What are the important details of this year's incense?｜ Slowly · Observation

At the Shangri -La dialogue on June 12, the Taiwan issue once again became the "storm eye" of China and the United States.

Chinese State Councilor and Minister of Defense Wei Fenghe said in a bilateral talks with the US Defense Minister Austin: "If someone dares to split Taiwan, the Chinese army will fight at the expense, and it will definitely fight to the end." In the subsequent lecture, Minister Wei once again emphasized the same position in public. In the speech, the US Defense Minister Austin claimed that China was more "coercion and offensive" in territorial claims in the East China Sea and the South China Sea, and the risk of Taiwan Strait was particularly prominent.

It is worth noting that Western public opinion has brought "China to fight to the end" as a news title, thinking that this is the most serious warning of the Chinese military to the United States. The person in charge of the Taiwan Mandarin Committee recently claimed that this was "the preparation of war -to -war war on the principle of peace of international relations." However, as the Taiwan Affairs Office spokesman Ma Xiaoguang's response said that Taiwan is Taiwan in China, and the issue of Taiwan is a problem left over by the Chinese civil war.

Attempts to confuse audiovisual internationally, maliciously speculate on the so -called "military threats" of the mainland, and "internationalization" of Taiwan's issue has always been a routine of the United States and "Taiwan independence" forces. In response to the new waves set off in the international public opinion field, straight news leader Bi Wanxia interviewed Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, and director of the Asia -Pacific Security and Foreign Study Research Office.

【Core Summary of the Article】

1. "At the expense of the battle, at the expense of the price!" Faced with the challenge, China dared to "bright swords" and draw the red line, which helped prevent the crisis from rising.

2. U.S. Defense Minister Bite the "Chinese Threat"! The growth of China's military strength is inevitable and matches the status of the country, but China pursues defensive national defense policies.

3. Austin proposes to engage in the "guardrails" between the Chinese and American army? At the same time, at the same time pressure, avoid direct military conflict with China.

4. U.S. nearly thousands of times in China is surrounded by thousands of reconnaissance, but it slander China to engage in "islands and reef militaryization". For national security needs, aircraft runways and logistics support are moderate deployment, not so -called "militaryization". China has never threatened to threaten neighboring countries and people.

5. The United States is trying to put together the "Two China League", but Southeast Asian countries will not choose the side stations between China and the United States. The Indonesian Defense Minister also called for "please respect China's legitimate rise!"

6. Sino -US high -level meeting has recently increased suddenly? Show the consensus of all parties: strengthen communication to clarify the bottom line and prevent crisis.

The following is the full text of an interview.

Wei Fenghe dares to "bright sword"

Help to prevent risks

Straight News Wanxia: China Defense Minister said to the United States. If he splits Taiwan, he will "fight at the expense of the battle, and it will definitely fight to the end", which will cause heated discussion among public opinion. Is the risk of the Taiwan Strait crisis risk as saying in Western media?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: I don't agree with this view. Let's see that the "Xianghui" needs to push forward, let's take a look at the background. I remember that at the "Xianghui" in 2019, Wei Feng and Minister said that "at the expense of the battle, the cost of expense", so this is not the first time. Now all the eyes are concentrated in this sentence. This is a common method of hype of Western public opinion. The purpose is to rendering "China's tough stance".

Straight News Wanxia: Differently, Minister Wei said this in 2019 was at the venue, but this time it was directly faced with the US defense director. When the two were direct talks, it felt like Minister Wei this time The United States' statement is even more straightforward, "face -to -face, opposite to the opposite". What will the effects different in the attitude of "do not hesitate" attitude?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: In the face of challenges, dare to "bright sword". Sometimes we draw the bottom line and red line of both sides more clearly, but to a certain extent, it will prevent the crisis from rising further.

Straight News Wanxia: The United States has recently become more and more serious on the Taiwan issue. Including this time the "Xianghui" sells arms, supports "Taiwan independence", fights against the mainland, and provides cross -strait opposition. What is the purpose?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: In fact, the fundamental purpose of the United States is to "control the China with Taiwan", so as to restrain China's diplomacy and crack down on our reform and opening up and the rejuvenation of China. I think this is the intention of the United States. This approach in the United States is generally called "cutting sausages", which is to keep arched forward to force China where the red line finally shows the red line. In this case, China shows that this attitude will prevent the United States from further provocation. I think it is deterrent.

