Just tonight, oil prices may enter the "10 yuan era"!After 10 times this year, how much do

At 24 o'clock on June 14, a new round of domestic oil -based price -adjustment window was ushered in. According to Xinhua News Agency, this cycle (since May 30), Europe announced the sixth round of sanctions on Russia, Russian oil exports are expected to be suppressed; although OPEC+has increased production increase, the market has doubts about its actual production increase; The advent of the peak driving season in the United States boosts the demand for gasoline, the international oil prices operate strongly, and hit the high year. It is estimated that domestic refined oil prices will be raised again at 24:00 on June 14. Temporarily estimated that the price of auto and diesel will be raised by about 360 yuan per ton, which is equivalent to 92#gasoline and 0#diesel to 0.28 yuan and 0.31 yuan per liter, respectively. In addition, according to Zhongxin Jingwei, Zhuochuang Information Data is calculated that as of the close of June 10, the reference rate of crude oil on the ninth working day in China is 6.91%, and it is expected that the raising of gasoline and diesel will be raised by 340 yuan/ton. The price increase of 92#gasoline up 0.27 yuan, 95#gasoline increased by 0.28 yuan, and 0#diesel increased by 0.29 yuan. Calculated at 50 liters, it costs 13.5 yuan more for a box of 92#gasoline, and it costs 14 yuan more for a box of 95#.

Yan Honghong, an analyst of Zhongyu Information Reinforcement, said that if it is implemented according to this adjustment, domestic 92#gasoline will fully enter the "9 yuan era". Some areas such as Guangdong, Guangxi, and Sichuan have exceeded 95#gasoline exceeding 9.7 yuan In a /liter area, it is expected to enter the "10 yuan era" after the price adjustment window on June 14.

The tenth increase this year

In this valuation cycle, the supply of crude oil markets is further strengthened, and international oil prices are strongly operated. On June 8th, the price of Brent and WTI crude oil futures closed at $ 123.58/barrel, $ 122.11/barrel, which was high during the year. The data released by Xinhua News Agency's oil price system on June 13 shows that the average price change rate of crude oil on June 10 was 5.89%. Based on this calculation, it is expected that the price of domestic auto and diesel will be adjusted at 24:00 on June 14, and the increase will be about 360 yuan per ton.

Since the beginning of this year, the domestic oil retail price limit has undergone 10 price windows, which is 9 rose and 1 fall. After the rise and fall, the cumulative domestic auto and diesel prices have increased by 2330 yuan and 2,245 yuan, respectively. This also means that a 50 -liter -liter private car is currently full of 93 yuan more than the beginning of the year.

According to the 21st Century Business Herald, the calculation data of Jin Lianchuang was cited, and before the oil price was raised, the oil price in Hubei was taken as an example:

The No. 92 gasoline has risen from 5.96 yuan/liter of early last year to 9.03 yuan/liter, and it will add a box of 50 liters of private car fuel tanks to spend 153.5 yuan more;

No. 95 gasoline rose from 6.38 yuan/liter at the beginning of last year to the current 9.66 yuan/liter, and the high -end high -end car fuel tank with a box of 66 liters should be spent, and it costs 216.48 yuan more;

The price of No. 0 diesel has also increased from 5.55 yuan/liter to 8.71 yuan/liter. According to the calculation of trucks with a monthly run of 10,000 kilometers and 40 liters of fuel consumption per 100 kilometers, it costs about 6320 yuan per cycle.

If you count the increase in oil prices this time, the cost of oil consumption will inevitably increase.

Looking forward to the market outlook, recently, concerns about the slowdown of macroeconomic growth have been heating up, bringing some pressure on oil prices. However, because global oil demand is in the peak season, the demand for oil -producing countries such as the United States and Saudi Arabia is also increasing, or the ability to increase its oil exports, so when Russia's exports are limited, the fundamentals of the oil market are short -term in the short term Or to continue the more tight situation, it is expected that international oil prices will continue to operate at a high level, which is difficult to cool down.

Good new energy vehicle

The China Automobile Industry Association released the data of China's automobile production and sales in Wuhan on the 10th in Wuhan. From January to May 2022, the production and sales of China's new energy vehicles completed 2.071 million and 2003,000, respectively, a year -on -year increase of 1.1 times. In May, the production and sales of Chinese automobiles completed 1.926 million and 1.862 million, respectively, with a month -on -month increase of 59.7%and 57.6%, respectively, a year -on -year decrease of 5.7%and 12.6%, respectively. From January to May, the production and sales of Chinese automobiles were 9.618 million and 9.555 million, respectively, a year -on -year decrease of 9.6%and 12.2%, respectively. In May, the production and sales of China's new energy vehicles completed 466,000 and 447,000, respectively, an increase of 49.5%and 49.6%from the previous month. The market share of the new energy vehicle market in the month reached 24%. According to the data released on the same day, from January to May, the top ten companies (groups) in China's car sales sold a total of 8.19 million vehicles, accounting for 85.7%of the total car sales. Among the top ten companies in automobile sales, compared with the same period of the previous year, BYD's sales growth was the most obvious. GAC and Chery showed a slight growth, and other companies showed a certain decline. However, whether the recent rise in oil prices will become a key node for new energy vehicles to completely replace traditional fuel vehicles. Fu Yuwu, Honorary Chairman of the Chinese Automobile Engineering Society, believes that although the recent continued rise in oil prices, the raw materials of new energy vehicle power batteries are also rising. Essence In recent years, the global climate has continued to warm up, and low -carbon travel and green travel have become the main theme of people's travel, and it is imminent to accelerate the achievement of the "double carbon" goal.

Fu Yuwu said that although the world is accelerating the transformation of electric vehicles, rising oil prices are not the fundamental reason for consumers to purchase traditional fuel vehicles.For example, the current commercial vehicle market still relies on traditional fuel vehicles, and it is completely replaced by new energy models to involve issues such as energy diversification.Therefore, the rising factors of oil prices will not fundamentally replace traditional fuel vehicles, but traditional fuel vehicles may face the process of being gradually replaced.Edit | Lu Xiangyong Du Hengfeng

School Division | Wang Yuelong

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Daily Economic News integrated from each APP (Li Shuo Dong Tianyi), Xinhua News Agency, Zhongxin Jingwei

Daily Economic News

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