When Russia and Ukraine conflicts half a year, is it still a prelude?

In the past six months, the Russian and Urotic War splimped from the military, energy, finance and other battlefields from military, energy, and finance. At this moment, the "attack" outside Moscow shocked the world, and it seemed to expose a secret front to the world. In addition, the frequent attacks of Zapolo Nuclear Power Station also worried about the world.

In 6 months, the world has been completely changed. The Washington Post commented that "Russia and Ukraine conflicts in the past six months, the world stands on the blade," "We still think this is just a prelude."

Gree "One Tiger and One Talk" in this issue

Discuss with you: Is it still a prelude to the Russian and Ukraine conflict for half a year?

Moderator Hu Yihu: Has the most intense degree and the most intense days of the entire Russian and Ukraine war have passed?

Li Shande (Russia), first -class secretary of the Russian Embassy in China: This is difficult to make comments. Because we can't predict what kind of actions we will take next to Ukraine. We can compare the Kyiv regime to monkeys. This monkey holds a grenade in his hand, and this grenade will explode sooner or later. The specific time point is difficult to predict.

△ Li Shande (Russia), first -class secretary of the Russian Embassy in China

Moderator Hu Yihu: Recently, three Russian military facilities in the Crimea region have exploded successively. According to a report from the US CNN, Ukraine is behind the scenes behind the scenes of three explosions. Is it that the United States has launched an attack on Crimea's Air Force Base in the United States? Will there be foreseeable and fierce attacks here?

Military expert Zhang Xuefeng: I don't think this may be the United States. Ukraine has a clear logic for such a blow to the rear base of Russia, which is equivalent to restraining Russia. Previously, Russia, including the West, generally believed that the Crimean base was far from the Ukrainian control zone. Their missiles could not be hit here, but the base was attacked this time, and the losses were very heavy. Dark day.

At the beginning of my personal analysis, it may be played by missiles, but through comparison, it is found that the shape of the bomb marks this time is not like a missile hit. It is likely that special forces are fighting, and this special forces must receive Western training. Including intelligence support.

△ Military expert Zhang Xuefeng

Zhang Hong, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: Zelei Sky constantly stated on public occasions that he would take back Crimea as a political declaration. From the perspective of domestic politics, from the perspective of Ukraine nationalism, Ukraine does not give up Crimea or continues to fight against Russia on the Crimean issue. Essence On the other hand, there are still things and arms. Now Ukraine is constantly reaching out to NATO and the United States, more, more advanced, and farther -range missiles. In fact, Crimea has to be changed from the so -called enemy Peace District into a front. Asia, I want to end with Crimea. But Russia is a large nuclear country and a super military power. From a military perspective, Ukraine has no strength to get Crimea from Russia, which can only cause some difficulties in Russia in diplomacy.

△ Zhang Hong, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

Moderator Hu Yihu: It has been half a year since the Russian and Ukraine War. Some people say that it is strange. Russia's play is very different from before. Even many netizens described the Russian army's play too much. Is this really the case? Intersection

Military expert Han Xudong: This time Russia's military operations on Ukraine, Russia calls "special military operations". I believe that Russia should be named "military intervention operation" by Russia's military operation for this military operation. NATO. Under this premise, it can be seen that Russia has a very obvious difference between Ukraine's military operations and previous wars.

Traditional war and military operations serve diplomatic and political, that is, to serve diplomatic or political purposes with the final result of the war. However, Russia's first prominent feature of this military operation is that each specific strategic operation, or every specific military action against Ukraine, must achieve a diplomatic or political purpose. What does this cause? It took one step to look at it, and it appeared that the outside world believed that the Russian army was too watery and the combat capability was not good. In fact, Russia's military operations on Ukraine can be said to be active military operations taken under the pressure of the United States. Russia has active in tactics and strategically dominant. In addition, Russia also led the American nose in terms of solving or discussing how to deal with Ukraine.

△ Military expert Han Xudong

Moderator Hu Yigu: The most concerned now is that it has passed half a year. What about it? Is it a lasting battle? At the end of August, Russia's armed forces increased by 137,000, and the generals of combat troops had reached 1.15 million. What are the considerations of the large expansion at this moment? Is it fully prepared for a long -lasting battle?

Zheng Jiwen, editor -in -chief of Taiwan's "Asia -Pacific Defense Magazine": I don't think it is necessary. Does the increase of people in the Russia and Ukraine? Actually. But I have to say that in terms of the current results, Russia has actually made huge strategic mistakes, especially for NATO completely resurrected. We know that in the past few years, in fact, French President Macron talked about NATO's "brain dead", which means that NATO's entire function and function, and the ability to be more and more questioned. But this war we found that NATO was not only active, and it also joined the two new member states of Finland and Sweden in Northern Europe. And NATO is not only more active in Europe, but also entered the Indo -Pacific region. Russia has not only improved its entire safety environment, but weakened. What's more, NATO, the United States and other related countries have increased their military power than before the border between Eastern Europe and Belarus and Russia. As for the expansion of Russia just now, I think that the Russian army may be scattered beyond the Russian and Ukraine War in the future. △ Zheng Jiwen, chief editor of Taiwan's "Asia Pacific Defense Magazine"

Xiong Wei, a professor at the Department of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Affairs Management of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Affairs of the Foreign Affairs and Foreign Affairs of the Foreign Affairs and Foreign Affairs: Russia's expansion is to use it to show that it will win the determination of this war. Dispel the external doubts about the lack of Russian military personnel.

△ Professor of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Affairs Management of Foreign Affairs, Xiong Wei

Liu Ying, member of the institute of Chongyang Financial Research Institute of Renmin University of China and Director of Cooperation Research Department: In fact, I do not think that the increase in Russian military personnel is to fight for a long time, that is, to change its strategic goal. In half a year, we can see that this war was a agent war. The core of this conflict will be traced back to Ukraine to join NATO. Putin has been furious countless times. This is a red line in Russia's genes. Because NATO has expanded six times, it has affected the state of Russia's survival and is a crisis of survival. Therefore, I think the Russian -Ukraine conflict still needs to trace the source. Behind the Russian and Ukraine conflict is the game of the great power of the United States and Russia.

△ Liu Ying, member of the Institute of Chongyang Financial Research Institute of Renmin University of China and Director of the Cooperation Research Department

"The Russian -Ukraine conflict has been standing on the blade in the past six months." This is the warning of the Washington Post, and we are actually in our eyes. We can't know that in the next half of the year, we will see the dawn of peace, or a larger blood light. But we are even more worried that those poor people under the fierce war are the terrible consequences of pushing a nuclear country to a desperate state.

"One Tiger and One Talk"

Is the Russian and Ukraine conflict for half a year, is it still a prelude?

First broadcast time: September 3rd 20:00

Replay time: 13:00 on September 4th

Edit: Mumu

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