If Chinese military expenses can account for 2%of GDP, can the navy more aircraft carrier fighting group?

"Military Bills" Author: Blood Blade

Affected by factors such as the Russian and Ukraine War, the military expense budget of many countries in 2022 increased significantly, while the Chinese military expenditure budget was approximately 1450.45 billion yuan, an increase of 7.1%over 2021, and the increase was 0.3 percentage points from last year. However, the proportion of GDPs in China ’s military expenses is only about 1.3%. As a comparison, the US-Russian military expenses account for 3.74%-4.26%, respectively. Therefore, China’ s gap is not difficult to imagine.

▲ In recent years, the military expenditures of many countries have begun to significantly improved since 2021. China has successively launched the relevant equipment ordering of the “Interim Provisions on the Supervision and Management of Army Equipment Procurement Contracts”, “Regulations on the Inspection of Army Equipment Test”, and “Regulations for Army Equipment Order”. The system marks that the use of Chinese national defense budget has begun to comprehensively optimize the structure. From the perspective of the development direction of the People's Liberation Army's arms, the Navy is undoubtedly a big head. Not long ago, the second domestic aircraft carrier's Fujian ship was laid off, and the large number of new destroyers and nuclear submarines were built, which explained this.

At the same time, the United States has also opened an unprecedented large fleet expansion plan since the Reagan era, and its naval military expenses also ranked first in the major US military. Many netizens began to imagine: If the current GDP of China is raised to 2%, how many aircraft carrier battle groups can be made?

What are the characteristics of China's military expenses in 2022? Where is the worse than other military power?

Since 1989, China's defense expenditure is divided into four stages. The first stage ended in 1998. At this time, China's economy has developed rapidly, and the growth rate of GDP has significantly exceeded the growth rate of military expenses. The second stage is from 1999 to 2008. The growth rate of military expenses exceeded the growth rate of GDP; the third stage was from 2009 to 2018. Due to the global financial crisis and inflation, China strengthened economic expansion, and the compound growth rate of GDP exceeded the growth rate of military expenses. Since 2019, the proportion of China's GDP and military expenses has begun to balance.

▲ China's GDP has surpassed the United States in 2021. Since 2016, China's national defense budget has continued to decrease to single digits for six years, with a corresponding increase of 7.6%, 7%, 8.1%, 7.5%, 6.6%, and 6.8%. Essence From the point of view, many important weapons developed by projects have been basically shape in recent years, and the rapid development of China's economy has also enabled them to be installed in a short time.

In recent years, the total military expenses of China have remained at the second level of the world, but it should be pointed out that this is the result of compensated growth, because the development of China's defense industry has been slow for a long time for a long time. Today, the world structure has changed significantly, and China must increase military expenses in conjunction with its own international status, economic volume and strategic security needs. Therefore, the growth and current total of China's military expenditure are also within the scope of normal expenses.

▲ On the surface, China ’s military expenditure reaches the second in the world, but if you study it, you will find that its gap is located based on the 2020 report of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. The cumulative investment has reached nearly 7 times that of China! Even though China's military expenditure budget increased significantly in 2022, it was not one -third of the United States! In comparison, the total number of GDPs in China has remained at the level of more than two -thirds of the United States, and many economic experts show that the total number of Chinese GDP may even be flat or even surpassed the United States in the near future.

▲ The proportion of Chinese military expenses in GDP is obviously insufficient. As a defeated country in World War II, Japan's cumulative investment in military expenses in the new century has also reached half of China; Russia's GDP is equivalent to a wealthy province in China, but the cumulative investment in military expenses is close to approaching 60 % of China. From the perspective of military expenditures in the GDP ratio, China remains at a level of about 1.3%-1.4%, and there is a significant gap over India (nearly 2.9%)! And another defeated country Germany in World War II also stated that it would make military expenditures 2%of the national GDP in 2022!

▲ China's per capita military expenditure level is significantly different. In terms of per capita, the gap between China is even more obvious. In 2017, the per capita national defense expenses of China were RMB 750, which was equivalent to 5%of the United States, 25%of Russia, 13%of the United Kingdom, 16%of France, 29%in Japan, and 20%of Germany. In 2021, the per capita expenses of Chinese people also increased to RMB 1035, while the per capita military expenditure in the United States had reached US $ 2183 in 2019, which still maintained an advantage of about 20 times.

