Snake Island ignites again!Can Ukraine claim that sinking the Russian army to drag boats, can it break the Russian Navy blockade?

[Global Times Special Reporter Chen Shan] Snake Island has become a new focus of Russia and Ukraine's conflict. Ukraine announced on the 17th that the US "fish fork" anti -ship missile sinks the Russian ocean -dragging boat near Snake Island, and emphasizes that "as long as there are enough weapons in the West, it is enough to break the blockade of the Russian Navy." But is the Russian Black Sea Fleet really so vulnerable?

Snake Island Burning Warfare: It is said that the Russian ship was sunk

The Ukrainian Navy announced on the 17th that in the early morning of the day, a large Russian Navy ship sank nearly 20 miles from the southwest coast of Ukraine. In particular, it attracted the attention of the outside world that Ukrainian officials claimed that the Russian warship was destroyed by the US "fish fork" anti -ship missile, which was also the first time that Ukraine successfully put the weapon into the battle.

The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense first released the news on social media on the 17th: "A tugboat of the Russian and Black Sea Fleet was successfully 'non -military" by the Ukrainian Navy, and it was transporting people, weapons and ammunition to the occupied Snake Island. The 'Moscow' is never alone ... "The Kyiv Post in Ukraine said on the 18th that according to the official announcement issued by the Ukrainian armed forces, in the early morning of the 17th, the Ukraine missile destroyed the" Vasili Beck "of the Russian and Black Sea Fleet Essence At that time, the ship with a displacement of more than 1,200 tons was uninstalled personnel and supplies at the Snake Island Wharf. Video released by the Ukraine shows that low -altitude flight missiles have exploded at night to hit a ship not far from the coastline at night.

In the statement, the Ukrainian Navy particularly emphasized that the "Vasily Baker" contained the Russian "Dou" air defense missile when attacking, but did not play any role.

The U.S. "power" website said on the 18th that the video released by the Ukraine showed that the two missiles hit the suspected Russian tape ship, but it was impossible to determine the specific location at the time of the attack. Russian officials did not respond publicly, but some Russian media said that the ship sank after being attacked, causing 23 crew members to be injured and 10 people disappeared.

It is reported that the main task of the "Vasily Beck" that was only served in 2017 was to drag and help other ships in trouble to provide diving operations and naval fires to assist other vessels in the offshore and coastal infrastructure. You can also bear the crew of the evacuation of the dangerous ships at the sea. Sadan, a column analyst of the US Navy Society website, said that trailers are effective military goals and are very important. It has been serving as a supply task of Snake Island. "In a sense, it is higher than the military value of warships."

U.S. Navy Intelligence Website said on the 18th that Ukrainian officials did not specifically explain which missiles were used for this attack on Snake Island. However, the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense recently announced that it has received the US -made "fish fork" shore -based anti -ship missile from Denmark, and the United States has also released a package of new assistance plans for Ukraine, including the "fish fork" missile. In addition, the Kishiki "sulfur stone" anti -tank missile provided by the UK to Ukraine also has anti -ship capabilities. But "In view of the location of the incident and the range of the 'sulfur stone' missile, this attack is likely to be the 'fish fork' missile used."

This guess also endorsed the endorsement of other Ukrainian officials. Maxim Malqinko, the governor of Odessa, Ukraine, claimed that it was the US -made 'fish fork' anti -ship missile hit the Russian hug. Andre Lei Renke, who had worked at the General Staff of Ukraine, told the "Power" website that the Ukraine used anti -ship missiles made in the United States during the operation.

However, the outside world also has a voice of doubt. Earlier, Maxim Malqinko has declared that the Urpical Northern Missile has successfully launched the "Neptune" missiles developed by the country to sink the Russian "General Makarov Navy" frigates, which also caused widespread reports from Western media. But a few days later, the most advanced frigates of the Russian and Black Sea fleet returned to Caavatopol.

Ukraine wants to "make the sea with land"

Although the Russian "Vasily Beck" tugboat has not been confirmed by the Ukraine's sink, the Ukraine hopes to use the remote anti -ship missiles introduced from the West to break the Black Sea's blockade of the Black Sea, but it is no matter how it is Obvious intention.

"Kyiv Post" states that the Snake Island occupied by the Russian army is located near the Danube Delta and near the sea route between Ukraine and the Mediterranean. Essence "Russia threatened to use the army to attack any ships in and out of Ukraine ports, preventing Ukraine food from entering the international market through sea transportation and preventing Ukraine from importing fuels and weapons from the sea."

Although the Ukrainian Navy was destroyed shortly after the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine conflict, the right of sea control fell into the hands of the Russian army. However, according to defense experts, if the number of "fish forks" anti -ship missiles obtained from Denmark and the United States in Ukraine is sufficient, the Ukraine will be able to break the sea blockade of Russia and force Russian warships Far from the scope of strike away from the western western waters of the Black Sea.

