Who will laugh at the end of the French parliament election?British media: Macron is facing the fierce competition of parliamentary control

[Global Times Special Correspondent in France, Dong Ming, Global Times Special Journalist Mu Zhi] The second round of voting on the 19th French National Assembly election on the 19th. The vote will eventually determine the ownership of 577 seats in the National Parliament. Some analysts said that the vote will be decisive for French President Macron's administration in the new term and may even shake the foundation of the European Union.

According to Agence France -Presse reports on the 19th, the voting station in France was open to voters at 8:00 on the day. The public went to the voting station to vote. Similar to the first round of voting arrangements held on the 12th of this month, the voting stations in Paris and other places will be closed at 8:00 that night, and the first batch of export polls will be announced to the public. The first round of voting results released by the parliamentary election released by the French Ministry of the Interior on the evening of the 12th shows that Macron's intermediate alliance "together" and the extremely left -wing party "Unbearable French" party leader Mei Langxiong's left -wing league is very close, respectively Obtaining effective votes of 25.70%and 25.66%, the "National Alliance" led by Marina Le Pen and the right -wing Republican Party received effective votes of 18.73%and 10.43%, respectively. In terms of specific constituencies, because the first round of voting, five constituencies have directly produced results, so the second round of voting needs to compete for the remaining 572 constituency seats.

"Macron is facing the fierce competition for parliamentary control." Reuters reported on the 19th that the middle school league led by Macron was expected to obtain the most seats, it was unknown whether it can obtain over half of the seats (289 seats). The results of the polls announced by the French poll agencies on the 17th show that the "together" alliance is expected to obtain 265-305 seats, the left-wing alliance is expected to obtain 165-210 seats, and the "National Alliance" is expected to get 20-45 seats. Essence Agence France -Presse said that the voting was decisive for Macron's new term of office. The 44 -year -old president needed to obtain half of the seats to promote the agenda of tax cuts, welfare reforms, and improved retirement age.

"France has fallen into the vortex of democratic fatigue." France reported on the 19th that although the Macron camp is likely to win the most seats, it cannot guarantee that the parliament is dominated. Public opinion generally believes that if the "together" alliance cannot obtain a majority of parliamentary seats, because the governance plan is similar, Macron's most likely cooperation target will be the first round of voting.

The low voting rate of the French parliament in 2022 may have a certain impact on the results of the election. The first round of voting on the parliamentary election on the 12th was 47.51%, which was 48.5%lower than the first round of voting in the 2017 parliamentary election. Agence France -Presse quoted the three polls announced on the 17th that the voting rate in the second round of voting was 44%-47%. In addition, France ushered in a recorded heat wave in June, and the high temperature of 40 degrees Celsius in some areas will further affect the voting rate. According to French media, in general, Macron's older, richest, and well -educated supporters will actively participate in various voting, and the voting rate of young, relatively poor and ethnic minorities who support Melangxiong. It's lower. Some experts said that Melangxiong's left -wing alliance may be greatly affected by lack of ticket reserve and high abandoned rates.

According to French media, no matter what the final election results, the left -wing alliance will become a pivotal force in the French political territory. Without the majority of the party to become a parliament, the left -wing alliance may become the target of all parties to compete for union. Melangxiong may be selected as the Prime Minister of the Cabinet, and will start the fourth "left and right governance" situation in the fifth Republic of France.

However, the "Voice of Germany" believes that the unity between Paris and Berlin is critical to formulating and implementing the European Union's joint policy. In addition, Melangxiong also promised to re -consider the qualifications of NATO members in France. When the Russian and Ukraine conflict and the new crown pneumonia bring the EU unprecedentedly unprecedented, a French government led by Melangxiong may shake the foundation of the European Union.

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