How much budget does the Chinese Navy be divided?

In 2021, the total military expenses in the United States were US $ 740.5 billion, and the naval costs exceeded 230 billion U.S. dollars, far exceeding the Army, Air Force and the Marine Corps. This money must not only be used for the maintenance of a large number of overseas naval bases and the upgrading of existing ships. And it will also be used for the construction of new aircraft carriers, nuclear submarines, and destroyers. Some media said that the total defense budget in the United States will reach US $ 813.3 billion, so the US Navy will get more budgets.

▲ China's military expenditure in recent years is that the two major oceans are adjacent to each other, so the strategic environment of the United States is similar to Britain. It can be described as a special oversized island country, and the United States does not have a military power that borders it. Therefore Comparison of significance. Before the outbreak of World War II, the number of US Army was even less than 170,000. Not only was not as good as Germany and Japan, but it could only be similar to the Romania at the time, but compared with it, the strength of the U.S. Navy was tied with the old maritime overlord Britain in the world. First. China's total military expenses in 2021 were US $ 209 billion. If it is proportioned in the United States, the Navy may even get a budget of more than $ 60 billion. However, the main challenges in China at this stage are obviously from sea. Regardless of whether cross -sea amphibians or protecting the long sea and sea transportation, a strong navy needs to be backed by. So even if China does not maintain the needs of global maritime hegemony like the United States, it also needs strong maritime power.

▲ The investment and use of China's military expenditure "China Defense in the New Era" (also known as the Chinese Defense White Paper) said: The status of the Chinese Navy in national security and development is very important. According to strategic needs, the Chinese Navy must completely completely start offshore from offshore. Defense transitions to the defense of the distant sea, thus enhances strategic deterrence and counterattack, maritime maneuverability, joint maritime combat, comprehensive defense operations and comprehensive guarantee capabilities. It is not difficult to see that a large number of Chinese navy will still be the key development target, which is also determined by China's future strategic challenges.

▲ The Chinese Navy still has to make up for the rapid development of the previous homework "Chinese Defense of the New Era". It also clarifies that Chinese defense expenditures include equipment costs, training support fees and personnel living expenses. Part of the proportion will increase from 33.2%in 2010 to 41.4%in 2017. Therefore, in fiscal 2022, the PLA's equipment fee budget may be close to 500 billion yuan. According to the plan, the purchase fee of the Navy reaches 6%-10%of the total military expenses every fiscal year. Therefore, the Chinese Navy may get hundreds of billions of RMB as the equipment budget!

How much does it cost to develop giant aircraft carrier strike groups? What are the advantages of China than the United States?

Beginning at the end of April this year, the Chinese ocean formation of the Liaoning ship went to the Western Pacific again for a series of co -starring performances. Its escort ships include a large 055 large destroyer, three 052D destroyers, a 052C destroyer, a 054A class. The frigate and a large -scale comprehensive supply ship of the 901 class can be described as a record. Such a formation not only has a very strong ability to make seamaking, but also is also a mobile Kingsoft Yinshan.

▲ Every time the Liaoning ship formation goes to sea, it means that the huge expenditure military expert Yin Zhuo once said: The cost of the 052D class destroyer is 500,000 yuan per ton, and the higher the ship's performance, the higher the cost per ton. Therefore, the costs per ton of 054A and 055 levels are 400,000 and 600,000 yuan, respectively. From this conversion, the purchase price of a single 054A, 052C/D and 055 levels may be about 2 billion yuan, 300-4 billion billion, respectively. Yuanhe 6 billion yuan. The Liaoning ship completely forms combat effectiveness from renovation to transformation, which is almost equal to new creation, and its cost may be 20 billion. Coupled with a 901-class supply ship, the purchase price of the Liaoning ship's shipping price is 4-54 billion yuan! If other costs are added, the cost will be more expensive.

▲ The price of the Fujian ship may even be close to the 50 billion levels. It is reported that the procurement price of the first domestic aircraft carrier Shandong ship is about 30 billion yuan. The purchase price of Fujian ships that soon launching the water may reach 40-50 billion yuan! Since the main task area of ​​the Fujian ship may be outside the first or even the second island chain, this requires more new destroyers and frigates. With reference to the configuration of the U.S. military aircraft carrier strike group, the Fujian ship formation may include 2 055, 4-6 long deck type 052D, 054B frigates and 901-level comprehensive supply ships 1-2 ships. The underwater power may include 1- Two new nuclear submarines, so the purchase price of all ships in the Fujian ship battle group may even be close to hundreds of billions of yuan!

