How far can the first important agreement signed by Russia and Ukraine?

Author:Xinmin Evening News Time:2022.07.23

Foreign media analysis said that as long as the conflict between the two parties continues and the sense of dislocation is still there, how far the agreement can go, it is still unknown.

Although the war continued, Russia and Ukraine reached the first important agreement outside the battlefield.

On the afternoon of the 22nd local time, representatives of Istanbul, Turkey, and Russia and Ukraine signed agreements with the United Nations and Turkish officials, which aims to spread the way to solve Russia and Ukrainian grain out of the Heihai Port.

This is the first time that the two parties have signed an agreement after the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine conflict. From the perspective of the outside world, if the implementation is smooth, this will alleviate the current problems of food shortage in the world, especially the lack of development.

At the signing site of the agreement, UN Secretary -General Gutres compared the agreement to "a lighthouse on the Black Sea that symbolizes hope." However, the deep distrust between Russia and Ukraine, and the question mark was drawn for whether the agreement could be successfully implemented and implemented.

The agreement signed the scene. Picture source: nyt

Russia and Ukraine Signing Agreement

After several months of negotiations, Russia and Ukraine have made breakthroughs in negotiations on agricultural products from the Port of Heihai.

On the 22nd, under the witness of UN Secretary -General Gutres and Turkish President Erdogan, Russia and Ukraine signed an agreement in Istanbul.

On the same day, the Russian Defense Minister Shoegu and the Minister of Infrastructure of Ukraine Alexander Kubrakov attended the signing ceremony. However, the two sides did not sit on the same negotiating table, but signed relevant documents with Turkey and the United Nations respectively.

According to the agreement, the three Ukrainian ports -Odessa, Chelno Mosc and You Ri were included in the agricultural product agreement of foreign transportation. The control of these ports is still in Ukraine. Except for related ships, other ships are not allowed to enter these ports.

The agreement stipulates that both Russia and Ukraine will allow agricultural products such as food and fertilizers to export to the international market via the Black Sea to ensure that the transport vessels do not fire. The two sides will conduct joint inspections on the ship at the port to avoid the situation of transportation in the process. Turkey is responsible for ensuring the safety of ships in the Black Sea, and will set up a coordination center in Istanbul, including UN officials, which will jointly supervise the export of agricultural products in Russia and Ukraine.

Foreign media generally believe that this is the first major agreement reached between Russia and Ukraine since the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine conflict. The agreement is mainly for mediation by Turkey and the United Nations, without the participation of Western countries such as the United States and the European Union.

The product of the two sides compromises

Recently, Russia and Ukraine were stalemate in the Donbas area, and the war was still fierce. What are the considerations of the two parties on the battlefield to reach such an agreement outside the battlefield?

On the 22nd, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said that Russia hopes that all parties can pay "all the necessary efforts" to effectively implement the "cripples" agreement on Russia and Ukrainian agricultural products. Ukrainian President Zelei Sky stated on the same day that the agreement was fully in line with Ukraine's interests and stated that it would bring income, employment opportunities, and funds required for the seeding season next year to the farmers, agricultural departments and countries in Ukraine.

A peasant of Lavorf, Ukraine. Picture source: nyt

According to Zheng Runyu, a scholar at the Russian Research Center of East China Normal University, this agreement is the product of Russia and Ukraine's compromise under multiple offices and will not have much impact on the process of war.

As far as Russia is concerned, such arrangements can alleviate their own export difficulties and respond to the so -called "use of grain as weapons". Russia also hopes that while cooperating with the international community in terms of energy, food and other aspects, it has attracted the attention of all parties and seek to break the situation of western countries that blindly isolation.

As far as Ukraine is concerned, this is the first opportunity to export products from Heihai Port for the past five months. Ukraine itself is a large agricultural country, and agricultural products can be successfully exported through sea transport, which is in line with its national interests.

Ukraine is the fifth -larger wheat exporter in the world. Picture source: nyt

Zheng Runyu believes that since the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine conflict, many international forces have been involved in it, and the once simple military confrontation has also transformed into a multi -level non -military force game. The signing of this agreement is the needs of the two parties, and it has multiple significance for the pursuit of international cooperation and trying to transform the attitude towards Russia in Russia. But he also pointed out that the signing of the agreement does not mean the ease of war between the two countries.

The Black Sea Port in Ukraine is reopened, what does it mean for global food safety?

"Today, there is a lighthouse on the Black Sea." In Gutres's eyes, this agreement symbolizes hope and possibilities. He said it would provide relief for some developing countries on the edge of bankruptcy and the most vulnerable groups on the edge of famine.

Russia and Ukraine are the two major agricultural exporters in the world. For a long time, both countries have mainly relied on the port of Black Sea coast to carry out international trade flow. After the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine conflict, Ukraine stopped commercial shipping at the port.

According to the information of the Ministry of Agriculture in Ukraine, Ukraine's grain exports are very high to sea transportation. Before the conflict broke out, nearly 90%of the grains were exported through the Black Sea. At present, nearly 20 million tons of grain has been accommodated in the port of Odessa region alone.

The New York Times analysis believes that this agreement can send the backlog of food in the port to the world market. To a certain extent, it can alleviate those developing countries that seriously rely on Russia's grain, especially in Africa. pressure.

How to execute more difficulties

For some time, both Russia and Ukraine have been cautious about the agreement. Until the 21st, Erdogan released the agreement on the 22nd, and both Russia and Ukraine did not respond to this. Even if the agreement is reached now, the Russia -Ukrainian execution agreement is in a state of war, or it will face major obstacles.

"Ukraine has accused Russia of blocking the port and prevented Ukraine from exporting food. Now he is even more worried that Russia may use the security channels in the waters near Odeza for future military operations. A large amount of mines are set up in the Black Sea waters to endanger navigation safety. "The New York Times analyzed that because both parties were deeply doubting each other, the agreement was not impossible.

Odessa is the largest port on the Black Sea coast. Picture source: nyt

On the 22nd, a spokesman for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Wang Wenbin, said in response to related questions that China welcomed it. The two parties hope that the relevant party will maintain the conversation between the dialogue, in order to end the conflict as soon as possible and achieve the conditions of peace as soon as possible.

"For the shipping company, this is a risky 'corridor'. A conflict on the sea may destroy the entire agreement." Foreign media analysis said that as long as the conflict between the two parties continues and the sense of dislocation is still there, then this agreement is How far can go, it is still unknown.

Produced deep -sea district studio

Written Wang Ruoxian

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