Oil price "five consecutive declines" rose first!From 24:00 on the 6th, the prices of stopping and diesel will increase by 190 yuan and 185 yuan per ton, and the owner will spend about 7.5 yuan more for a box of oil

After two and a half months, the price of domestic oil products rose again.

On September 6, the website of the National Development and Reform Commission released the news that according to the recent changes in oil prices in the international market, according to the current mechanism for oil prices of refined oil products, from 24:00 on September 6, 2022, domestic auto and diesel prices (standard products, the same below) Increased 190 yuan and 185 yuan per ton, respectively. Related price linkage and subsidy policies shall be implemented in accordance with the current regulations.

"Daily Economic News" reporter noticed that this is the first rising since mid -June after 5 consecutive mechanisms under the mechanism of domestic oil prices.

The international oil price is raised first and then suppressed during this round of pricing cycle

Reinforcement of refined oil prices after falling in a row. What is the reason behind it?

"Daily Economic News" reporter noticed that this change is still related to the recent price trend of the international crude oil market.

Longzhong Information Analyst Liu Wenjie said through WeChat's analysis of the reporter of the Daily Economic News that during this round of pricing cycle, international oil prices were first risen. Although in the context of the continuous interest rate hikes of the Federal Reserve and the world's major central banks, the market's concerns about economic recession and demand weakened have begun to intensify, but the OPEC+conference still decided to reduce production by 100,000 barrels per day in October, which will be boosted again. Crude oil prices stopped falling.

On the whole, the average price of oil types is moved up in the valuation cycle, and the comprehensive change rate of the corresponding crude oil is running in the interval.

Zhuochuang Information refined oil analyst Yang Xia wrote that in the early stage of this round of pricing cycle, although the Middle East negotiations were carried out, the price of crude oil was strong and the shock was higher, which also led to the positive rate of crude oil changes at a positive value. Surging up in the range.

However, Iraq has recently announced that it will expand its exports to European oil, and its output policy is still unclear. At the same time, the Fed continued to release the signal of tightening the policy, and the economic data of many countries in Europe and the United States declined. These factors have jointly led to the rapid decline in crude oil prices in the past week. Retail limits are raised.

New York market WTI crude oil futures price trend

The price of crude oil in this round of crude oil is first, and the three trading days from August 30th to September 1st will fall a total of $ 10/barrel.

The reporter noticed that from August 30th to September 1st, New York's oil prices fell significantly, and three trading days fell more than $ 10/barrel, but by the last trading day, September 2 (September 5th, the United States For market holidays), oil prices rose slightly, and the price of light crude oil futures in New York, which was delivered in October, rose 0.26 US dollars to close at $ 86.87 per barrel.

The owners will spend about 7.5 yuan more for a box of oil

After this oil price is raised, it will have a significant impact on the cost of oil consumer use.

Longzhong Information Analyst Xu Wenwen told the reporter of "Daily Economic News" through WeChat that this time the gasoline was raised by 190 yuan and the diesel was raised by 185 yuan, which was equivalent to 0.14 yuan, 92#gasoline 0.15, 95#gasoline per liter. 0.16, 0#diesel 0.16 yuan.

After the price adjustment of this round, the price of car firewood in most areas across the country is about 8.2-8.4 yuan/liter, and 92#gasoline retail price limits are basically in the range of 8.2-8.4 yuan/liter.

Calculated with ordinary private cars with a fuel tank capacity of 50L. After this price adjustment, the owners will spend about 7.5 yuan more for the car owners; the average cost of 100 kilometers per driving is increased by 1.2 according to the urban area. About yuan.

For large -scale logistics and transport vehicles with a full load of 50 tons, an average of 100 kilometers per driving, fuel costs increased by about 6.4 yuan. The price adjustment will increase costs for private car owners and logistics companies.

The National Development and Reform Commission also emphasized that China Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC companies and other crude oil processing enterprises should organize the production and transportation of refined oil products to ensure the stable market supply and strictly implement national price policies. Relevant departments in various localities should increase market supervision and inspection, severely investigate and deal with acts that do not implement national price policies, and maintain normal market order. Consumers can report price illegal acts through the 12315 platform.

After this time the oil price is raised, will the domestic refined oil prices continue to rise in the near future?

In response, Li Yan, an analyst of Longzhong News Oil Oil, told the reporter of "Daily Economic News" through WeChat that the next price adjustment window will be opened at 24:00 on September 21, 2022. Based on the current international crude oil price level, the next round of refined oil price adjustment start will show a downward trend.

At present, although there is still a trend of favorable factor factors, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike is a high probability event in the middle of the end of the end. The market's concerns about economic and demand prospects are still continuing. It is expected that the probability of the next round of refined oil prices is greater.

Daily Economic News

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