Putin kicked off and called Europe and the United States!Interpret "the first military mobilization of Russia since World War II"

Russian President Putin delivered a national speech on the morning of the 21st, announcing "some military mobilization". The Minister of Defense of Russia, Shi Yigu, said that he would call for 300,000 reserve personnel.

Reuters and the Associated Press emphasized: "This is the first mobilization of Russia since World War II."

Putin's tricks. This mobilization is unusual, let us do policy interpretation one by one.

On April 18th, Russian Moscow's Red Square Victory Day Parade.

First of all, look at the focus of Russia emphasized:

The first is to emphasize "necessary".

Putin said that because Russia's conflict facing "Ukraine and Donbas" is "protracted" and Russia is fighting "the entire Western military machine" in Ukraine, such mobilization is "wise and necessary".

Shaygu said that it is necessary to mobilize "to control 1,000 kilometers of contact lines and liberated areas", so 300,000 reserve personnel will be recruited.

The second article is to emphasize the "part".

Putin said the move only used the reserve soldiers and those who had completed the national service (that is, veterans, veterans). He promised to provide them with additional training and all the benefits of active personnel.

"These people are not people who have never heard of the army," Sahgu said. "These are all serving, people with military majors, and military experience." He also said: "Our recruits will continue to be in the Russian Federation. "Entry", "they will not be sent to a special military action zone."

Shogu added that some mobilizations are not for college students studying at school, and "they will not call them to join the army under any conditions."

The third article is to emphasize "starting today."

Putin said that the "mobilization activities" will start today, and the reserve soldiers are recruited to join the army. He also ordered the government's funding for Russian weapons production. Sho Gulu confirmed later that he had signed the relevant instructions, the tasks of the Russian Federation's subjects had been determined, and the General Staff's instructions on the mobilization work of the Russian troops were issued.

Next, look at the interpretation of Putin policy in Western media:

First, some mobilization will consolidate Russia's "war foundation", and at the same time, it means that Russian companies and citizens must make more contributions to the military operations of Ukraine.

Second, this shows that Russia is preparing for a long -lasting and intensified conflict and starting substantial implementation steps.

Here, the example of the Western media is that the day before Putin announced some mobilization, on September 20, the Russian Duma (lower council) voted through the amendment of the military service law to strengthen the evasion of the Russian citizens and Russian soldiers. For the punishment of the behavior and other behaviors, members also voted for the decision to be sentenced to a maximum of 15 years in prison.

Third, in Western media reports, Putin "threatened the use of nuclear weapons" in his speech on the 21st. Putin's original words were: "Those who try to use nuclear weapons to extort us should know", "Our country also has various destructive methods, and In some ways, it is more modern than NATO countries. " "If the territorial integrity of our country is threatened, we will definitely use all the means we master to protect Russia and our people."

Fourth, Putin announced in a national speech on the 21st that Russia has been "required to support" Donetsk, Lugusk, Hermuson and Zapolo to join Russia's referendum. According to the current polls, the results of the referendum in these four regions may be the same as Crimea. CNN said that Moscow defined Ukraine's counterattack as an attack on Russia itself, "thereby providing an excuse for upgrading military reactions to Moscow."

On May 7, Russia's Moscow's "Victory Day" military vehicle during the rehearsal of the Red Square in Moscow.

The above analysis is for your reference judgment, and Yan Yanxia also talks about his own views.

First of all, Putin's time is sharp.

Just as the UN General Assembly, the Weekly Conference was held in New York. From the middle of the night of Beijing time to the 22nd, US President Biden and Ukrainian President Zelei Sky are about to speak. For the major announcement of Putin today, they should have responded because it is a must -answer. Putin can quickly detect the opponent's bottom line and determination to quickly detect the opponent -also on a UN General Assembly platform that needs to be very responsible and responsible.

Secondly, Putin is forcing the US showdown.

It was announced that the four regions were invested in Russia on weekends. CNN believed that it was to "upgrade military conflicts". Without logic, Russia certainly hoped to copy the Crimean model and did not charge a soldier. Before the referendum, it was announced that 300,000 reserve was recruited, and it was also clear that Russia's military forces could mobilize 25 million, which was implying that Ukraine wanted to get back these 4 regions. This is the bottom line of the United States, forcing the American showdown.

On September 20, a billboard with a lodge of Russian slogans erected on a street in Lugusk: "The world changes -the truth is forever. The Russian army".

Third, Putin put pressure on Europe's extreme pressure. After Putin announced some military mobilization, the rubles plummeted, the Russian stock market plummeted, Moscow's self -damage was not small, but international oil prices regained the rising model. The most painful thing was the upcoming European Europe. How much sacrifice can Europe be supported by Ukraine? Maybe we can see it soon.

Putin kicked off, and the ball had played at the feet of Biden, Zelei, and European leaders.

The upgrade of military conflicts is immediately.And everything that is conducive to peaceful resolution of crisis should be supported.

Source: Yan Yanxia, No. 10 of the Privy Institute

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