Straight news Wanxia: But Austin's attitude is also very funny. He actually said in turn, "The United States has not changed on the Taiwan issue, and China has changed." What do you think of him?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: Our Ministry of Foreign Affairs has a very clear qualifications for this kind of speech: the United States is good at discrediting and spreading false information. The typical "thief shouts to catch thieves". I am more concerned about the South China Sea issue. Since last year, the linkage of the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea is rapidly strengthening, which can specifically explain this phenomenon.

Basically, US warships can go to the South China Sea through the Taiwan Strait. Earlier this year, a service bureau of the United States State Department issued a report specially, which is the "East China Sea and the South China Sea under the competition of Sino -US strategic competition." At the same time, the synchronization of crossing the Taiwan Sea and the South China Sea is also rising.

In fact, in addition to the "Taiwan -based China" in the United States, the Taiwan authorities have continued to "rely on the beauty" to be stubborn, and the pace of "Taiwan independence" has gone quickly. I think that to say that "change" is that the Taiwan authorities have changed, and the American aggressive ignition has also changed. Then China's maintenance of its sovereignty, of course, should take changes to respond. Therefore, Austin's statement is a statement of upside down. The U.S. Defense Ministry of Defense Press China and want to build a "risk guardrail" at the same time

Straight news Wanxia: The United States is challenging a lot of red lines. As you said just now, the United States was poured on fire. Compared with 2018, is the situation in Taiwan that is obviously heating up?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: I noticed that in the question session of this incense meeting, there were 11 questions to Minister Wei. "Development" issue. Most questions are scholars from various countries. They care about how Chinese military forces grow and how to use them. The second is the issue of Taiwan and the South China Sea, including the United States, Australia, and Canada. They specifically mentioned the Taiwan issue. Now the risk of the Taiwan Strait crisis is far greater than the previous two years, and the spy effect of the entire surrounding security impact is also increasing.

Straight News Wanxia: This time, according to officials of the US Department of Defense, they have seen the rapid growth of Chinese military and military forces. The key goal of the talks is to establish the so -called "guardrail" of the relationship between the two armies, and to establish a more mature crisis and risk control control , Prevent competition from getting out of control. It seems that the "guardrail" does not want to fight, but on the one hand, the United States suppresses China and has forced China to the limit, and does not want to bear the risk of war. Is this possible?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: The peace that maintains the region requires all parties to "go" with each other. Why does the United States be put on a "guardrail" while pressure? Will the United States use force on the Taiwan Strait? In fact, countries have always held skeptical attitudes, because after the United States withdrew from Afghanistan, many American allies were actually disappointed. This is the first point.

Secondly, the United States is now engaged in "military existence and militaryization". It has been related to the implementation of "integrated deterrence" in defense security in the past two years. This is part of the "Indo -Pacific Strategy". The definition of the United States is, "I want to use military power, including innovation and high -tech capabilities, the ability of the United States itself, and the ability of the allies, whether or not they ultimately use force, but we must force the other party to make a faster deterrent effect." So in fact, the intention of the United States to be deterrent is very clear, but isn't it really necessary to fight? I think I still have to draw a question mark, and in this case, a "guardrail" may appear.

The risk of friction in the front line of the sea is obviously rising, such as military aircraft encounters including China and Canada and Australia this year. In fact, there are a lot of U.S. Alliance countries. We have done research on the South China Sea issue. In the past two years, we have been mentioning: frequent military activities, and the risk of wiping guns will occur.

It is a clear comparison that military exchanges at all levels of many countries and China are a state of stagnation. Not only between China and the United States, the first exchanges have only occurred in more than 20 months between China and the United States, which shows that the crisis in this regard is rising, and the possibility of explosion is increasing. Is there a dialogue mechanism at all levels? Once the crisis occurs, further expansion of the crisis can be prevented. This is a challenge that all countries are facing. So to some extent, I think both sides need "guardrails". However, this "guardrail" requires both parties to abide by some rules. Not unilaterally, the United States cannot be provoked first, so China will be more calm.

