In the next 10 days, the United States will have a series of major actions!

Writing/cutting knife & Hu Yidao

In the next 10 days, the United States will move one after another in the movement of China.

On the issue of Sino -US relations very sensitive to Taiwan, the United States will follow the three important aspects of strategic interaction, military security, and economic and trade technology.

Especially in military security, this time the United States will combine the experience of Russia and Ukraine's conflict to open a "weapon procurement list" to the Taiwanese side, and the goal is already very clear, that is, to "use various methods to prevent the People's Liberation Army from opposing Taiwan to Taiwan "Log in to fight" and destroy the unification with force.

In addition, the Biden government also plans to promote the global infrastructure construction project of hedging at the "Belt and Road" at the upcoming G7 summit. It looks very explicitly targeted.

However, after Bayon's bicycle falling, the US president also revealed that he was about to communicate with the Chinese side and the decision to cancel some Chinese commodity tariffs in the discussion. It is reported that the "major decision" after Trump's launch of the trade blow to China is approaching.

Because the high level of inflation and prices in the United States has made the people unbearable.

While I want to "control the Chinese" and want to solve the domestic inflation crisis in the United States through China, what abacus the United States is playing?

On the 19th, the website of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs rarely used 39,000 words, pointing out the various fallacy and facts in the United States' cognition of China. It has strongly reached the recent spread of Washington, all kinds of discredit and attack remarks on China.

The game has entered a critical stage.

01

Within a few days after the "Xianghui" ended, the United States began to accelerate the pace of hooking against Taiwan.

On June 20, the "Dialogue of the Political forces" in the United States will debut in Annapolis, Maryland.

The Taiwan media said that the DPP authorities sent Gu Lixiong to the "Secretary -General of the National Security Council" to lead the team to the United States. Taiwan and the United States will discuss advanced officials on "how to compete for military threats of mainland China."

Although the Democratic Progressive Party authorities said that the incident was "based on Taiwan -American tacit understanding", the "Nikkei Asia" magazine website had previously revealed some details related to this dialogue.

The report quoted sources as saying that the conversation will be held in accordance with the Monterey talks. The "Montere talks" is an important military security conference between the United States and Taiwan. After the outbreak of the Taiwan Strait crisis in the 1990s, the United States and Taiwan established a communication channels involving security strategic issues.

It is reported that "weapon supply" will be the main topic of this talk, because the United States wants to prioritize the sale of Taiwan to "the most effective weapon that can prevent the potential landing on the mainland."

Moreover, the United States allegedly listed a list of weapons and systems that suggested in Taiwan, about 20 items, including anti -ship missiles, air defense systems, and intelligence collection systems that can detect hand -managers and issue early warning.

Some analysts believe that the content of this list means that Midea's policy on Taiwan's military sales policy has changed, and it is increasingly emphasizing that "asymmetric ability" is given priority.

The United States has become more clear after the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The Bayeng government has recently canceled or rejected Taiwan's military purchase request on the grounds that did not meet the "asymmetric combat power".

The so -called "asymmetric combat power" is that the United States tailor -made for Taiwan to enhance Taiwan's "independent defense ability" combat strategy. For a long time, Washington has tried to persuade the DPP authorities to buy a large number of maneuverability and fatal weapons in order to "use the big blog" in the Liberation Army's landing operation.

This intention is obviously extremely poisonous.

In recent years, some people in the United States have thought about the "asymmetric combat power" in Taiwan. Some people encourage Taiwan and the mainland to fight for "scorched soil" and "lane warfare". Some people even proposed that "the US military should destroy Taiwan infrastructure to save Taiwan when the mainland attack Taiwan."

This typical is to treat the people of Taiwan as cannon fodder, and just want to treat Taiwan as the value of the United States as "strategic competition against China" to eat dry and clean.

In addition to encouraging the DPP in politics and military to further "reject the uniform", at the economic and trade level, the United States also threw the new starting point of "leaning on the beauty" to Taiwan- "US Taiwan's 21st Century Trade initiative", The first meeting was held in Washington on June 27th.

At the time of the initiative, the Taiwan "Executive Yuan" announced that its "complete structure, wide content" "can be used as a path map to promote the trade agreement", and also said that Taiwan and the United States will be committed to opening negotiations and reaching "high standards and having a premium. Economic Significant Trade Agreement. At that time, some green media also boasted that this promoted this as "Mini IPEF (Indo -Pacific Economic Framework)" and "showing Taiwan's status."

American Deputy Trade Representative Biaci also said that this new initiative is "possible" faster than the "Indo -Pacific Economic Framework" between the United States and 13 countries.

But everyone can see that although the "Taiwan -American 21st Century Trade Initiative" is very high, from the point of view of its announcement, this is that the Bay was excluded from the "Indo -Pacific Economic Framework". A "pacifier" that was stuffed to his mouth.

Deng Zhenzhong, a political council member of the Taiwan "Executive Yuan", recently told Taiwan media that the goal of the meeting on the 27th of this month was to sign a "trade agreement" with the United States, but "the signing time is not easy to master". Essence

He said that the first meeting did not mean that the United States and Taiwan had entered the stage of substantive negotiations. The Taiwanese side still needed some time to prepare. The relevant US consultation procedures will not have results until mid -July.

