The "emission reduction bill" in the United States, few followers

The American "Wall Street Journal" article on August 23rd, original topic: The impact of the US inflation reduction bill on emission reduction is not greatly passed recently. The US President Biden even called it "the most responding to the climate crisis in history When an important legislation "" Angle Act "Celebrating the Celebration, questioning from all walks of life was one after another. According to the bill, the United States will invest about 370 billion U.S. dollars in the climate and clean energy field. The goal is to reduce carbon emissions in the United States by about 40%on the basis of 2005 by 2030.

Many scholars are skeptical of this bill, and they believe that the impact of the bill on climate change is small. According to data from Rong Ding Consultation, the United States, even without bills, is expected to reduce carbon emissions significantly by 2030 by 2030. If in accordance with the current policies and regulations, the carbon emissions in the United States will fall by about 30%by 2030; the implementation of this bill will only reduce carbon emissions by about 37%, which means that this "the most important climate bill in history in history "The actual emission reduction increase is only 7%-10%.

At the same time, the impact of the emission reduction plan in the bill can ignore the temperature and sea level. The sea level change model predicts that by 2100, the sea level will be 0.015 to 0.2 cm lower than when there is no bill.

In order to achieve the goal, the bill must ensure its integrity and continuity in the next ten years, which means that the United States must support it during the four Congress elections and the two presidential term. Considering that it costs about 370 billion US dollars in the climate field, how to survive in the party game is the primary problem facing this series of climate policies.

In the remaining time of this century, some agencies predicted that 3/4 of carbon emissions will come from developing countries. Even if these countries are willing to implement a carbon displacement plan, they will not be willing to invest hundreds of billions of dollars on climate issues, because they face more important challenges, such as poverty and food safety. Solve these problems. Based on this, even though the United States claims that the bill will become a good recipe for global climate change, it is definitely not as many followers.

The research and development of various green energy sources, such as solar energy, wind energy, hydropower, nuclear energy and other clean energy technology, can truly solve the problem of climate change. No need for all new energy technologies to succeed. You only need to make one or two technologies stable and cheap, so green energy can really play a role. Developing countries will also be willing to turn to these clean energy sources. After all, while reducing carbon emissions, they also obtain rich and reliable energy sources, green and development models. Why not?

In short, the "Angle Act Act" is not much helpful for climate change, and the cost of implementation is much higher than the costs required to develop new energy, while the US government chooses hundreds of billions of dollars to achieve minimal changes. (Author Bi Jonberg, Tong Xiaoxiao Translated) ▲ ▲

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