellas (source: INEWS)

Although Tras, who had previously been the Minister of Foreign Affairs, protested that Britain and the European Union had negotiated for 18 months to resolve the dispute, but there was no result. Essence But the reality is that the negotiations were suspended after the Russian -Ukraine conflict on February 24, and it was no longer recovered.

It is generally speculated that Tras restarts the negotiation by triggering Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol. According to Article 16 of the "Northern Ireland Protocol", if the two parties may occur "serious social, economic and environmental issues" when using the "Northern Ireland Protocol", or trade steering, one of them can unilaterally adopt "there is some" some "there is some" there is some "there is a" some. "Necessary" measures to prevent these problems. Subsequently, the other party can take the corresponding "re -balance measures".

Some people believe that this is a positive move, which is more relieved by the Britain's "Northern Ireland Protocol Act" to tear some of the special arrangements for Brexit for North Ireland through legislation.

However, sources from the European Union said that the move would make the already serious crisis. The source said that Britain did not adopt the EU's suggestions in October last year. These suggestions met some of Tellas' demands, including exporting "fast" or "green channels" to the Republic of Ireland.

At present, the European Union is taking legal channels, and its ending may be that the trade agreement between Britain and the European Union has been abolished.

The final period for Britain's response to infringement litigation was September 15.

If the British response is not satisfactory, the EU will quickly take action, adopt "reasonable opinions" to refute British arguments, and submit cases to European courts.

If some people think, the legal response measures taken by Trams are the suspicion of the Conservative Party in the Conservative Party, then the United Kingdom may simply ignore the European courts and think it is not legitimate.

The European courts are unlikely to make a decision by next year.

At the same time, if the "Northern Ireland Act" Effects becomes a law, the European Union will impose tariffs on British fish and agricultural products within 7 days.

Catherine Barnard, a professor of law at the University of Cambridge, said that a brief impact is one of the three key retaliatory weapons available in the trade agreement.

How can she save the northern Ireland politics?

For the tough Brexit who wants to completely break with the European Union, Northern Ireland is an important theater, and Tras has been fighting.

People have speculated that the tough Survivors David Florus will occupy a place in Tras of Tras, so that Brexit will continue to stir up.

But what price did North Ireland pay for this? In the Northern Ireland Parliament election in May, the unified Democratic Party of the British and British defeated the New Fen Party of the Variance of the Kerma. Since then, the Northern Ireland Parliament has not had the Chief Executive. If the "North Irish Protocol" is triggered by Article 16 of the Northern Ireland, will the Democratic Unified Party give up to resist?

"The Northern Ireland Protocol Act" is the upside -down. Triggering Article 16 of the "Northern Ireland Protocol" will put at least a legitimate coat on the current illegal behavior. "Said Jon Tangqi, a Professor of Political Professor in Ireland at the University of Liverpool.

He believes that Article 16 is enough to allow the Democratic Unified Party to return to the parliament, but will not return to the administrative department. In other words, the Democratic Unified Party will not occupy the position of the first deputy minister, nor will he appoint the local cabinet minister.

According to the Amendment of the Northern Ireland Act in February, by the end of October, the 24 -week -long power sharing negotiation will end, and the first test will be tested for the effect of any measures under Article 16.

At that time, the Minister of Northern Ireland Affairs was obliged to convene a new election. In less than 8 weeks, Bellston, the capital of Northern Ireland, will face another crisis and may be a showdown with the democratic unified party.

Tang Qi said that Britain did not have the willingness to re -election, so the British Parliament can propose legislation to leave more time for negotiations.

Tang Qi believes that if the new Prime Minister adopts a series of magic operations, let the "Northern Ireland Protocol Act" pass the parliament, and even if it is rejected by the House of House, it can ensure that it takes effect to become a law.

One year after the second reading of the bill, this dramatic intervention is possible. The specific time is June 27, 2023. Since the election in May, the government elected by Northern Ireland voters has been in the "zombie government" state, which means that new laws cannot be formulated or adopted by many years.

