Tesla and Dazhen, who will support the future of the humanoid two -foot robot?

Text/Huang Haifeng

The popularity of humanoid robots has not diminished in the past two years, and many domestic and foreign manufacturers have frequently moved.

In August last year, Boston's power showed that Altas was almost close to human bouncing and physical stability; Tesla CEO Musk threatened Tesla Bot Optimus. Throw "King Fried" -the full -size bionic humanoid robot Cyberone.

Recently, Ginger2.0, a humanoid robot appeared at the new product launch conference in Shanghai Waic (World Artificial Intelligence Conference). The image of the "secondary" Mengmei combined with Eastern culture and Western elements broke through the design of the traditional robot and aroused strong attention from the industry. This mysterious company is Dá Tà robotic company.

Established in 2015, Dazhen obtained 30 million US dollars led by the world -class investment master Sun Zhengyi. Putting together the blueprint of the robot world; Daji recently released the latest version of the flagship humanoid robot Ginger2.0 in Waic, Shanghai, and also brought a two -footed humanoid robot seven fairies Xiao Zi, which shows all aspects The gesture of the leader has aroused strong attention in the industry.

You may be curious. Although the origin of humanoid robots is early, but has not entered our daily life? Compared with Bitterra Optimus, it will progress in the Dazhen two -footed humanoid robot in 2025 and 2035? What is the possibility of successful landing?

In order to explore the answers to these questions, "Haifeng Watching Technology" recently came to Beijing Wangjing SOHO and talked about Da Ye's founder and CEO Huang Xiaoqing.

Those who lead the development of the world must be a person who is full of dreams and eventually realized, and Huang Xiaoqing is such an explorer. He was born in the technical background of the communications industry. He believed that cloud robots were human "third computers". In ten years, they created a family nanny robot.

Humanoid robots have accelerated the evolution, and the "family nanny" robot is coming

Talking about the topic stars in the recent science and technology circle, humanoid robots will inevitably occupy an important seat. I am curious about what factors have promoted the humanoid service robot industry to become hot?

First of all, under the continuous influence of the new crown epidemic, more and more "contactless" service scenarios have appeared in social life, such as robot delivery, online medical care, drone delivery, robot patrol, unmanned retail stores, etc. Essence

Secondly, the shortage of labor is becoming a worldwide problem. As an example of our country, as fertility will weaken and the population aging intensifies, my country's labor population will decrease by 35 million in the next 5 years; the contradiction between the labor market in the United States in March this year will rise to an extreme state. Among them, the number of vacancies will reach 11.85 million. The corresponding vacancy multiple of each unemployed is equal to 2, which is the most since the 1960s; Japan, with the lowest global fertility rate in 2021, fell to 125 million, a decline in 1950.

Third, the rise of the digital economy has made all commercial scenarios is committed to reducing labor demand, but the current use of mechanical methods to improve productivity has entered the bottleneck period, and the use of artificial intelligence instead of human work can make efficiency several times, bringing a new productivity revolutionary revolution. Essence For example, logistics transportation, passport materials and dangerous places are naturally required to replace artificial demand. It is expected that the proportion of intelligent logistics robots in the warehouse will reach 15-35%. In 3-15%.

In addition, the arrival of the era of artificial intelligence is an indispensable element of the rise of robots. Google and Go Artificial Intelligence AlphaGo defeated the world Go champion Li Shishi. Artificial intelligence has the ability to "deeply strengthen learning" and the proposal of Google's multi -modal sparse model Limoe. society.

From the trends of the above major changes, it is not difficult to see that with the superposition of the epidemic, labor shortage, and multiple elements of artificial intelligence, humanoid robots may gradually enter our daily life.

Although the humanoid robot sounds cool, it is not easy to make it. Humanoid robots involve disciplines such as engineering and control science, and also need to combine research results in the fields of electronics, machinery, automated control and computer. Its manufacturing difficulty is far from the same level as ordinary robots and industrial robots. Take the manufacturing process of humanoid robots as an example. You must know that the evolution of human body after 4 million years can be called a "precision instrument". According to relevant statistics, ordinary adults have 206 bones and nearly 350 joints.

Humanoid robot manufacturers are Lin Li, and there are very few commercialization of commercialization

Humanoid robots are currently in the early stages of development, so there is huge room for development in the future. According to Statista data, the global humanoid robot market increased by nearly 119%from 2018-2022.

The humanoid robot industry initially started from Japan and gradually led by the United States. At present, my country is also keeping up quickly. Many players have emerged in this blue ocean market, but because of the high prices and long return cycles, there are very few successful commercialization. We will take stock of one or two. First, the ASIMO launched by Honda, due to the excessive price of millions of dollars and the lack of advanced AI technology, stopped updating in 2018.

Second, the ATLAS launched by Boston Dynamics has a top sports control capability and a single price of 2 million US dollars. There is currently no commercialized attempts.

Third, the NAO launched by Japanese SoftBank was discontinued in 2020 due to high prices and insufficient functionality.

Fourth, Xiaomi's recently released all -sized humanoid bionic robot Cyberone, due to the cost of over 600,000 yuan, is currently unable to mass production.

