Those X -factor influenced Wudong's "Sawning War"

[Global Times special reporter Zhang Jin Liu Yupeng] Because of the counterattack of the Ukrainian army, the Russian and Ukraine conflict recently attracted great attention from the outside world. However, different media give the opposite narrative. The Russian media claimed that the Ukrainian army had suffered heavy losses and the offensive effect was very small. Some Western media believe that Ukraine's offensive has once again collapsed the Russian defense line and formed a new breakthrough in Halkov. Different reports of all parties make the situation confusing.

Ukraine is "heavy losses" in Donbas?

The offensive of the Ukrainian army has recently attracted widespread attention, but Russian media and some Western media have also acknowledged that Ukraine's offense has suffered heavy losses.

According to Russia's "Viewpoint" reported on the 19th, the captured Ukraine Security Force's 58th brigade Lieutenant Oleg Robitovsky said on the 19th that the soldiers of the Ukraine Army suffered serious losses near Bachmut. Most of them refused to go to the position because they lost a lot. It is reported that only 10 of the 70 people mobilized how to use machine guns. They only received a week of training and were immediately sent to the front line. Within 3 days, the loss of Ukraine security forces reached 350.

Russia's Rambler reported on the 18th that the Russian forces promoted to Bachmut drove the Ukraine for the "Donbas 750 substation" area to power the Donetsk and Lugusk region. This will ensure the uninterrupted power supply of the Donbas Russia. It is reported that the city of Bach Murut is the strategic defense center of the Ukraine in Donbas. If this city is captured, it will make the Russian army closer to the border area of ​​Donedsk.

In addition, the drone purchased by Russia from Iran is allegedly killing the Ukraine. According to the "Wall Street Journal" website, Colonel Cuollakin, the 92nd mechanized brigade artillery commander of Ukraine, said that in the past week, the "Shahd-136" suicide drone was painted with Russia and renamed it again. For "geranium-2", the Ukrainian army frequently strikes.

According to the Russian Tasha News, the Russian Ministry of Defense spokesperson said on Monday: "The Russian Air Heavenly Army conducted a high -precision attack in the city of Zapolo, destroying the workshop of the Akka Factory. The factory has maintained the "Hemamas' multi -tube rocket launcher made in the United States."

The Ukraine crosses the Oskir River?

Unlike Russian media reports, Western media said that Ukraine's offensive in Halkov continued to achieve results. According to the British "Daily Telegraph" website, the battle has been concentrated in Kippizesk since the Russian army withdrew from Ikum, Ukraine's Halkov region. A pro -Russian military blogger with 450,000 fans declared through social media that "the enemy has reached the left bank of the Oskir River."

The video of Ukraine uploaded to foreign social media seems to have "confirmed" this. A video from the Ukrainian tank and uploaded to social media, showing its geographical location as the Kippizesk on the Oskir River. The wreckage of two smoke and abandoned Russian tanks appeared in the video. Another video of the Ukrainian soldiers celebrated the destroyed by the Russian armored troops was also positioned on the east bank of the Oskir River.

Kippanisk and Ishum are two towns with important military values ​​in the Halkov area. Within a few weeks of the Russian conflict, fierce battles have been fought here. Kippyzusk is a transportation hub, and several railway lines pass through Curdisk, including a railway leading to the Belgrod region of Russia. After the Russian army seized the place, it was used as a logistical base provided by the troops in Donbas. If the Ukraine really broke the line of defense deployed by Russia along the Oskir River, Russia's important supply route and large -scale territory that Russia promised to defend was exposed to the Ukraine.

British military analyst in Ukraine James Rashton said that the Russian army could not continue to keep the defense line along the Oskir River. The Ukrainians have crossed the river. Considering that they are now controlling the entire Kippizesk, the Russians may have the idea of ​​forming a line of defense along this river.

However, Russian media reported that Kippandsk was still under the control of the Russian army on the east bank of the Hedhem. Russia's TSARGRAD TV reported on the 18th that the Ukrainian army announced on the 16th that the occupation of Curdisk. At present, the city's battle is still continuing. The eastern part of the city is still under the control of the Russian army, and the Russian soldiers are adhering to the position. The Ukraine tried to advance forward, but all attacks were repelled. At the same time, the Ukrainian army did not give up at an attempt to stand in the Blind region, and the intense battle in the region had been conducting for many days. However, Russian media reports also acknowledged that although the city is still under the control of the Russian army, the situation is not optimistic.

"The restraint of the Russian army is only temporary"

According to the report of the American Institute of War, the U.S. Army has broken through the front line of the Russian army in the northeast. The Russian army could not stop Ukraine from further advancement throughout the Oskir River. Because the Russian army has suffered a lot since February 24.

But Russia gave completely different answers. Russia's "News" reported on the 17th that Putin said at a press conference after the SCO Summit that Russia was not a combat of the entire army, and only some Russian military contract soldiers participated in the operation. He also pointed out that recently, the Russian army has made several blows on some sensitive facilities in Ukraine, which is just a warning blow. The Russian army's restraint is temporary. If the war continues to deteriorate, Russia will not rule out a more violent blow.

Chinese military expert Zhang Xuefeng told a reporter from the Global Times that if the Ukraine really occupy the east of the Oskir River and establish a stable line of defense, it will have a great impact on the Russian army. First of all, after the Ukraine broke through this line of defense, Lugusk would be exposed directly in front of the Ukraine. Secondly, the Ukrainian army will further threaten Russian cities Belgrod to Donbas's logistics hub. Finally, given the importance here, if there is a change, it will cause a blow to the morale of Russia. Zhang Xuefeng believes that the current situation of the battlefield is still confusing. In the end, whether the Russian army has not been held, or is it caused to cause major damage to the Ukraine, it may be more clear in the next week. Because the front will not lie. The Ukraine's counterattack lasted for a while, and the momentum may weaken. If the Russian army has a strong defense and counterattack and drives the Ukraine back to the west bank of the river, the Russian army will take the initiative on the East Line. At present, the war has entered a new stage, not only the competition of strategic, technical tactics, but also a contest of morale and toughness. In particular, the latter two have great uncertainty to make the conflict trend. Therefore, how the war is going on, or let the bullets fly for a while.

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