Why does the oil price "break 10" rose?Will it still rise?

Author:Sichuan Observation Time:2022.06.15

At 24:00 on June 14, the new round of oil price adjustment window was opened. Domestic auto and diesel prices (standard products, the same below) increased 390 yuan and 375 yuan per ton, respectively. According to an ordinary private car estimated by the fuel tank capacity of 50L, the owners will spend about 15 yuan more for the owner of the car.

Oil price is raised, No. 95 gasoline in Sichuan and other places breaks 10 yuan

It is worth noting that after the price adjustment, No. 95 gasoline officially entered the 10 yuan era in Sichuan, Guangdong, Yunnan, Hubei and other places.

The reporter walked into a Sinopec gas station in Chengdu and saw that the oil price plate showed that the 92 gasoline 92 gasoline was 9.41 yuan/L, 95 gasoline was 10.06 yuan/liter, and 98 gasoline was 10.9 yuan/liter. The continuous rise in oil prices means that the cost of using vehicles has continued to increase, and on the first day of this round of oil prices, many car owners still come to cheer. "It's been full today, and it has given more than 310 yuan for refueling. It is not cost -effective. If I have time yesterday, I should come to refuel." A car owner who came to refuel told reporters.

The staff of the gas station told reporters that the owner who came to refuel the refueling one night before (June 14th) was more than usual, but it did not have a long queue to cheer.

After sorting out 11 prices during the year, the reporter found that since the first round of price adjustment on January 17, domestic auto and diesel prices have only declined on April 15th. It means that the price of domestic refined oil products currently shows the pattern of "ten rises and one decline and zero strand".

Ten rose and one decline during the year. What is the basis for adjustment of oil prices?

According to the "Administrative Measures for Petroleum Price" issued by the National Development and Reform Commission, domestic auto and diesel prices are adjusted every 10 working days according to the international market crude oil prices. The highest retail price of domestic auto and diesel is based on international market crude oil prices. When the price of crude oil fluctuates between $ 40/barrel to 130 US dollars/barrels, the domestic refined oil price mechanism is adjusted normally. If the price adjustment of the refined oil is less than 50 yuan/ton, it will not be adjusted. When the price of international crude oil is higher than $ 130/barrel, domestic oil prices are not mentioned or raised. This pricing mechanism has formed a linkage between domestic refined oil prices and international oil prices.

Observing the adjustment of domestic oil prices and global backgrounds since 2022, it is not difficult to see that the price of domestic auto and diesel is closely related to the international situation. For example, on March 17, domestic refined oil prices reached the maximum increase, and the price per ton increased by 750 yuan and 720 yuan, respectively. Just before the oil price raised, the third round of Russia and Ukraine's negotiations on March 7 did not achieve the expected results, and then the two parties failed to make progress on the problem of ceasefire. During that period, Brent crude oil reached $ 139.13 per barrel of $ 139.13 per barrel. High level (March 7).

Looking back on the international situation in recent months, the reporter noticed that at the end of March, the Russian delegation held a new round of face -to -face negotiations in Turkey. Both parties stated that the negotiations were constructive. Agreement "Agreement" is considered to be conducive to the international market oil supply to enter a loose model. On April 15th, the seventh oil price adjustment in my country during the start of the year was also the only time this year's oil price decline.

Focusing on the moment, although the epidemic has improved and the demand for oil is restored, the current market supply prospects are still uncertain. Zhuochuang Information Refined Oil Analyst Wang Xueqin said in an interview with reporters that the changing rate of crude oil fluctuates at a high level, high oil prices can not restrain US gasoline consumption, U.S. gasoline inventory declines, the market is concerned about the shortage of supply, and the overall international oil prices have shown a fluctuating increase. Trend.

Data show that on June 14th, WTI crude oil and Brent crude oil stood on $ 122 and $ 123, respectively, which was close to the domestic "ceiling" to protect the price. And will oil prices continue to rise?

Wang Xueqin mentioned that in the later period, not only the peak demand season, but also in the high incidence period of the Hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico, or further pushing oil prices to higher, it is expected that short -term international oil prices are prone to rising and difficult to fall.

There is no "oil" and no care. How to save fuel when oil prices rise?

The rise in oil prices will increase the cost of using fuel vehicles. Many oil car owners vomit "no longer dare 95 full" and "simply ride a bicycle to work". Helpless, many car owners said that at present, electric vehicles are "real incense."

The survey found that the continued rise in oil prices has become the reason why many car owners choose to buy electric vehicles. In March, domestic refined oil prices continued to rise and reached the maximum increase in March. During this period, the production and sales of new energy vehicles performed well. The reporter learned from the official website of the China Automobile Industry Association (hereinafter referred to as the "China Automobile Association") that in March, the production and sales of new energy vehicles completed 216,000 and 226,000, respectively, an increase of 2.5 times and 2.4 times year -on -year. Record. From January to May this year, the cumulative production and sales of pure electric vehicles were 1.549 million and 1.5 million, respectively, an increase of 102.1%and 102.2%year-on-year.

Photo source: China Automobile Industry Association's official website

In fact, in the context of rising oil prices, it is especially important to learn how to save fuel. For example, whether the engine is good and the correct tire tire pressure is related to fuel consumption, ensuring that the vehicle maintains good operating conditions in order to reduce fuel consumption. In addition, vehicle load is also related to fuel consumption. Car owners can reduce unnecessary items in the vehicle, reduce vehicle weights, and reduce fuel consumption.

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