In my opinion, the key factors for successful commercialization are the following two points.

On the one hand, manufacturers should increase the verticality of application scenarios and functions, which will help products to better find the market and consumers, rather than staying in the laboratory stage. On the other hand, the price of close people is indispensable, and the price of millions of dollars is expected to exist for ordinary consumers.

In the fairy wars of humanoid robots, the most popular is the Tesla Bot Optimus that will appear on September 30 on September 30. With Musk's aura blessing and promoting magnificent words, can Tesla Bot Optimus "fame in the First World War"?

"Haifeng Watching Technology" believes that Tesla may be too "taken for granted." On the one hand, Tesla Bot Optimus is not difficult to help humans engage in danger, duplicate and boring tasks. The core is how to get from DEMO to stable products. It is difficult to achieve scientific and technological progress through the "Great Leap Forward", and the investment and output are inseparable from a long period of precipitation.

On the other hand, Musk said in an interview with the Wall Street Times that he would use the operating system of a self -driving car to make robots, but because of security concerns, he would refuse to use cloud intelligence.

In the author's opinion, cloud intelligence is the general trend, and complex actions are difficult to achieve random optimization without AI, and excellent and stable algorithms are essential. Robots without cloud smart bases lack a huge computing power support. Like passive water and woodless wood, they cannot support people's many expectations for smart robots. The ability of Optimus will be very limited.

Humanoid two-footed robot XR-4, pointing directly at the top of the crown's top

Back to the latest release of this time, Ginger 2.0, a humanoid intelligent service robot. Ginger 1.0 Since its release in 2019, it is currently the only humanoid intelligent robot in the market that can be mass -produced and can work with both hands. It has been widely used in public health, intelligent retail, smart medical care and other fields. There are hundreds of partners.

The Ginger 2.0 released this time has been given intelligent capabilities such as cloud voice, vision, and motion control. Many innovations have reached the industry's leading level and have multi -mode intelligent interaction and independent learning capabilities. Various peripheral tool control, accurate positioning and autonomous walking will provide application services in welcoming reception, guiding explanation, pension accompaniment and other scenarios.

Ginger 2.0 flexible joints increased from 34 to 41, with a dexterous hand with a degree of freedom of 5 kg, with a battery life of more than 24 hours. It also has rich emotional expression and can switch different roles. Ginger 2.0 has rich emotional expression, and can also perceive human emotions through visual and voice. Dazhen also provides multiple interfaces for Ginger 2.0, and is open to partners and third -party tool special measurement instruments to be loaded to the head, shoulders and arms to adapt to more specific and complex tasks. Essence

What is more noteworthy is that the "Easter Egg" project released this time will be released in 2025. The seven fairies Xiao Zi, combined with the certainty ability of Ginger 2.0, from the XR-4 body. Seeing Dadu's ambition in the field of family nanny robots.

Let's look at a set of data. In individual and family scenarios, the sales scale of robotics in 2022 reached 9.1 billion US dollars, which was closer to double growth compared to US $ 4.6 billion in 2018. Among them, the proportion of robots used in housework scenarios reached 82%.

As Huang Xiaoqing said, humanoid robots are the highest form of service robots, while human -shaped two -foot robots are the brightest pearls at the top of the crown. The reason why this is because, compared with other service robots, humanoid robots require higher perception, movement control and interactive ability.

What is the ability to develop the XR-4 that Da Ye is developing? The author is informed that the XR-4 is a family nanny robot that is positioned under home service robots. With a beautiful female image, behavior movements are closer to humans, with 60DOF (freedom), providing 1200nm power density, can make running, jump, etc. Actions can take care of the elderly in the nursing home in the future and provide coffee services such as coffee in the coffee shop.

The control of torque is very important for robots. Huang Xiaoqing told the author that the current torque of XR4 can achieve the highest level of the minimum joint ability worldwide. In addition, due to the evolution of its legs, XR4 can make a very wonderful person. Huang Xiaoqing has his own set of "yellow -style laws" for the pricing strategy of humanoid service robots. He believes that the price should be around 300,000 yuan. If the lease is leased and the price level is only half of the average level of nanny, consumers will not hesitate to choose to use.

OS, Yuan universe, flexible joints, ecological blessings, XR-4 mass production can be expected

According to Huang Xiaoqing, Dazhen is expected to launch a two -footed humanoid service robot in 2025, and will provide global services by 2035. It was only three years from the pre -release to the real landing to the real land.

First of all, at the hardware level, intelligent flexible actuators have always been the difficulty of service robot development and production. At present, there are only three or four internationally mastering intelligent flexible joint technology. Among them, Boston power technology is not disclosed, and NASA is not open to civilian opening.

Because of this, most of the industrial robots use large and rigid traditional servo systems, while service robots cannot use traditional servo because of their body limits. They can only use high fault rates, high noise, and not intelligent steering gear.

Based on this, Dazhen designed a intelligent flexible actuator SCA, an intelligent flexible actuator that integrates "communication+computing+sensing+power". Smart flexible actuator is a statement of relatively rigid joints. It turned out that the rigid robot with limited freedom became a flexible robot with unlimited freedom.