It seems that some people in the Wanwan are also well known, and their wishes are beautiful, but the reality is very skinny. Waiting for them is likely to be empty joy. In addition to the "Taiwan card" in Washington, Washington also set his sights on the "Belt and Road".

The White House National Security Consultant Sarawan said at an event hosted by the New American Security Center on the 16th that Biden will launch a global infrastructure initiative at the G7 summit held at the end of the month as a "alternative plan outside China" to deal with China in response to China The influence of the world, especially the "Indo -Pacific Region".

Shatin revealed that the new initiative will cover global infrastructure, physiological health and digital infrastructure. The US and G7 member states are expected to invest hundreds of billions of dollars, which will create huge dividends for the entire "Indo -Pacific region".

Although Shalin does not directly criticize China, it is generally believed that the so -called "alternatives outside China" have obvious meanings of the "Belt and Road".

At present, the specific content of this global infrastructure initiative has not been known, but it is worth mentioning that this is not the first time that Biden wants to pull G7 countries to engage in infrastructure initiatives to fight against China's "Belt and Road". On June 13, 2021, at the G7 summit held in the UK, the leaders of the Seven Kingdoms agreed to start the initiative of the "Reconstruction of Better World" led by the United States, providing a construction infrastructure that is different from the "Belt and Road" construction infrastructure for low -income countries. Essence

After a year, many projects of the plan are still stranded in the US Senate.

02

Interestingly, the Bayeng government desperately manipulated the issue of "Taiwan" and gangs to "small groups" to curb China, and once again released the information of "cutting tariffs on China" again.

American news website AXIOS recently quoted people familiar with the matter and stated that Biden intends to delete some products from the Chinese tariff list of President Trump, and will issue relevant announcements as early as this month.

On the 18th local time, Bayeng said in an interview after riding a bicycle near his beach residence in Tellahua Prefecture that "I was making a decision on relaxation of tariffs on China." When boarding a bicycle, he turned over and fell on the spot, but was not injured.

However, from the recent reports, there are still differences in whether the Biden government is currently adjusted to whether the tariffs on China are adjusted:

The Minister of Finance Yellen and the Minister of Commerce Raymond claimed to reduce some tariffs to fight against severe inflation in the United States; trade representative Dai Qi believes that the tariff on China should be "reviewed under the US -China University of China" and does not support cancellation. Tariffs of China.

However, some analysts believe that even if Biden finally made a decision to relax tariffs on China, it is difficult to regard it to actively release goodwill to China.

On the contrary, the United States is now forced by "the highest inflation in 40 years", and no adjustment of tariffs on China will not be adjusted.

According to data from the US Labor Statistics, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in May increased by 8.6%year -on -year. This is not only a new high since December 1981, but also the US CPI for the sixth consecutive month to break through 7%.

Among them, housing, gasoline and food prices that are closely related to the people's lives have risen the highest. The energy price index rose by 34.6%year -on -year in May, a new high since September 2005; food prices increased by 10.1%year -on -year, and it was a new high since March 1981.

In the words of several Republican members such as Biden's "political opponents" and senators Holy, this year's US government "has indeed changed the life of Americans" is just "the worst change":

Refresh the new high in 40 years, the severe shortage of baby milk powder, soaring to $ 5 per gallon of oil prices, historic criminal waves, have made the lives of the American people "worse".

Even though the Federal Reserve sacrificed "the largest interest rate hike in 30 years" on June 15, it announced that the policy interest rate was raised by 75 basis points, but for inflation, it was still "difficult to retreat". More and more analysis believes that it is difficult to avoid "stagnation" in the US economy, and it is not easy to achieve "soft landing".

Affected by inflation, the three major US stock indexes have recently dived.

On June 13, the Nasda Index led 4.68%, setting the lowest closing since October 2020. The S & P 500 index fell nearly 4%, a decline of over 21%from the high point in January this this this this January.

The favorable emotions of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hosted on the market only lasted less than half a trading day. On June 16, the S & P 500 Index fell 3.3%, the Dow Jones Index fell 2.4%, all the minimum closing level since December 2020.

Recently, a number of US media polls show that with the continuous rise in inflation and concerns about economic recession, the support rate of US President Biden has reached a low.

The polls jointly carried out by the American News today and the University of Safecc's University showed that 47%of the people strongly did not recognize Biden's work and recognized 39%of their performance. More than 70%of the people think that the United States is in the wrong direction.

Obviously, if inflation is not suppressed, for Biden, the Democratic Party is likely to be at stake.

In this case, the cancellation of tariffs on China is becoming the best choice for Bayeng government to respond to inflation.

According to a recent research report of the Peterson Institute of International Economic Research, if the additional tariffs are completely canceled can reduce the US CPI by 1.3 percentage points, it is equivalent to making each family a $ 797. Even though this is expected to decline, it is still "not enough" for the United States' inflation today, but even the Bayeng government officials have to admit that they "have almost no other choices."

