The release of the world and the Chinese population output data and the low fertility rate response seminar held

On July 12, 2022, on the occasion of the 33rd World Population Day, the "World and the Chinese Population Outlook Data Release and Low Fertility Promotion Seminar" hosted by the China Population and Development Research Center was successfully held in Beijing. The meeting was co -organized by the United Nations Division and the United Nations Population Fund in China, and the Chinese Population Society provided support.

Yu Xuejun, deputy director of the National Health Commission, Liu Zhenmin, deputy secretary -general of the United Nations, and Arthur Erken, the Division of the UN Population Fund Policy and Strategy Department, gave a speech at the opening ceremony. Yu Xuejun said that the United Nations Division released the "World Population Outlook (2022)" (WPP2022) report to predict the global and China's population development trend. It is of great significance. Liu Zhenmin pointed out that more and more world population forecasting data carried out by the United Nations Division has been adopted by various countries, academic circles and civilian social organizations. Timely and accurately predicting population trends are an important part of the state's development planning and evaluation in the later period. Arthur Erken said that at present, the UN Population Fund focuses on "population elasticity". The purpose is to strengthen the ability to formulate population and social policies and plans in various countries to cope with changes in the structure and scale of the population, thereby accelerating the human capital capital of the whole society, the common social human capital, and the common social, the common social, the common social, and the common society Build the future of prosperity. Researcher He Dan, director of the China Population and Development Research Center, presided over the opening ceremony.

The first topic of the meeting was "the Development Trends of the World and China", hosted by Deputy Director Liu Hongyan of the China Population and Development Research Center. Dr. John Wilmoth, the Division of UN Population Division, reported the main discovery and method innovation of the latest version of "World Population Outlook (2022)". The "World Population Outlook (2022)" released by the United Nations Division of Population uses scientific prediction models and methods to depict the world population changes and development laws from 1950 to 2020. At the same time The report shows that from now to 2050, more than half of the global population growth will come from the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines and Tanzania. Sahara Africa will contribute more than half of the global population. In most countries in Sahara Africa, as well as some countries in Asia and Latin America, the proportion of labor age (25-64 years) will increase due to the decline in fertility. The changes in the age structure of this population will bring a limited opportunity to accelerate the rapid growth of the per capita economy, that is, the "demographic dividend". To maximize the advantages of this age distribution, related countries should vigorously invest in human capital, and to ensure that the population of all ages enjoy health care and high -quality education, and promote productive employment and dignified work. The important information transmitted by the report is of great significance for coordinating the distribution of social resources and formulating economic and social development plans, and has received widespread attention and support from all walks of life.

Deputy Director Zhang Xuying of the China Population and Development Research Center introduced the trend of population changes in China's population with the title of "1.4 billion people: the future of high -quality development". Based on the results of medium and long -term predictions, China's future population development mainly shows zero growth of 1.4 billion population, the birth population has entered a period of 10 million platforms, a labor age population of more than 900 million and continuous improvement, the elderly population exceeds 400 million, the size of the elderly population has doubled, the total social total society is Raising comparison is rising rapidly and more than 1 billion people live in seven major trends such as urban areas. Based on the new trend of the future development of the population, my country needs to actively promote the future of moderate fertility, continuously digging the new dividends of human capital, continuously improving pension guarantees, promoting the health of aging, and moving towards high -quality development. Cui Hongyan, deputy director of the Department of Population and Employment Statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, and Terry Hull, a professor at the National University of Australia, as expert reviews. The United Nations and the Chinese government pays attention to population issues. It is expected that on November 15 this year, the global population is expected to exceed 8 billion. This is not only a major event worth celebrating in human history, but also has brought major challenges to the sustainable development of society, economic and environmental, and has brought major challenges. Forecasting and understanding these population changes are of great significance to China and other countries in the world.

The second subject of the meeting was "the global and China low fertility response", chaired by Dr. Kang Jiating, representative of the United Nations Population Fund in China. Professor Christopher Murray at the University of Washington, Peter McDonald, Professor of Melbourne University, Zhang Lei, deputy director of the Peking University Institute of Population, Tang Mengjun, Researcher at the China Population and Development Research Center, Victoria BoyDell, Lecturer of the University of Essex, around China and the world. The fertility support system and policy response of the whole life cycle are discussed. Professor Terry Hull of the National University of Australia, Deputy Director of the Institute of Population and Social Security of Japan, Reiko Hayashi, President of the Asian Population Society, Hao Fuqing, Deputy Director of the Social Development Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, and Du Xixue, Commissioner of the National Family Department of Health and Health. Comments. Faced with the changes in the global population structure of low fertility, countries need to learn from each other to learn from each other, explore the social environment and policy environment of childbearing friendly, and release the potential of fertility, thereby achieving the harmonious and sustainable development of population and environment, society. Professor Zhai Zhenwu, President of the Chinese Population Society and Renmin University of China, summarized the conference to highly evaluate the pragmatic, efficient, and academic characteristics of the meeting, and said that in the context of the era of great powers, the trend of long -term population development and changes The far -reaching impact on reshaping the world structure is a factor that global governance cannot be ignored in the future. Accurately predicting and deepening the development trend of the population will help to accelerate the implementation of the UN 2030 ACO of 2030, steadily promote the implementation of the global development initiative, and jointly build a global development community.

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