Straight News Wanxia: The deterrent you just mentioned is actually a kind of deterrent. Now everyone is discussing that the strength of the PLA must be daunting, and the entire United States must be clear and interfere with the risk of Taiwan's issues. You can't afford it at all. If the Chinese side's countermeasures are "martial arts", do you want to reach a balance in "mutual deterrence"?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: I think part of it can be understood like this, that is, I have the determination to "bright swords", but I don't want to fight, but use this strong will to make the other party look forward to it. On the other hand, we need to understand more completely. What are the strategic intentions of China's military strength? Minister Wei said very clearly that China firmly pursued a defensive national defense policy.

I realized in the study of the South Island Reef issue that the military construction of the island reef was also concerned about the government. We need to make up lessons to strengthen the necessary self -defense capabilities, but the intention is not to expand or aggressive. I remember particularly clearly that Minister Wei said that since the founding of the People's Republic of China, China has not taken the initiative to fight. The growth of my country's military strength is first matched with the great power, and the growth of military strength is inevitable. Including a lot of questions on the "Xianghui", why did China's National Day celebration show many new types of new weapons? Minister Wei said very well that we developed some new weapons as the ability to match the power of the great powers.

But we also emphasize that although this ability is used for peace, once we need, we will also use the sovereignty and security development of the entire country. This strength is not necessarily targeted at the United States, but it must basically safeguard China's sovereignty. I don't think it's not only a problem in Taiwan, but also many problems in the sea collar and territory, which requires enhanced military strength.

Straight News Wanxia: I have paid special attention to the reports of the Shangri -La Summit in recent days. I feel like, first, Minister Wei said on this occasion repeatedly, "do not hesitate to fight, at the expense of cost", the two "do not hesitate" have a soldier's words. Style, open the window to speak. Here we briefly introduce that the 68 -year -old Wei Feng and Ministers entered the Second Artillery Unit at the age of 16. "Two cannons" in the past is more mysterious, because it is a nuclear and conventional missile forces, and now it is renamed "Rocket Army".

Wei Fenghe started from the base warrior and became a commander step by step. In 2012, he entered the Central Military Commission and served as the Minister of Defense in 2018. So his speech has always been a military style. As early as April this year, when Austin and him talked for the first time. When talking about Taiwan, Minister Wei also warned the United States that if the issue of Taiwan was not handled well, it would have a disruptive impact on the relationship between the two countries. Maintain national sovereign security and territorial integrity. Teacher Zhang also talked about it before that Minister Wei made the same way at the 2019 summit.

Second, "the courageous road is victorious on the narrow road". When a comprehensive game is unavoidable, the Chinese Defense Minister said the hard words of "at the expense of the battle" and drawn the red line on this issue. It is to show our courage, we will not start war, but we will never fear the war. At the same time, this is also a warning of "Taiwan independence".

The West slandered China's South China Sea to engage in "islands and reef militaryization"

Zhang Jie's visit to Nansha has the truth

Straight News Wanxia: This Shangri -La Summit talked about another particularly important topic, which is the South China Sea issue. In fact, before the Shangrian Summit, Australia and Canada later "touched porcelain" China. The military planes of the two countries ran to China to provoke, but in turn, it was said that "China has dangerous movements." In this environment, the United States, which invites allies to "do things", will set off waves on the South China Sea issue?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: I think it will be like this. I have observed the South China Sea issue for many years. The United States has been engaged in "militaryization" in the South China Sea issue. According to the data released by the "South China Sea Strategic Situment" plan, the United States has "reached a close reconnaissance" to China a thousand times a year. Because the so -called "freedom of navigation" in the United States and a lot of detective reconnaissance, when I interviewed with people from the South Island Reef, they said that they felt like there were American military aircraft all day on top of their heads.

Direct news Wanxia: To what extent is the "close reconnaissance" in the United States, did it enter our territorial sea and the scope of the airspace? What are the main information to spy?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: The nature of these actions is diversified and takes different operations in different waters. For example, the so -called "freedom of navigation" that the United States now enters Xisha is actually directly challenging our sovereignty. For example, some waters in the South China Sea are deep. The Australian P-8A anti-submarine reconnaissance aircraft is targeted at the implementation of China's deep-sea strategy, including some submarines in China, or military activities of some large warships.

