Social Comment: Trade a trade war in China?This should not be said at the least from European mouth
Author:Global Times Time:2022.08.17
Is there a trade war between China and Europe? This is a dangerous topic that European public opinion, including Germany, has recently speculated. China and Europe have been the main trading partners in recent years. They have experienced a lot of wind and waves together. The complementary and interdependence of the industrial chain is very high. According to theoretically, the "trade war" should not be a serious topic in Europe's policy discussion, but Some public opinion depicts a "reversed world" for Europeans: the China -Europe economy is not a "risk" to Europe, and some even claim that "must be prepared for conflict with China."
It must be pointed out that for Europe, this is a rigidity that cannot be ignored. At present, the European economic and people's livelihood is facing multiple challenges of complex interweaving the Russian -Ukraine conflict, energy crisis, high inflation, repeated epidemic conditions, and continuous high temperature and drought weather. Some people in Europe have to make a conflict with China. Is it because China is increasingly important for European interests, can they be stripped, precautionized and excluded? A normal person cannot dare to eat because he is afraid of choking, and it is impossible to smash the rice bowl.
In summary, European public opinion now mainly discusses two points: first, whether to actively reduce the economic and trade dependence on the Chinese market (that is, the "decoupling of economic and trade with China") to avoid passiveness that may be faced in the future; If Europe does not accept it, whether to take trade sanctions. Obviously, these two problems have made many Europeans a bit up, but I have to say that the two "problems" have a problem.
The first question should not understand the close economic and trade relationship between China and the EU as one -way dependence on one party on the other. To be precise, this is a normal "mutual dependence." The European economy, especially the German economy, is highly outgoing. This is determined by the trend of economic globalization. Europe has grasped the trend and fully enjoyed the dividend. In a recent report released by the IFO Economic Research Institute of Germany, if the trade war broke out with China and cut off economic and trade contact, Germany's economic losses may be 6 times the loss of Brexit. Former US President Trump applied for trade sticks to many countries, and Europe, especially France, was a firm opponent. At that time, the harm of the trade war was still shocked today in continental Europe. The term "trade war" should not take the initiative to spit out from the eloquence of European public opinion.
The second problem reflects the arrogance and prejudice of some people in Europe in the heart. They are accustomed to judging others with a sense of superiority, including China; in their opinion, economic and trade sanctions can be used as politically suppress chips to China. In fact, Europe has neither such a qualification nor such power. To a large extent, the first problem is that this consciousness is projected by ourselves. The two are two sides and strengthen each other. Those who suppress the impulse to China will be anxious and fearful about the importance of China's importance. We also need to remind people that some people in Europe should not think that by reducing the economic and trade dependence on China and creating conditions and space for the core interests of China, this is the upside -end.
There are indeed a lot of troubles in Europe recently, which provides a variety of extreme remarks to breed soil, and distant China has become an export of dissatisfaction with some people. But the problem is that China is not the responsible person of any of the above problems. With the toxicization of China -Europe mutual trust, it harms Sino -European economic cooperation to alleviate its anxiety. In recent years, the United States has constituted a strong traction of Europe on major geographical political issues. The result of this traction is basically the United States "full" and Europe "falls". Right now, Europe needs a real "internal affairs" to see how much its anxiety it is surrounded by China comes from real China, and how many losses from strategic strategy of the United States.
Former German Prime Minister Schmidt once said: Germany should beware of the "moral apostle" of the world, which is also applicable to the entire Europe today. Many European economists recently said in an interview with the media that people must separate political differences from normal trade. "China should be respected accordingly" to warn Europe not to take short -sighted behavior. Their reminders are very targeted. The tendency of European public opinion is worrying, and some content is very much like copying from the United States. But Europe is not a state in the United States. This important fact, Europeans cannot ignore it, otherwise it is easy to fall into a large pit specially dug in Europe.
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