The US "Forbes" website listed various anti -ship weapons currently used in Ukraine on the 18th. "As long as the Ukraine can use radar and drone to provide a target position, these long -range anti -ship missiles can be aimed at any Russian vessels sailing within 100 miles in the Ukrainian coastline."

It is reported that the Ukrainian army had previously successfully developed the "Neptune" anti -ship cruise missile with a range of 280 kilometers. It originally planned to start the first batch of equipment forces in this spring, but the Russian and Ukraine conflict disrupted the original deployment plan. Ukraine and Western media generally believe that the two "Neptune" missiles launched by the Ukrainian army on April 13 successfully hit the Russian Black Sea Fleet flagship "Moscow" cruiser and eventually led the ship to sink. But the outside world is not clear how many "Neptune" missiles actually actually actually have. "Two months since the" Moscow 'sank, there is no evidence of any other Ukraine's launch of the "Neptune" missile, which may mean that the Ukraine's "Neptune" missile has been used up. "In late May, the US Department of Defense's Ministry of Defense It is announced that the Danish government has been approved to provide a four -combined "fish fork" missile launch vehicle and unknown missile to Ukraine. Earlier reports have said that this shore -based anti -ship missile will be deployed near Odeza. Considering that the "fish fork" missile that Danish first introduced was an early model, the maximum range was 120 kilometers. Whether it was the number of missiles and performance, it was not enough to challenge the overwhelming advantages of the Russian Navy in the Black Sea region.

However, the U.S. military has recently approved a batch of shore -based "fish forks" anti -ship missiles to Ukraine. The "Forbes" website emphasized that due to the "fish fork" anti -ship missile system launched in active equipment in the U.S. military, the actual related missiles will be provided by the allies. Different from the early models of Denmark, the latest "fish fork" Block2 missile has a better guidance head and farther range. For example, the United States provided the "fish fork" Block2 Block2 -range missile with a new active radar guidance, which has both anti -ship and ground attack capabilities. The maximum range increases to 275 kilometers. This means that this long -range missile -controlled coastal area controlled by Ukraine is enough to pose a threat to all Russian warships in the western western west of the Black Sea.

In addition, the Ukraine has repeatedly used the "flag bearer-TB2" drone to take off from the coastal area to attack the small ships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet. In the future, it will not even rule out the US military to further lift the restrictions on the military's military aid and provide a farther -scope of air -fired "fish fork" missile or its offensive "Slam" missile. They can be launched from air platforms such as fighters or patrollers to directly threaten important goals on Russian warships or shores.

Black Sea or "Sea Forbidden Area"

The U.S. Navy Intelligence website said, "The first article of naval battles is also the most important rule. Do not rush into the scope of enemy weapons without strong protection." This may become a long time in the future. Real portrait in the Black Sea area.

It is reported that after the "Moscow" sank, the Russian and Black Sea Fleet, which lost remote air defense protection, lost heavy losses near Snake Island. However, due to the restrictions on the Monterea Convention, the Russian Navy could not send other ships to provide reinforcements through the Turkish Strait with reinforcements. Essence "It can be said certain that Ukraine has a solid anti -intervention/regional rejection ability on the Odeza coast." The "Forbes" website mentioned that "fish fork" can help Ukraine cut off the sea supply of the snake island. Ukraine's upcoming US "Hamas" rocket cannon can bomb the island at will, which means that the Russian troops stationed in the snake island may Facing trouble ", the action of the Russian and Black Sea Fleet has also been restricted. Even Ukrainian officials also optimisticly claimed that "we can sink the entire Russian Black Sea Fleet."

Some analysts believe that after the UNIA introduced a new "fish fork" anti -ship missile, the scope of strikes almost covered the entire western western waters of the Black Sea, which means that the Ukraine supported by NATO intelligence can pose a serious threat to the Russian Black Sea fleet with great injuries. But on the other hand, even if the Russian Navy's surface ships are forced to stay away from the western western waters, there are still many submarines equipped with "caliber" cruise missiles that can perform underwater missions. The Ukrainian Navy, which has already died, is still unable to break the Russian Navy's blockade. Moreover, the Russian army also has a variety of long -range anti -ship missiles, which is enough to launch an attack on opponent ships that appear in the Black Sea. Under the threat of the long -range anti -ship missile in Russia, the Black Sea will become the "sea restricted area".

The US "power" website believes that it is too early to think that the Russian army will lose the black sea strategy outpost of the Snake Island. In the future, the Russian army may deploy a long -range air defense system that can be deployed in Snake Island to "go deep into NATO and southern Ukraine" to make up for the blank combat power brought by the "Moscow". In addition, Snake Island can also deploy long -range offensive missiles or rocket launchers to suppress the firepower of the Ukraine, and even as a cutting -edge base to launch a raid against the southwestern Ukraine region.

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