Just tonight, oil prices may enter the "10 yuan era"!

At 24:00 on June 14, the domestic refined oil will open a new round of price adjustment window. Many institutions believe that the tenth rise in domestic oil prices has been "nail on the board."

According to Zhuochuang Information Data, as of the close of June 10, the reference rate of reference on crude oil in the ninth working day in China was 6.91%, and it is expected that gasoline and diesel will be raised by 340 yuan/ton. The price increase of 92#gasoline up 0.27 yuan, 95#gasoline increased by 0.28 yuan, and 0#diesel increased by 0.29 yuan. Calculated at 50 liters, it costs 13.5 yuan more for a box of 92#gasoline, and it costs 14 yuan more for a box of 95#.

Yan Honghong, an analyst of Zhongyu Information Reinforcement, said that if it is implemented according to this adjustment, domestic 92#gasoline will fully enter the "9 yuan era". Some areas such as Guangdong, Guangxi, and Sichuan have exceeded 95#gasoline exceeding 9.7 yuan In a /liter area, it is expected to enter the "10 yuan era" after the price adjustment window on June 14.

Zheng Mingya analyzed by Zhuochuang Information Reinforcement Oil analyst, the rate of crude oil changes in this pricing cycle began. First, the US reserve library continues to decline, and the commercial tank has no significant accumulation for the time being, and the fundamentals are strong. The second is that after entering the peak of oil use in summer, the amount of crude oil has maintained a high level. In the low inventory pattern, and the future demand is better, the center of gravity of crude oil prices has moved up.

It is worth noting that on June 10, international oil prices closed slightly, and the US high inflation caused investors' concerns about the influence of high oil prices. The New York Commodity Futures Exchange WTI July Hair Oil closed down 0.84 US dollars, down 0.69%. The Intercontinental Exchange Brent in August closed down 1.06 US dollars, a decrease of 0.86%.

CICC has sorted out. Since 2022, the price of domestic refined oil products has been adjusted ten rounds. The cumulative increase in gasoline prices has increased by 2330 yuan/ton. The cumulative increase of diesel prices has increased by 2245 yuan/ton, showing a "nine rising and one decline" pattern.

Regarding the market outlook, Zhongyu Information Crude Oil Research Group believes that under the current market supply is still tight, crude oil prices have continued to rise and hit a three -month high. Moreover, most member states have reached the limit of oil production, and oil prices are far from top. In addition, the increase in oil consumption in summer has increased expectations to further boost oil prices. With the control of the domestic epidemic, major mainstream markets have returned to normal, and the market's demand for refined oil may also increase in the second and third quarters.

Source: Zhongxin Jingwei (Zhang Yinan), People's Daily client

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