[Scientific Power] AI can also fill in the college entrance examination volunteers?Is the data reliable?

With the release of the 2022 college entrance examination results in various places, filling in volunteers has become the most concerned on the college entrance examination candidates and parents. At the same time, the "semi -self -service" volunteer filling mode has gradually become the mainstream. So, is the volunteer filling software for the so -called algorithm, big data, and AI artificial intelligence accurate prediction. Is the admission probability credible?

According to statistics from the Ministry of Education, the number of applicants for college entrance examinations in 2022 was 11.93 million, an increase of 1.15 million over last year. Earlier, experts predicted that the reform of the college entrance examination high -end enrollment will spawn a market size of 600 billion, and will also be 200 billion yuan each year.

The huge market increasing amount has bred unlimited business opportunities, and also made the volunteer from the college entrance examination a popular project. And the popularity of AI to fill in volunteers also faces many people's doubts: Is this really reliable?

Can it rely entirely on the AI ​​algorithm?

Under normal circumstances, candidates only need to fill in the province and test scores in accordance with the requirements, and the reporting system will give a recommendation school according to the algorithm and give the probability that it will be online.

However, in fact, the computing logic and data reserves of the system filling in the system are from public data given by education departments and colleges in various places. Candidates and parents can obtain it free of charge from official channels. The advantages of the platform are more. Visualization.

Some volunteer filling software on the market currently

In July last year, the quark browser once ranked first on the App Store's free download list and the tool category application list. It exceeded WeChat, Douyin, Pinduoduo, etc. on the top of the App Store list for a long time. As long as you download the application and search for the word "college entrance examination" in the search box of the quark browser, you can easily enter the quark college entrance examination service.

Compared with last year, this year's Quark college entrance examination did not add any new features. The professional information inquiry of the colleges and colleges and the reference suggestions of the three types of "rushing, guarantee, and stability" are relatively simple and easy to use. However, last year's Quark College Entrance Examination Association gave a rational analysis of the volunteer forms of the candidates, and proposed an evaluation of "volunteer table arrangements" or "too many schools". This function was canceled this year, which is really incredible Essence

According to the identity of the Beijing Daily reporters as the identity of the top science candidates in Jiangxi Province and the real college entrance examination results, they tried the four apps of Quark, You Volunteer, Extreme Volunteer, and Perfect Volunteer. Like Ji University, the four apps showed that their admission probability was 47%, 14%, 60%, and less than 1%, respectively. The maximum probability and minimum probability were 59 percentage points.

In the "one -click reporting function", the four apps also gave very different suggestions. The "secure college" given by Quark is Zhejiang University, Harbin University of Technology, and Xi'an Jiaotong University. The name "Steady College" is South China University of Technology, East China Normal University and Xiamen University.

AI: Not an artifact but a reference tool

In fact, the so -called AI algorithm software is only a tool for data analysis, which will combine past data for probability prediction analysis. It can be referred to but cannot be excessively dependent.

On the one hand, the quality of AI volunteer filling software itself is different, and it is difficult to ensure the authenticity and objectivity of its data. For example, some users have complained that according to a software prediction, the probability of the first six universities they reported should be more than 70%. As a result, they slipped all the way, and finally only admitted to the guarantee school. The user also ate bitter fruit because of superstition software.

On the other hand, AI prediction is only a purely tool -based data analysis. The college entrance examination reports involve more complicated factors, including human psychology, social public opinion, enrollment policies, school dynamics, etc. It is difficult to make accurate predictions in itself. What's more, the prediction of software will also affect the actual admission situation. For example, some software speculates that the admission score line of a certain major may be very low, and many candidates may apply for this major. "Year" phenomenon.

According to Sina Finance reports, a number of relevant persons related to the admissions office said that the AI ​​reporting volunteer cards on the Internet are based on what algorithm and the system behind it is unclear, so the recommended basic data may be different.

The above -mentioned relevant persons also stated that some merchants' databases may be data that is directly entered without processing, and even directly publish the admission score line through the colleges and universities to grab the data. "The format of each school's announcement is different. If the data is captured by grabbing software without verification, the data will be very different. If inaccurate recommendations are given, it will mislead or even harm students."

Gao Liangyuan, deputy director of the senior department of Shandong Experimental Middle School, also expressed similar views on the media. He believes that through these tools, they may help some parents and candidates who have not been prepared in advance to provide them with a referenced college application scope quickly. However, at this stage, big data applied to volunteer filling does not meet the needs of each candidate. Therefore, it is not dependent or exclusive to these online volunteers filling in the app. "AI is more about the role of information query and reference."

Chu Chaohui, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Education and Science, said that the AI ​​college entrance examination volunteer filling software can be used as a reference, but it cannot be believed too much, let alone make it a navigator in life. "Regardless of how much data analysis dimensions are claimed to be, its consideration is still extremely limited." Chu Chaohui said that it should avoid excessive use of absolute scores to fill in volunteers. Students' interests, hobbies, advantageous potential and other qualities are far complicated in scores. And important, "Parents and students should comprehensively consider the three dimensions of college entrance examination scores, self -advantageous potential and social needs, and finally find a fit point." Xiong Bingqi, Dean of the 21st Century Education Research Institute, also said that many candidates are currently when they fill in their volunteers as volunteering. "Hand of the shopkeeper" was selected by parents to choose schools and majors. After entering college, I found that they did not like it at all. The same is true for AI to fill in volunteers. These software can provide analysis policies and data services, but not necessarily suitable for candidates. Xiong Bingqi suggested that parents and high school schools can be a staff member or for professional tools for candidates, but the final choice should be the main choice, analyze interest, and make long -term planning.

Where can I see the volunteer information?

Qin Chunhua, dean of the Peking University Examination Research Institute, said that in recent years, various universities, social public welfare organizations, and social public welfare persons have done a lot of work to help students fill in their volunteers.

The first category is the enrollment office of various universities. Not only the staff of the college admissions office, the school has also mobilized teachers and students to volunteer to participate in admissions work. This is the most important channel.

The second category is the media. Do a variety of enrollment consultations, including online consultation meetings.

The third category is some volunteers, and a large number of volunteer filling agencies emerging. Some of these institutions also provide customers and candidates with professional services with their own professional knowledge and in -depth research, but there are also different situations of good and bad. Even some people have not even read universities. He also guides others to fill in reports. volunteer. The service and quality of such institutions can be imagined.

For the professional choices that many parents and candidates are concerned about, Qin Chunhua said that there is no such thing as a popularity. Even a popular major at the moment, the situation will change in a few years. "If you go completely according to the professional heat, it will always be swinging. The life of a person is very long, and the career he experienced is also cycles, so we should use a stable and unchanged professional expectation. Come to cope with the changes in the outside world. "

China Xiaokang.com Comprehensive Beijing Daily, Finance and Economics Technology, China Voice of China Radio and Television Station, China Education Online, Palm Spring City, etc.

Review: Gong Zimo

- END -