Russia and Ukraine conflicts for half a year, and Midea does not trust deepening. Zelezzky "is in the end"?
Author:Pole news Time:2022.08.25
Jimu Journalist Song Qingying
Russia and Ukraine's conflict lasted for half a year. This seems to be a confrontation between the two countries, but it has always been "three people." In the beginning of this crisis, the image of "Ukraine defenders" appeared.
But one is the veteran with rich experience in politics, and the other is a newcomer from the comedian overnight.
Although the common interest tied them to a ship, Bayeng and Zeleki seemed to have been a little disagreement from the beginning.
Seeing that the United States continued to invest in this "agent war", but the conflict did not end.
What kind of choice will the United States make?
Biden and Zelei (Source: New Yorker)
Cracks that have been ambushing for a long time
At the beginning of Russia and Ukraine's conflict, some frictions occurred between the United States and Ukraine.
According to the "Financial Times", Zeleianzky complained in early February this year that the West, including the United States, exaggerated the possibility of the Russian army to launch military operations, and does not need to withdraw from Ukraine of the US diplomats. Zelei Sky also joked: "We don't need this panic ... We don't have the Titanic here."
The differences between Zessky and Biden obviously did not start from how to view the Russian -Ukraine conflict.
Foreign media analysis said that the backgrounds of Bayon and Zeelianky have different backgrounds that cause their differences in crisis.
The 79 -year -old Biden has long participated in US diplomatic decisions. He has served as the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and served as Vice President in the 2014 "Crimean Incident".
The 44 -year -old Zelei was a comedian. He became a political novice when he became the President of Ukraine in 2019.
Charles Kupu, a professor of international affairs at Georimon University, commented: "Zelei Sky is an anti -traditional person. He won the presidential election as an outsider."
Shortly after taking office, Zelei Sky was under pressure from former US President Trump to investigate Bayeon's family. This series of incidents caused the relationship between the United States and Ukura to deteriorate.
After the Trump era, the US -Ukraine relationship was re -ignited, but some episodes still appeared. Ukraine was dissatisfied with Bayeng's revocation of the sanctions of the Russian natural gas pipeline "Beixi 2". At the same time, he also met with Bayeng's displeased in Putin in June 2021 because "Pu Bai Meeting" was two years earlier than "Zebai Meeting". More than a month.
Therefore, until the Russian and Ukraine conflict, both sides were trying to eliminate the sense of division, and the United States has been working hard to emphasize its support for Ukraine.
However, this crack is quietly expanding with the development of Russia and Ukraine.
The White House "deep distrust of Ukraine"
According to the Statistics of the Associated Press, so far, the United States has provided Ukraine with about $ 10.6 billion in military assistance since the Bayeng government ruling, including 19 weapons extracted from the Ministry of National Defense inventory since August 2021.
Russia launched missiles (Source: Associated Press)
However, six months after Russia and Ukraine's conflict, as the two sides fought fighting and slightly advanced in the east and south, the pace of war has slowed. US officials said US security aid is turning to long -term operations, including supporting the Ukrainian army to fight in the next few years.
According to "Politicians", in the past two months, Ukraine has been implying the intention of regaining Hermone in the southern city and calling it a "major counterattack". However, although Ukraine holds billions of dollars in the United States and Europe, the counterattack plan has progressed extremely slowly, and even some of the most keen Russian analysis experts are unclear about Ukraine's strategic intentions.
Ukraine's slowness in Russia's military operations has once again deepened the United States' distrust of Ukraine. According to CNN, US officials said that even if the United States has advanced weapon assistance and Allied dispatch plans, the White House is still losing confidence in Ukraine's land that can be lost in Russia in the past four months.
Biden's consultant has begun to debate internally. Should Zelezki change his definition of Ukraine's "victory" in response to the possibility of Ukraine's irreversible retreat.
According to the New York Times, in private, the existence between the White House and Zellezki is far more trustworthy, which is far more serious than the report.
An obvious fact is that on July 17, Zelezzki fired Ukrainian Attorney General and the head of the domestic intelligence agency. This is the most important reorganization of his government since the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. This is equivalent to Bayon's fired on the same day to fired US Minister of Justice Merrick Galan and the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Bill Berns. But Ukraine did not give an explanation that convinced the United States.
"Ready to take Zeelianzki as a scapegoat"
The "National Comment" analysis in early August believes that the Bayeng government has two preparations for the development of Russia and Ukraine's conflict.
One possibility is that the Bayeng government only hopes that the Russian and Ukraine conflict will end in any way.
The second possibility is that the U.S. government foresee that Ukraine will fail in a poor way and prepares to use Zellenzki as a scapegoat. They have prepared to say: "We do our best to help Ukraine self -defense, but in the end, they are too incompetent, too corrupt, and the internal crickets are too deep."
Ukraine Slovenesk (Source: politician)
Biden's choice is firmly based on the interests of the United States. In the presidential campaign, Biden had made tough remarks to Russia. But after Biden took office, he emphasized that he hopes to establish a "stable and predictable relationship" with Russia. "In our long competition history, the two countries have been able to find the way to manage tensions and prevent the situation from upgrading and getting out of control."
Biden immediately accepted the proposal of Russia and the United States' "New Strategic Weapon Treaty" for five years, abandoning the US sanctions on the "Beixi 2" natural gas project, making Europe more relied on Russia's energy exports.
All in all, the United States has never eager to deal with Russia. Biden now found himself in the "agent war" with Russia, and this is a situation he never wanted.
"Economist" pointed out that the Russian -Ukraine conflict highlights the weakening of Western influence. After seeing a series of troubles such as the global food crisis and the European energy crisis, Biden may just want to get rid of this rotten stall. Even if Ukraine must make some territories concessions, the United States "will not control who controls Donbas Interested in the area. "
The consequences of US sanctions on Russia are not as expected, because most parts of the world refuse to condemn Russia with the West. Some countries are sympathetic to Russia, and some countries are angry with expensive oil and food prices. For example, many countries including India choose not to participate in sanctions against Russia, but call on all parties to talk.
On the battlefield, the Russian and Ukraine troops were exhausted. The energy shortage will test the determination of Ukrainian supporters. With the pain of the cold winter and the intensification of wars, unity within Ukraine may break. The future of Russia and Ukraine may be more difficult.
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