From the current military expenditure between China and the United States, China still has several times with the United States, but this does not mean that China cannot catch up with the United States in the fleet size. As early as the 1930s, the cost of shipbuilding in the United States was 50%higher than that of other countries. The actual price of South Dakota -class treaties was almost more expensive than giant battleships! The US aircraft carrier is also a lot more expensive than the same specifications of other countries. When fans of later generations saw a large number of ships building various types of ships in that year, they often mistakenly believed that the U.S. ships were cheap. This view was undoubtedly wrong.

▲ Although the tonnage and combat effectiveness gap are obvious, the price of South Dakota's level even exceeds the price of the Dahe -class American ships is the "American Maritime Commercial Act" a century ago. Participated in the international market competition, so even if the United States was the world's number one industrial power to build ships first, its shipyard construction capacity was very strong. However, the U.S. shipyard has lost the opportunity to upgrade the scientific manpower and use resources, and the labor cost of the United States has significantly exceeded other countries. Therefore, the construction cost of American ships has been high.

During the World War II, a large number of ships were manufactured, and only with the help of the American industry and war background, it did not help the overall progress of the American shipyard. Instead, it caused the American shipbuilding industry to continue to face the original problem after the war. The cost continued to expand, and even almost completely lost the position of the civilian ship market. To this day, most American shipyards can only rely on shipbuilding to maintain, but because the effective management of human and material resources has not been solved, the cost of US warships has always existed. ▲ The price of Jumwalt-class single ships exceeded 4.5 billion US dollars. It was almost expensive from 2007 to 2017. From the United States, there were only less than a hundred types of folk ships sold abroad, and the domestic orders had too much profit. At the same time, the three major ship -made ships of China, Japan and South Korea have continuously obtained orders from various countries. Therefore, not only can they use the development of civilian ships to share a lot of costs, but they can also use overseas orders to nurture naval ships. Therefore, even the Aegis Shield Ship, such as the Atago class, is only $ 1.5 billion, which is almost half of the Berke-3 destroyer in the United States!

▲ Although the combat effectiveness of the 055 -level drive is very considerable, its price is relatively cheap in the world that the Chinese shipbuilding industry began to rank first in the world in 2020. Shipyards such as Jiangnan have also been known for building high -quality private ships. Therefore, even if the 055 -level combat performance has surpassed any of the active surface ships in the United States, its price is still much lower than the top new destroyer of the US military. The main thing is that the level of infrastructure and heavy industry in China has far exceeded the United States, so the resource utilization rate is much better. Even if the US military's budget has obvious advantages, it is not difficult to offset.

If China's military expenditure accounts for 2%, can we build a few more aircraft carrier battle groups?

The Navy is the most expected arms, and the aircraft carrier is the most expected project. A U.S. aircraft carrier will include more than hundreds of billions of dollars in their service career. It also helps the US economy very much. According to the United States' own statistics, the construction and corresponding equipment development of large conventional power carrier involves 214 industries, while Nimitz and Ford -class aircraft carriers involve more than 2,700 industries. The development of these industries has finally led to drive, which has finally led to drive Non -military industry.

▲ The improvement of China's defense costs will not hinder the development of other industries. According to relevant data from China, it will be upgraded from the Liaoning ship to the construction of the Fujian ship. The 95 national economic industries and the types of 396 industries have benefited. Since the aircraft carrier engineering itself is the large industry of resources, technology and talent dense, not only requires strong national strength, but also steel, chemical industry, energy, shipbuilding, equipment, precision manufacturing, electronics, information, raw materials, chemical and light industry will also be together as a result Driving, and these industries will bring great help to the national GDP. In 2021, the total number of GDPs in China was close to $ 17 trillion. If China's military expenditure reaches a ratio of 2%on this, its total amount will be close to 3.34 trillion US dollars, about nearly 2.3 trillion yuan! This is about 800 billion yuan more than the current actual military expenses! If this money is used to develop an aircraft carrier battle group, it can be built and operated at least 5-6 in the future possible Fujian ship battle group! At that time, the Chinese Navy will be the only powerful force on the blue star that can fully compete for the "strong enemy" navy!

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