What is the monitoring of our islands and reefs? The United States has been speculating that China has carried out the equipment for the most advanced weapons in many islands and reefs. They use high -tech pictures and some data from nearby reconnaissance to analyze what weapons China has put on these islands and strategic goals on these islands and reefs. Now the West, headed by the United States, many provocative operations are practical and will carry out military activities in the South China Sea with actual combat scenes, forms, and needs. Essence

So I have always said that if the situation in the South China Sea before 2016 was stable or unstable, it was determined by China and the relevant countries of the South China Sea. However, after 2016, a fundamental change occurred, that is, the "Sino -US game" became the most critical factor affecting the stability of the South China Sea.

Straight News Wanxia: The United States often vilifies us to engage in "islands and reef militaryization". In the end, we build runways and airports on the islands and reefs. Is it "militaryization"?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: This should be said to be an appropriate military deployment. We do not deny that there are runways on the three major islands and reefs that can stop the aircraft. If the US and Australian warships fly around you all day long, do you need some defense capabilities? The answer is clear. Moderate military deployment and the so -called "militaryization" are two different concepts. Is the US warship running in the South China Sea all day, is it "militaryization"?

I had a chance to go to Nansha in the previous period and saw various islands and reefs. Regardless of whether it is under the jurisdiction of China, or some islands and reefs under the jurisdiction of Vietnam, Malaysia, and the Philippines, runways have been built, and military forces are deployed. Why don't the United States report? What surprised me especially was that Vietnam was very fast in the construction of islands and reefs, occupying 29 islands and reefs, and many of them were illegally occupied.

Before China did not build islands and reefs, the conditions of the officers and soldiers stationed in the island were also very poor. Now we need to improve the living conditions of the islands and reefs. The construction of the South Island Reef in the United States is actually because the United States does not expect that the speed of our construction is fast and the scale is large. It is not surprising that China is called "infrastructure madness". However, these news has been selectively enlarged internationally, as long as it involves China, there are many false reports. In fact, how to use it after the construction of islands and reefs is a question that can be explored. Around 2015, we clearly explained that it is necessary to carry out civilized construction after the construction of islands and reefs. For example, the Meiji Reef, we may use the opening of scientific research, search and rescue or rescue. Direct news Wanxia: It seems that the construction of islands and reefs has gradually improved with China's national strength and military power. This is just like the construction of a family. Before there was no money, it was simple because of the wealthy family. Now that the family is rich and capable, it will gradually improve the construction. What's more, we are also facing the recent reconnaissance of NATO countries. Various cruise of the martial arts. China does have a demand for construction, but this is enlarged and confused by the United States.

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: In the past, if our plane wanted to fly to the southern end of the South China Sea, the Dark Sand, which was basically unable to stay, and had no combat capabilities, because you could only return to the air. Go south. I want to emphasize that after the construction of our military islands and reefs, there are false reports to publicize that they are used to "threaten" fishermen in Vietnam or Malaysia and the Philippines. Of course, the real situation is not. We pushed back to 2012, when the "Huangyan Island Incident" was actually the Filipino warships caught Chinese fishermen. On the contrary, have Chinese warships deducting fishermen from other countries? Therefore, the construction of power is one aspect, and how to use strength may be a more important and more important point.

The Indonesian Defense Minister's appeal "Please respect China's legitimate rise!"

Does it represent the attitude of Southeast Asian countries?

Straight News Wanxia: After Bayeng came to power, he successfully used the Ukraine crisis to unite allies, including Japan, Australia, and Canada to deal with China's pace. Is it that their strategic coordination is strengthening. How can China deal with this issue?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: The more obvious point is that in this incense meeting, we can see that the United States and Japan, Australia, Canada, including some European countries, and some Asian countries. Consistent. They first said that the Asia -Pacific region "had a security challenge", and then said "the world is not too peaceful", and then transferred from the Russian and Ukraine conflict to the safety of Asia Pacific. The measures shaped a "Chinese threat". In the end, the United States will cooperate with allies to cooperate to build the so -called "Indo -Pacific Strategy" to "maintain regional peace".

