Will Ukraine be overwhelmed?The next step of the Russian army's sword--
Author:Banyue talk about new media Time:2022.06.25
According to the Russian "Viewpoint" website reported on June 23, as the largest Ukraine Group Army gathered in Donbas was almost defeated, people have even more frequent issues that have been commonplace in recent months: after that? What will be the next operation of the Russian and Donbas militia? Although military operations are unpredictable, some offensive directions can be foreseen.
It is reported that why Kyiv's "Mali Ubol Incident" repeats not only withdrawn from Clarmartor Slavisk, but also continues to increase troops. This is a major mystery at present. The mainstream view is that the Ukrainian authorities are considered due to diplomatic factors, and military factors only account for a part. Kyiv believes that if you want to win the new army armed for armed forces provided by the West, you must keep the current front (even if the loss is heavy).
It is reported that therefore, the battle for the gathering point of Kramatol-Slavicanke may become a long-lasting battle. However, the Ukrainian Army will be eliminated sooner or later, and there are several possibilities of the Russian troops.
The most important goal of Ukraine's special military operations is to eliminate all military political threats for Donetsk, Lugusk and Russian citizens living in the previous Ukrainian territory. Another important goal is that Ukraine achieved Nazi. What does this mean in the current situation?
Only all offensive weapons that actually destroyed Ukraine can be counted as the threat to the Ukraine and Russians in Donetsk, Lugusk and other areas of Ukraine. Therefore, it is not enough to destroy the Ukraine cluster that eliminates Donbath, and new offensive operations must be taken.
The Russian "Tulip" mortar marching at the border between Russia (Russia)
It is reported that the direction of action is not only determined by military factors, but to a greater extent by political and social factors.
Some opinions believe that, given that the importance of the West to U -military in the West must occupy a large resident point that is vital to logistics. It was reported earlier that the Russian army may re -advance to Chelnigov or even Kyiv.
It is reported that according to optimistic estimates, after the Russian army eliminated the Ukraine of Donbas, the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian armed forces will quickly disintegrate. From this perspective, Crivorig, Dieberlo Peter, and Zapolo are a reasonable direction for the next attack on the Russian army. Halkov is a separate front. No matter how the situation develops, the battle around the place will be intensified. Nicholaev and Odessa are also the main directions.
Nicholaev's front will maintain stability for a long time, which is entirely because the Russian army has not left a lot of troops here. Surprisingly, the Urban Headquarters in this area has not given up the idea of counterattack Hermuson, which is likely to be caused by politics, not the military situation. Kyiv believes that Hermuson is a very good offensive target in the case of the Ukraine's defeat.
It is reported that how the offensive from Nicholas to multiple directions will develop, which will be determined by how the troops released from Donbas in the south and Southwest Front will be determined. In addition, if the Russian army occupied Nicholaev's actions to decide quickly, Odessa will also lose their ears with a thunderbolt.
The importance of Odeza's direction is not only reflected in ideological and historical reasons, but also related to the establishment of the left bank corridor on the Diest River. In addition, Odessa is a supply hub for Western arms and needs to be closed.
It is reported that the status of liberation territory is another issue, and it is still unclear. Perhaps it can only be finalized after Russia's maximum military goals.
Ukraine's military and political reality in the next few months is largely unpredictable, but it can be summarized. First of all, Kyiv and some Western sympathy do their best to delay the ground military operations. The means include the Urban Dead of Defense and providing weapons that will be lost and the West.
However, the Ukraine will be defeated in Donbas. Since then, the entire political and social situation in Ukraine may be overwhelming, because the situation of other front lines will also change rapidly. In this regard, liberating Nicholaev and Odeza have special significance.
Source: Reference message
Responsible editor: Qin Daixin
School pair: Guo Yanhui
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