Dazhen Smart Flexible Activator SCA has been launched in mid -to -late 2018 and appeared in the MWC World Mobile Conference in 2019. It has evolved to the SCA2.0 stage. In order to promote the development of the intelligent flexible joint industry, Dazhen has created a manufacturing base in Shanghai in Shanghai. Mass production joints to solve terminal problems in the industry.

Secondly, at the software level, robots, as the third computer after human PC and smartphones, just as Windows/Linux of the PC era, Android/iOS in the mobile Internet era, robots should also have an independent operating system.

Hairui OS is the operating system developed by Dazhen for robotics. Through cloud-net-end distributed computing collaboration and artificial intelligence, digital twins, and artificial enhancement technologies, each robot can get a powerful "cloud brain" , Sheng Ren various tasks in different industries and different scenarios.

Hairui OS has invested in research and development since 2015, and in 2020, Dazhen released Hairui OS 3.0. Recently, Hairui OS 5.0, which has just released on 2022 WAIC, has created a new era of application development of cloud intelligent robots. From the three major areas of robotic Yuan universe, multi -mode general artificial intelligence, cloud robot operation and ecology, promote.

Based on the multi -mode model, Hairui OS can provide robots with general artificial intelligence. Da Ye is committed to applying a multi -modal model to the cloud brain of the service robot. The advanced nature of Hairui OS is also reflected in the cloud-net-end-fusion cloud robot intelligent control, multi-robot cloud intelligent collaboration, standardized RCU supports rapid access to various robots, and supports all-round cloud robot safety operation services.

The cloud robotic operating system Hai Rui OS has given the robot a cloud brain, allowing robotic intelligence to achieve a leap from 0 to 1, leading the robot industry into the era of cloud intelligence. There are currently hundreds of companies, colleges, and scientific research institutions, and nearly a hundred different types of robots have access to Hairui OS.

In my opinion, Hairui OS pointed out the direction of development for the robot industry, and also pointed out physical intelligence services for artificial intelligence. At present, there are many companies that "thriving" robots, most of which are making toys or gimmicks. With a deep insight into the robot industry, Da Ye has also put forward a unique operating system for robots to establish a unique competitiveness for it.

In the end, not only the comprehensive breakthrough of software and hardware, Dazhen also innovatively proposed to provide robots with a robotic Yuan universe that connects to human society, to solve the robotic trial trial trial and error in the real scenes in the real scene. The cost of cost.

Haiyuan World has created a large number of family, communities, cities, factories and other robot work scenes through digital twin technology and supporting cloud computing power support. Digital twin robots can conduct command and control like operating game characters in a highly realistic virtual environment, replace the physical robot to complete the learning and training of skills, and then control the reality through feedback after maturity.

The humanoid robot is a future -oriented industry. It requires profound insights and imagination of the industry. It also needs strong strength to implement the idea. Regarding the small dream of mass -produced double -footed humanoid robot XR4, Da Yan, who dared to do it, has been half successful. The author believes that under the flexible joints, Hairui OS, Yuan universe and ecological blessing, the introduction and production of XR-4 will be just around the corner.

I observe: Humanoid robots will open the next golden age

At present, there are countless companies on the robot industry chain in my country. In 2021, the total number of registered Chinese companies in the field of service robots has exceeded 100,000.

Today, Da is 7 years old and is still very young. What stage has it developed? Through continuous evolution, Dazhen has become the world's leading cloud robot creator, manufacturer and operator, forming a cloud-net-Duan-duct coordinated computing, multi-mode artificial intelligence, digital twin and other cloud robot technology architecture systems. , Smart Park and other industries to realize commercial applications. "Robots serve people, Dazhen service robots." Huang Xiaoqing said. The author found that compared to most companies focusing on a specific link or field, Da Ye focused on the overall situation, whether it is strategic positioning or business layout, fully showing the leading leader of "open and confident" Chinese high -tech enterprises. State.

What does the stars in Da Ye's heart look like? Huang Xiaoqing told the author that Dazhen wanted to integrate the global industrial chain resources and capabilities, create a complete, world -class cloud robot industry ecology, and became the structure of the intelligent robot ecosystem.

At the same time, the humanoid robot ecosystem will be more prosperous. Talking about industry competition, Huang Xiaoqing said that he was not afraid of competition, but he was happy to see the joint investment robot industry.

With Tesla, Xiaomi and other successive entry into humanoid service robots, the innovative genes and successful business experience owned by these technology giants are expected to provide new paths such as algorithms, computing power, and control for industrial development to promote the truly humanoid robot to the market and achieve scale to achieve scale Commercial.

In the science fiction movie "I, Robot", in 2035, the number of humanoid robots accounted for 20%of humans. Highly developed mechanized large -scale production makes humanoid robots cook, walking, walking dogs, and express delivery like humans. The protagonist "Sonny" with independent thinking ability and emotion can even dream.

Science fiction will eventually enter the reality, and we look forward to the humanoid robot entering our daily life.

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