Just at 12 o'clock tomorrow night!Domestic oil prices may be "four consecutive declines"
Author:Olympic News Time:2022.08.08
Following a wave of domestic oil prices "three consecutive declines", the "15th round" adjustment of domestic refined oil retail prices for tomorrow night (24:00 on August 9) is about to start. Domestic oil prices are expected to usher in the "four consecutive declines".
In terms of international oil prices, international oil prices fell sharply last week, and US oil fell more than 9%.
In terms of crude oil market, despite the continuous tension of crude oil spot supply, the market's concerns about developed economies and the concerns of the global economic recession have continued to heat up. Investors have continued to reduce their positions in advance to significantly decline in demand in advance, which led to the establishment of international oil prices last week. The largest weekly decline since April 1 this year.
Earlier, international oil prices rose slightly on August 5, and this week's accumulation of US oil fell more than 9%. International oil prices have rebounded on Friday, and the price of US oil and cloth oil rose slightly by less than 1%. However, affected by data from the expected increase and demand of the US oil inventory, New York oil prices fell by 9.74%, and Brent oil prices fell by 8.70%.
At this point, international oil prices have fallen until early February this year, the level before the outbreak of the Russian -Ukraine conflict.
Since the three days of international oil prices plummeted last week, international oil prices fluctuated, and the change in crude oil changes from positive and negative, and the expected market is expected to cover the market. The increase in domestic oil prices has risen rapidly to fall, and institutions estimate that there is a great chance of domestic oil prices in the "four consecutive declines"!
Judging from today's oil prices, the No. 95 gasoline in the following areas is close to 8 yuan, 9.02 yuan/liter of Hebei 95 gasoline, 9.04 yuan/liter of Shanghai No. 95 gasoline, 9.05 yuan/liter of gasoline 95 in Jiangsu, 951 yuan for Hunan 95 gasoline 9.01 yuan /Liter, Tianjin 95 gasoline 9.02 yuan/liter, Shenzhen area is expected to fall to 8.56 yuan/liter. If it can fall again, it will return to the 8 yuan era.
At present, there is still a working day from the opening of the price adjustment window, but the probability of the retail price limit of refined oil in this round will be reduced. Calculated according to the current price adjustment amplitude--
Domestic 92#gasoline is reduced by 0.06 yuan per liter
Domestic 95#gasoline and 0#diesel are reduced by 0.07 yuan per liter
According to the relevant calculation, the prediction is 60 yuan/ton. If the oil price breaks through the stranded line, the down reduction is 0.04-0.05 yuan/liter, and the conversion is reduced to 0.04-0.05 yuan/liter.
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