Expert: Beijing may take "unprecedented measures to declare sovereignty"

Expert: If Pelosi insists on visiting Taiwan, Beijing may take "unprecedented measures to declare sovereignty"

According to many sources, Pelosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives, has a high chance to visit Taiwan on the evening of the 2nd. Recently, the People's Liberation Army launched real -bomb shooting in many waters in eastern and southern China, and it was forbidden for ships to enter. In addition, according to the "source" of Reuters, several PLA military planes flew near the so -called "Strait Midline" on the morning of the 2nd.

A number of analysts told the Global Times reporter on the 2nd that in the face of the provocative moves of the United States, Beijing may take the actual measure of "unprecedented declaration of sovereignty", so that the so -called "mid -line theory" of the Taiwan authorities will be further ineffective. This It will have a significant impact on the situation of the Taiwan Strait. Although the Democratic Progressive Party authorities get the "surface support" of American politicians, they will further lose their control of the status quo and the future.

According to Taiwan ’s“ ETTODAY News Cloud ”on the 2nd, Perosi will arrive at Taipei Songshan Airport at 10:20 that night. It is reported that she will stay at the Junyue Hotel in Xinyi District, Taipei at night or Marriott Hotel Zhongshan District. The British "Financial Times" stated that Pelosi may meet with the DPP authorities Cai Yingwen. At present, the United States has not confirmed any news.

On the evening of the 1st, the Eastern theater of the Chinese People's Liberation Army issued information on the official public account of "strictly waiting, listening to the order". In addition, according to the notice issued by the China Maritime Bureau on the 1st, from the 1st to 4th, some waters of the Bohai Sea carried out real bombs. In another notice, the Maritime Affairs Bureau disclosed military training within some waters of the South China Sea from the 2nd to 6th. According to reports, two Chinese aircraft carriers Shandong and Liaoning ships have suspected of driving out of the base.

Wang Jiangyu, a professor of the School of Law School of the City University of Hong Kong, told the Global Times reporter that the overall situation of Sino -US relations was relatively stable and the crisis was relatively controllable in 1997 when the Speaker of the US House of Representatives "visited Taiwan". In the era of position competition, senior dignitaries such as Pelosi "visited Taiwan" obviously showed that the US government was substantially abandoning the principles of the first China. The "effect" caused by its intention is that members of the United States and other countries in the West have "visited Taiwan" successively, which has greatly eroded the principles of China's adherence in the international community.

He believes that in response to the above situation, China may strengthen the "borrowing" to strengthen the sovereignty on Taiwan, such as a large number of military planes entering Taiwan Island, or the naval warships entering the sea near Taiwan. If Beijing adopts such an anti -ritual method, it will be an unprecedented behavior of declaration of sovereignty. If Beijing can convey a firm will to the outside world through action, to curb the actions that follow the principles of the United States and other countries to follow up challenging the challenge, it will help the future situation.

The American Academy of Social Sciences Lu Xiang told the Global Times reporter that Beijing's response would not only be "happy for a while", but would take into account the overall safety mechanism involved in Taiwan. The mainland may begin to exercise the control over Taiwan ’s islands and the control of the neighboring waters of Taiwan Island to ensure that there will be no“ second Pelosi ”landing, thereby defending national sovereignty.

The Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) quoted analysts on the 2nd that the Chinese warships had not raised the so -called "Strait midline" before, but this time Beijing may cross the so -called "Strait midline" during the "visit to Taiwan" in Pelosi. , To make the so -called "mid -line theory" more ineffective, it will be the "historical measures" adopted by Beijing, which will affect further action in the future. In the future, the People's Liberation Army enters the island of Taiwan to "may become the norm", and the Taiwan authorities will lose their control of the status quo and the future. Some analysts believe that Perosor's "visiting Taiwan" may also trigger pressure on Taiwan authorities and the United States through diplomatic or economic sanctions.

Wang Jiangyu said that the Taiwan issue has "asymmetric" between China and the United States. Taiwan affairs are China's core interests, but not in the United States. For the United States, Taiwan's strategic position is far worse than the Malacca Strait. As far as China and the United States are concerned, China ’s firm countermeasures and preparations are obviously higher than the United States. When necessary, it is necessary to go all out, and it has also repeatedly stated that it has been“ at all costs ”on the maintenance of national sovereignty issues. Essence But the United States does not have this determination on the Taiwan issue. At this time, the more firm China is, the more likely it is, the less likely the U.S. military and political system to be with Chinese showdown.

Sun Chenghao, a scholar of the Strategic and Security Research Center of Tsinghua University, told the Global Times reporter on the 2nd that Pelosi will undoubtedly have a great negative impact on Sino -US relations. Although American officials, including the strategic communication coordinator of the White House National Security Council recently, are trying to cut with Pelosi, Peros is a de facto person in the United States, and it belongs to the Democratic Party with President Biden. Such a rhetoric Obviously there is no reason. After China has repeatedly released the strong information that resolutely opposed Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, Pelosi still insisted on going, but it can be considered a malicious measure.

He believes that Peros will destroy a certain mitigating atmosphere of Sino -US relations in the first half of this year, and will further exacerbate the major trend of China -US confrontation. This incident also reflects a phenomenon that is happening in the United States' decision -making to China: the United States is robbing with the administrative department's dominance to China, especially on the Taiwan issue, trying to grasp the "steering wheel" of relations with China. This phenomenon may may In the future, the United States' policy on China has become more aggressive. Politically, Beijing may take sanctions as one of the countermeasures.

An unnamed international affairs expert told the Global Times reporter that if Pelosi visits Taiwan, the downward trend of Sino -US relations will be more obvious, which will be a big deal for the establishment of relations between the two countries and global order and global order.Negative impact.On the issue of Taiwan, this incident will lead to a further increase in the situation of the Taiwan Strait and may accelerate the unified process of the mainland.Global Times-Global Network Reporter Bai Yunyi Zhao Juezhen Chen Qingqing

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