03

Wang Shushen, director of the Taiwan -US Relations Research Office of the Taiwan Institute of Social Sciences, told "Building Yidi" that since the outbreak of the Russian -Ukraine conflict on February 24, the Taiwan Strait security issues have been deliberately rendered and hyped by the United States and Western. In addition to the issue of traditional arms sales, the talks will also discuss issues such as "actual combat training" to attempts to show "the United States and Taiwan's defense cooperation is closer."

Since the beginning of this year, the Bayeng government claims to pursue "a Chinese policy" and "do not support Taiwan independence", which means to continue to maintain "strategic blur", but obviously has not changed the policy of "Taiwan Anti -China" in politics, military, and economic aspects, or even even It is more clear in strategy.

On the one hand, strengthening Taiwan's defense for military security. In recent years, the DPP authorities have worked hard to develop the "heavy layer of deterrence strategy" and "asymmetric combat power", in an attempt to make Taiwan Island into a so -called "bald pig". The new concept of "strengthening deterrence" is one of the top ten plans of the "Indo -Pacific Action" in the United States in the next 1 to 2 years in the next 1 to 2 years, including strengthening the military deterrent to China in the Taiwan Strait area and the first island chain.

Russia and Ukraine's conflict towards procrastination, Ukraine's warfare and US Western weapons assistance further strengthened the fantasies of the Taiwan army's implementation of the "asymmetric" defense concept. The United States continues to normalize Taiwan military sales, tending to sell a large number of cost -effective weapons and equipment.

Moreover, the US Congress also brewed a draft legislative case, proposing to regard Taiwan as "the main non -NATO ally" and provide Taiwan with a total amount of billions of dollars in military financing for the US military.

Regarding the "Monterey Conference" in the United States, according to the "Nikkei Asia" magazine website, the United States has prepared a list of weapons that want Taiwan to prioritize Taiwan. According to Taiwan media, the US Marine Corps began to adjust the "Strategic Tactics in India" and positioned as "Stand-in Forces" to speed up the formation of the first island chain for its quick deployment capacity. Taiwan may discuss related cooperation matters with the United States Essence

On the other hand, strengthen the impact and control of Taiwan economy. The United States is the second largest trading partner in Taiwan, and Taiwan is the ninth largest trading partner in the United States. In 2021, Taiwan -US trade volume was about 104.8 billion US dollars, an increase of more than 26%year -on -year. Source place.

Today, Washington has repeatedly emphasized that "economic autonomy can only maintain political autonomy" and support Taiwan to reduce the degree of dependence on China's economy. Trump implemented economic security policies during the Trump period, extremely suppressing and curbing China's scientific and technological innovation and development, including direct use of export control and long -arm jurisdiction, restricting Taiwan's high -tech industry and the mainland, leading TSMC to stop providing foundry chips to Huawei.

Regarding the "21st Century Trade Initiative", the DPP authorities undoubtedly want to take the opportunity to upgrade the "official relationship" with the United States, make up for the lack of "Indo -Pacific Economic Framework", and even treat the United States as a signing of more economic and trade agreements to the outside world. Breakthrough.

The Bayeng government launched the initiative negotiation, with the purpose of the United States to curb strategies to China, affecting and controlling the DPP authorities in "distant and middle -aged" in economic and trade policies and rules. Let's make a profit to Taiwan. Therefore, in the economic and trade negotiations, the DPP authorities will be more passive and obey in the needs of the United States. Society on the island expects the substantial dividends will eventually fail.

Wang Shushen said that Taiwan is the core and sensitive issue of Sino -US relations. Since the Bayeng government came to power, China has explained to the United States to clarify the determination and will of the United States to firmly maintain national sovereignty and territorial integrity. The Biden team should feel it.

Subverting Sino -US relations and direct conflicts of manufacturing do not meet the current political interests of the Biden government and the Democratic Party, so its policy on Taiwan will still have a certain boundary.

The Democratic Progressive Party authorities "pro -American anti -China" and the United States "Tingtai Anti -China" borrow and use each other to clear and use their strategies. We should accurately grasp it. The substantive relationship of the United States is upgraded.

Regarding the Bayeng government plans to promote the global infrastructure construction project at the G7 summit and hedge the "Belt and Road" initiative, an American expert told the "Make -up One Sword" that the Bayeng government did want to use infrastructure construction as a "starting point for starting point. ", Curb China's global cooperation and expand the economic opportunities of the United States in this area.

However, from the past period of time, the Bayeng government stayed more verbally. Although some plans have prototypes, how to really implement it is still a mess and cannot find a clue. Now the United States wants to pack the "Indo -Pacific Economic Framework" and the economic cooperation plan in other regions to form a global infrastructure project, which is actually very difficult.

Instead, in the United States to reduce domestic inflation level, Biden did realize that although he was unwilling to exempt some high tariffs on Chinese goods, because this approach would definitely be accused and criticized by the Republican Party before the midterm election, However, there seems to be no other choices in the "toolbox" of the Biden government.

Pictures from the network

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