Tonight, the price of oil or the present "four consecutive declines" will be added with a box of more than 40 yuan.

At 24:00 on August 9, a new round of domestic oil -based price -adjustment windows will be opened.

The reporter learned from the consulting agency that the probability of the retail price of refined oil in this round will be reduced. Once landing, this round will be the first "four consecutive declines" since 2019, and consumer travel costs will continue to decline.

International oil prices have fallen to the level before the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine conflict

Despite the continuous tension of crude oil spot supply, the market's concerns about developed economies and the concerns of global economic recession have continued to heat up. Investors have continuously reduced their positions in order to deal with the needs that may decline significantly in advance.

This has led to the largest weekly decline since April 1 this year. Among them, New York's oil prices fell by 9.74%, and Brent oil prices fell by 8.70%.

Wang Shan, an analyst at Jinlianchuang Reinforcement Oil Oil, said:

The output of OPEC+Organization 'in the early stage was not as good as expected, and it supported oil prices to some support. However, the weak manufacturing data of many countries, coupled with the influence of the Fed's interest rate hike, still exist in the market, the market's concerns about the global economic recession and the slowdown in energy demand have continued to intensify.

At this point, international oil prices have fallen until early February this year, the level before the outbreak of the Russian -Ukraine conflict.

Domestic oil prices are expected to reduce the "four consecutive drops" slightly down

As international oil prices fluctuate down, domestic oil prices may usher in a downward.

According to the calculation of Jinlianchuang, as of the eighth working day of August 5, the average price of reference to crude oil was 99.94 US dollars/barrel, and the change rate was -1.09%. The corresponding domestic gasoline and diesel retail price should be reduced by 60 yuan/ton.

Wang Shan analyzed that due to inertia, the change rate may maintain negative extension and development. It is estimated that the retail price of this round is expected to be reduced to a high probability event, and the decrease is reduced by more than 100 yuan/ton.

In other words, if international oil prices do not fluctuate, then on Tuesday (August 9), domestic oil prices are expected to be slightly lowered, and a "four consecutive drop" will appear.

Institutional analysis said that in the market market, the crude oil market is still in the expected expectations of both economic and demand. In the later period, the trend pressure is large. It is expected that a new round of change may still run in negative interval. The short -term news is difficult to support. It is expected that it is expected In the short term, the wholesale price of gasoline and diesel still has a certain room for callback.

This round of refined oil price adjustment is the fifteenth price adjustment this year. According to the current amplitude, the standard gasoline will be reduced by 1060 yuan/ton after the "Four Company Falls", the cumulative diesel has been reduced by 1025 yuan/ton, and the price is reduced to 92#gasoline down 0.83 yuan, 95#gasoline is reduced by 0.88 yuan, 0#diesel diesel, 0#diesel diesel Lotal 0.87 yuan.

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