Therefore, we can see that after the Bayeng government came to power, the situation has changed very much. Japan and Australia have completely fallen into Biden on the issue of Xinjiang, Taiwan -related, Tibetan, and the South China Sea. "character of. Throughout this incense meeting, I think there are three sounds: one is the sound of the US alliance system, the other is the voice of China, and the other is the sound of small and medium -sized countries. How can we break the game in this case?

The voices of small and medium -sized countries were ignored by the media. I was particularly impressed. It was a speech that I saw Fiji Defense. The issue of the South Pacific island country is relatively hot recently. The first sentence of the Fiji Defense Minister said that the geopolitical game has nothing to do with our South Pacific country. We are most concerned about climate change. Climate change is related to the problem of our survival. Therefore, I think that paying attention to these forces and security relationships, including regional cooperation and green economy, including maintaining regional peace, in fact, these small and medium -sized countries and China have many consensus. Following them will largely break the surrounding situation of the United States to China.

Straight news Wanxia: I am very impressed, and there is a Indonesian defense director Plabovo, who spoke at the Shangri -La dialogue, and said, "Please respect China's legitimate rise!", He said, "China will use it to use it with Wisdom and benevolence should take their responsibility, because this is Chinese philosophy. Confucius and all the great philosophers of China teach everyone: power and leadership must be accompanied by kindness. "Do you think the attitude of Indonesia's defense ministers represents the representative of the attitude of the Ministers of Indonesia. The attitude of countries around the South China Sea?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: I think it is necessary to look at it in detail. In this occasion, he said that it did give China a lot of positive energy and support. In fact, he more represents the voice of the entire Southern Asian country. For the current views of the United States and China in Southeast Asian countries, I think it is relatively balanced. In this regard, you can look at the point of view of Singapore. Singapore has recognized some public products in terms of the United States in the past few decades and regional security, and also noticed that China has made contributions to the entire region in economic development. The relationship between each other. Singapore actually attaches great importance to the positive role of China and the United States in the region.

But frankly, I think there is still more observations. Indonesia also has a certain two -sided nature. It still moves more on the South China Sea issue. However, when the United States was pushing together the "Two China", I felt like Indonesia, including other countries in Southeast Asia, and still could not choose the side stations. This "Xianghui" is actually hosted by the British Think Tank and the Ministry of National Defense of Singapore. We can understand that it is one of the series of dialogue under the leadership of ASEAN. After that Essence These meetings are set up by ASEAN, and countries will participate. In this process, ASEAN's international status and right to speak will actually be improved. So how does such a central position exist? One important reason is that ASEAN can maintain a balance between big countries.

We imagine that if you speak for the United States or stand for the Chinese team, some countries may not be willing to come again. So from this perspective, if it protects its own interests, it will not choose the side station. In addition, the Russian conflict also gave these countries a deep reflection. Some countries said that we must strengthen the construction of military backup and strengthen strategic autonomy; some countries are thinking to avoid hurting themselves as much as Ukraine too much like Ukraine? These thinking will make Southeast Asian countries more cautious in choice.

Third, the foreign policy of Southeast Asian countries is a "dual structure". These countries rely on the United States in terms of security, and they are more economically dependent on China. As the focus of the regional "pedal" or "interconnection", how to attract more diplomatic concerns, military assistance, and economic attracting more foreign investment are also important for ASEAN itself. So I think that from these interests, it will continue to maintain the strategy of "big country balance". And I think that some Southeast Asian countries are not fully agreed. This "Indo -Pacific Strategy" with "curb" or "pull gangs" as the essence, I think their own cognition is relatively clear.

Straight News Wanxia: From the incident of Ukraine, it has actually confirmed that ASEAN's "small national strategy" is right. Biden originally wanted to cooperate with ASEAN to deal with China. A while ago, I also recruited people from ASEAN to the United States. Although they shouted a lot of slogans, there were very few carrots to ASEAN countries. Therefore It's right.

Xianghui staged "Diplomacy"!

China "knows that there are tigers in the mountains, bias towards Hushan"?