In view of the cost of life and health, the prospect of the new government before June 2023 will make many people feel fear. This also reminds many people that former Prime Minister Boris Johnson has reached an agreement to allow some regions of the United Kingdom to continue to comply with the EU's trade laws, indicating that he placed Brexit Brexit in Northern Ireland interests. Tang Qi said, " This is an unusual agreement signed by the European Union, indicating that Britain lacks attention to details. "

How can she stop the Scottish independent referendum?

When Tellas scolded the Chief Minister of Scotland as "the person who seemed to follow," the call for the second independent referendum she led by her call "should be ignored", many conservatives in northern Scotland were frustrated.

They believe that this marks a serious failure of Tras. She failed to seize the opportunity to persuade the gentle unity, the inferiority faction, and the minority groups who were hesitant to stay in the UK.

Stekin (picture source: News Union)

At the same time, after Sterkin's designated October 19th is the second referendum date, the discussion and attention of the Scottish region became more and more enthusiastic about the discussion and attention of the matter.

Stergin is the leader of the Scottish National Party. She asked the Supreme Court to make a decision on the legitimacy of the new referendum without the permission of the British Parliament, which will conflict with Tangning Street. A few months before Tillas took office, the constitutional issue seemed to be the main problem.

The Supreme Court will hear the Scottish government in October, although Stergin herself told the Guardian in a recent interview that she expects the Supreme Court to make a decision by the Supreme Court by early 2023.

"If the Supreme Court maintains the legitimacy of the referendum without the consent of the parliament, I don’t think it will do it without the consent of the parliament. How to choose. "

"It means‘ continue, but we will ignore the referendum ’, or do we agree with cooperation, or do n’t care about the Supreme Court, and remove this power from the authority of the Scottish Parliament through legislation?"

"If the result is the opposite, the Supreme Court says that the Scottish side cannot unilateral referendum legislative, then I hope this position will be maintained, that is, the last referendum is a generation. Stay this issue. "

Many people think that this situation is rapidly becoming unsustainable. John Curtis, a well -known election scholar and Professor of Political Science at Stras Claid University, said: "All polls have clearly stated that voters who support Scotland's independence want to hold a referendum from now to 2026, and Opposition voters do not want. "

"You can't persuade those who support Scottish independence to stay in the UK on the grounds that we don't give you the opportunity to agree with your opinion."

Curtis said that no matter whether a referendum will be held in October next year, the Scottish government will increase publicity to persuade people to believe in independence. If they can provide a convincing answer, it is better to say why Scotland leaves Britain and stays in the European Union, then it is more difficult to "stand by".

Curtis said: "Labor said‘ can we talk about something else ’and the Conservative Party says‘ we should n’t talk about this ’, which means that they do n’t really participate in the debate between Scottish voters.”

It has not yet been determined that Tras will choose how to participate. She issued an aggressive statement during the campaign, saying that Scottish referendum was not allowed, which showed that she tended to tend to be tough by Johnson's tough way.

But her allies said that she would adopt a more gentle approach advocated by Michael Goff, emphasizing to promote unity through investment.

Support independent Scottish in the rally (source: Pioneer News)

According to the British media INEWS, the British government launched a referendum bill, which will stipulate that more than half of the voters (rather than voting most people) are required to vote in favor before allowing Scotland to be independent.

According to reports, Tellas's team is considering the plan. The plan is equivalent to "changing the basic rules of democracy" to avoid British division.

Stekin clearly stated that he would not accept this approach.

This also attracts the anger response of the Scottish national party colleagues in Stergin, and the Scottish National Party Defense Spokesperson Stuart McDonald said it was a "manipulating voting" attempt.

The conservative party in northern Britain is also worried that Tellas will continue the "hardline" approach taken by himself during the campaign after he stays at Tangning Street.

These conservatives warn that this will be a major tactical mistake, which will not only make the Conservative Party lose seats in the next election, but also increase the possibility of Scotland from Britain in the future independent referendum.

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