Four consecutive!Return to the "8 yuan era" on the 95th tonight!After the four consecutive declines, add a box of oil to save about 44 yuan.

The refined oil is about to fall again, everyone is looking forward to the four companies!

Today (August 9) will welcome a new round of domestic oil -based price adjustment windows. The domestic retail price will usher in the "fifth fall" during the year, and for the first time, the "four consecutive declines" will appear. This is also the first "four consecutive declines" of refined oil prices since 2019.

Early in the morning,#今天 今天 or now fell four consecutive times. "

During this round of prices, international crude oil prices have shown a broad fluctuation and falling trend. During the cycle, the decline in US crude oil and gasoline inventory exceeded expectations, and the US dollar fell to support the rise of oil prices. The US dollar/barrel mark has set a new low in 5 months.

Jinlianchuang expects that the price of refined oil on August 9th will be fulfilled as scheduled. This round is reduced by 130 yuan/ton of gasoline, 125 yuan/ton diesel, a discount price of 92#0.1 yuan, 95#0.11 yuan, 0#0.11 yuan Essence

Full a box of oil after falling in four consecutive times

Save about 44 yuan

Since the beginning of this year, the domestic oil retail price limit has experienced 14 price windows, which is "ten rises and four declines." The price adjustment tonight is the fifth time this year, and the first "four consecutive declines" appeared.

Affected by the downlink of crude oil trend, the change rate of crude oil in this round of crude oil has shifted from positive. As of the tenth working day on August 9, the domestic refined oil retail price was opened as scheduled. The average price of reference to crude oil was 99.26 US dollars/barrel, and the change rate was -1.76%. 125 yuan/ton, a discount price of 92#0.1 yuan, 95#0.11 yuan, 0#0.11 yuan.

After the realization of the realization of the domestic end user's oil cost today at 24:00 today, it will be further reduced. In terms of gasoline, according to a small car with a fuel tank capacity of 50L, it will cost 5 yuan to fill a box of oil. The large truck is calculated that it will cost a box of oil to spend 17.6 yuan less.

The cumulative "Four Company Fall" gasoline has reduced 1110 yuan/ton, and the cumulative downtime reduction of 1070 yuan/ton has been reduced. After the annual rising and down offset, the cumulative gasoline has been raised by 1610 yuan/ton, and the cumulative increase of diesel has been raised by 1550 yuan/ton.

The reporter calculated the account and calculated according to the general private car of the fuel tank 50L. After the four consecutive drops, the full box of No. 92 oil saved about 44 yuan (the previous three cumulative reduction of 39 yuan).

Will the five consecutive falls come?

Jinlianchuang Analyst: The probability is very high

After the four consecutive declines, the price of oil has dropped significantly, will it continue to fall?

Just now, Jin Lianchuang Energy Analyst Ma Jiancai analyzed in an interview with each reporter that during this round of pricing cycle, the market uncertain factors increased, and the support of the news was weakened. From the perspective of the price cycle, the international oil price trend continues to operate, and the new round of price adjustment direction shows a wide range of low amplitude. The news is difficult to support the later market.

According to the Golden Lianchuang monitoring model, the changes in the first working day of the new round of pricing cycle were -4%, and the corresponding 260 yuan/ton corresponds to the reduction of gasoline and diesel.

Due to the current two major factors of weighing supply and demand in the international market, investors continue to wait and see. The probability of a new round of price adjustment "five consecutive declines" is large. The price adjustment window period is 24:00 on August 23, 2022.

Every reporter/Business Daily reporter Fang Wei

Photography Fang Wei

Editor on duty: Chen Min

- END -