Straight News Wanxia: This time, Singapore media commented that Xianghui will stage the "diplomatic battle" of the Chinese defense chief. Because the meeting was hosted by the British think tank, it was considered to be the home of the West. So why is China "knowing the mountains and tigers, and the tiger mountains"?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: Let me talk about a small detail. In the past 20 years, the "Xianghui" has provided a platform for dialogue in some relatively large security issues, especially in recent years. This year, there are more than 40 countries' defense ministers and senior delegations to attend the conference. You will find that in the entire fragrance agenda arrangement, the conference speeches are basically ministerial, and there are also some non -ministerial group discussions. After 2011, we have not sent minister -level to attend the meeting. So for a few years, you will find that everyone is talking about China ’s problems, but the sound of China can not be heard throughout the main venue. Only at the branch venue can there be some discussions, which causes some passive to some extent.

In fact, from the first time that Minister Wei participated in the incense meeting in 2019, it was the second time this year, and the external comments were relatively positive. Therefore, after Minister Wei spoke, there were more than 20 questions on the scene, and Minister Wei answered one by one, and his point of view was very clear. First of all, such an occasion must have such high -level Chinese representatives to speak, so that they can hear the voice of China and cannot become "absent trials." What I want to show up in China, what is our position and increase the transparency of our policy.

Secondly, in addition to the conference, there are many bilateral and multilateral meetings. We see that the defense ministers like China, the United States, China Australia, and China and Japan have met. This time, there is a very positive result. Although the two parties have not reached an agreement on many issues, they have obtained a consensus to strengthen communication and prevent crisis. I think that attending such a meeting, although the atmosphere of public opinion is not particularly good now, is a relatively good diplomatic field that debuted to China and strengthened to communicate with various countries.

Straight News Wanxia: We are concerned that the Bayeng government has formed a so -called "Quartet security dialogue mechanism" with Australia, India and Japan. Is it that the risk and conflict risk of Asia have increased?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: It is not necessarily the risk of war, but the "new cold war", regional division and confrontation increase are possible. In terms of the four -way mechanism of the United States, Japan, and Australia, or from the perspective of the security partnership between the United States and Britain and Australia, this targetedness is still very strong.

In the past few decades, the mainstream situation of cooperation in the entire Asian region has been relatively different. For example, RCEP ("Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement"), negotiations with some free trade zones, especially economic cooperation between regions, "interconnection" is the highlight of the entire Asia -Pacific economy. Asia is now becoming the world economic center Essence However, in 2017, after the "Indo -Pacific Strategy", especially after the Bayeng government came to power, the mainstream of the current mainstream became "curbing China", and to change the surrounding environment to restrain China. As Singapore's Defense Minister said, the entire region is already at a crossroads. Was it continued to cooperate or form a confrontation in the future? Is it a dialogue, or is it decoupled? It has very great uncertainty. Even if there is no war, the possibility of going towards the "New Cold War" is still greatly enhanced. Direct news Wanxia: The risk of war will not necessarily come soon, but the power is gradually changing the regional pattern.

On the 13th, there was another high -level meeting between China and the United States. Yang Jiechi, member of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and director of the Office of the Central Foreign Affairs Working Committee, held a meeting with the US President's National Security Assistant Sha Liwen. This is also a meeting of the highest levels of diplomacy in China and the United States, and it is also a warning of risks. Yang Jiezheng said that the issue of Taiwan is related to the political foundation of Sino -US relations, and the United States should not have any misjudgment and fantasy. Of course, some people think that Sino -US relations are eased? Because you see, the Defense Minister has also met, and the highest diplomat also met. Do you start talking again? Is the future Sino -US relations and the Taiwan Straits issues that are constantly changing?

Zhang Jie, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: I remember that in the speech at the time, I first said a "change of the world", "changes in history" and "the change of the times". Back to our China ’s judgment on the general trend, it is a big change in a century. The situation of the entire Asia -Pacific situation, including the Taiwan Strait, is in a very large instability and uncertainty. In general, if this problem has received high attention from all parties, and the red line of all parties is very clear. It may be a very important point to be able to prevent crisis in the end.

Author 丨 Zhang Jie, researcher of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Director of the Asia -Pacific Security and Foreign Studies; Wanxia, ​​Ninxia, ​​Direct News of Shenzhen Satellite TV

Editor 丨 Liu Liping, editor -in -chief of Shenzhen Satellite TV Direct News

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