The owner pay attention!Domestic oil prices may stop "five consecutive declines", and it will spend 7 yuan more when it is full.

At 24:00 on September 6, a new round of domestic oil -based price -adjustment windows will be opened. Institutions generally estimate that the price of domestic refined oil products will usher in the first half of the year, and it is expected to end the "five consecutive declines".

New latitude and weft photo in the data chart

During this round of prices, international crude oil prices fluctuated violently. The market expects that OPEC will reduce output when necessary to support oil prices, and multiple OPEC+member states, including Oman and Iraq, expressed support for this view. Libya conflict is also facilitated the crude oil market. In the country's capital, there was a fierce conflict, and the market was worried that the OPEC national crude oil supply was interrupted.

On the other hand, as the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike expected to rise, the inflation rate of many major economies in the world is close to double -digit levels, thereby curbing economic growth, and suppressing fuel demand expectations. In addition, betting on the Fed once again also boosted the strong dollar to strengthen the US dollar, making crude oil pricing at the US dollar.

Data show that last Friday (September 2), international oil prices closed up, and the lightweight crude oil futures delivered in October of the New York Commodity Exchange closed at $ 86.87 per barrel, an increase of 0.30%; Crude oil futures closed at $ 93.02 per barrel, an increase of 0.71%.

Zhongyu Information estimates that on September 5th, on the 9th working day of this round, Zhongyu crude oil was valued at 96.02, which was +2.31 or+2.59%than the base price, and the corresponding amplitude was +200 yuan/ton. Reception of reinforcement oil is raised by 200 yuan. If it is implemented, the domestic refined oil price adjustment in 2022 will stop the "five consecutive declines".

Jin Lianchuang calculated that as of September 5th, the change rate was 3.33%, and the average price of oil types was $ 95.44. The domestic gasoline and diesel should be raised by 190 yuan/ton. The cost of the majority of car owners will increase the cost of oil. According to the 50 -liter capacity of ordinary car's car fuel tanks, it will be filled with a box of oil or it will spend about 7 yuan.

According to the Sino -Singapore Jingwei combing, since this year, the price of domestic refined oil products has been adjusted for 16 rounds, showing the "10 rose, 6 drops and 0 stranding" pattern, gasoline prices have increased by 1,405 yuan/ton, and diesel prices have increased by 1,350 yuan/ton.

It is worth mentioning that on the evening of September 5, Beijing time, OPEC+monthly meeting was held. According to Reuters, OPEC+agreed to reduce production by 100,000 barrels per day in October, and Russia expressed support for the plan. The next scheduled talks will be held on October 5. The organization said that if the market development problem needs to be resolved, they are willing to hold another ministerial meeting at any time.

Regarding the market outlook, Zhongyu Information believes that internationally, the increasingly deteriorating economic performance will continue to suppress multi -head confidence, which may lead to the continued correction of the crude oil price center in the next cycle. However, the structural shortage of the short -term market has not changed substantially. The probability of continuing to decline is low, so it is expected that the new round of price adjustment is expected to be narrow upward.

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