Follow the C position steadily, and the humanoid robot track is sailing

Edit | Yu Bin

Produced | Chaoqi.com "Yu See Column"

From August 18th to 21st, a 2022 World Robot Conference was held in the Yinkang International Convention and Exhibition Center in Beijing. Among the more than 500 advanced technology robot products at the exhibition, humanoid robot products are the popularity and traffic stars of this conference. The direction of development with technology is also the attention of all parties.

From 0 to 1, the industry is still in the process of accumulation

In many industries and fields such as industry, agriculture, medical care, logistics, etc., various types of robots are playing an increasingly important role. At present, industrial robots have been widely used in 60 industry categories and 168 industries, and and of. A combination of rich robots+various application scenarios has been formed.

Such as minimally invasive surgical robots launched by brands such as Yuanhua Smart, intuitive revival, Tianzhihang, Tsinghua University, Wuxi Bai Tai Biological Technology Company, Qingchun Fuzhi (Suzhou) High -tech Corporation jointly launched fast nucleic acid collection detection robots, and so on.

In terms of home, more and more floor -to -floor robots have appeared. In the future, there will be products such as cooking robots, accompanying robots, and other products. Many people are looking forward to in the future. Being able to enter the family, of course, this is also the efforts of many companies in the industry.

As the name suggests, humanoid robots imitate the appearance and various behaviors of our human beings. Therefore Wait for organs or functions.

We can think that the research and development of humanoid robots is actually a complex process that connects people and various scientific and technological ecology. Because it has the appearance, temperament and behavior of more human beings, future humanoid robots are in family services, elderly companions, government services, welcome Bin guidance, corporate front desk and other fields have broad application prospects.

"Yu Jian column" believes that compared with industrial robots with mechanical capabilities, humanoid robots also need to imitate as much as possible in various scenarios or environments, from perception cognition to decision to implement such a complex process. Therefore Technical integration is higher, and its future application scenarios will inevitably be more extensive.

In addition, the entire industry is still in the process of accumulation from quantitative to qualitative changes. There are still many basic software and hardware problems that need to be broken. The existing products on the market still have a distance from large -scale commercialization applications. At the same time Mature application scenarios.

In general, the industry is still in a relatively early stage of development, but in the long run, there is still a very broad blue ocean market in front of practitioners. The future development prospects of humanoid robots are worth looking forward to. It will be more valuable than cars.

The forecast of MarketsandMarkets pointed out that from this year to 2027, the market size of global humanoid robots will increase from $ 1.5 billion to US $ 17.3 billion. , Will reach 372 billion yuan.

Nowadays, humanoid robots are like real people. They are also more flexible in joints, waist, legs, arms and other joints.

At the booth of the Robot Conference, the seventh -generation high -dynamic imitation of the Huitong High Dynamic Human Robot launched by the Intelligent Robotic Robotic Robotic Robotic Innovation Center of Beijing Institute of Technology, performed more fine actions such as walking, running, jumping, etc. on the spot. According to reports, it is reported that This robotic product can achieve a maximum jump height of 0.5 meters, a jump distance of 1 meter, and can also run at a maximum speed of 6 kilometers per hour.

Later, Xiaomi unexpectedly grabbed the first hand

In June this year, Musk said on Twitter that Tesla's humanoid robot Tesla Bot was renamed Optimus. In order to match the release of humanoid robots, Musk announced that this year's Tesla AI day was postponed to 9 to 9 this year to 9 to 9 It was held at the end of the month.

But it is estimated that Musk himself did not expect that at the Xiaomi autumn new product launch conference, Xiaomi launched the company's first full -size humanoid robot Cyberone (Cyberone). Judging from the performance of all aspects, its comprehensive performance is pretty good.

It can hold 1.5 kg weights with one hand. In terms of motion balance, Tie Da can complete the posture balance during the motion through mechanical joint module and systemic control algorithm. Torque can reach 300Nm.

In terms of intelligent induction, it can realize expression recognition, emotional perception, space perception of real world, and three-dimensional virtual reconstruction capabilities through listening sensors, Mi-Sense deep visual modules, AI visual and audio algorithm and other software and hardware.

Its audio algorithm can distinguish 85 environmental semantics and 45 human semantics. In terms of simulation, Tieda supports up to 21 degrees of freedom. It can imitate many human movements and the action response time has reached a level of 0.5 milliseconds.

Tie Da is the second robot launched by Xiaomi after last year's bionic four -foot robot Cyberdog. Its appeared like a thunderous thunder, which attracted people's attention and discussion on social platforms. For Xiaomi, it can be said to be one Milestone products. One product uses Xiaomi's self -developed technology, gathered to integrate various latest R & D results in the company's technical system, and demonstrates the technical strength of the enterprise. Second, this is a very innovative product. A bold exploration and attempt of the science and technology ecology in the future.

It is not difficult to imagine that there will be the launch of the products of Tieda No. 2, Iron University 3, and Tieda N, until the introduction of humanoid robot products really entered millions of households and at the press conference.

Lei Jun showed a video of the Iron University for walking. From the initial walking step by step, to gradually taking two or three steps, to the last more and more, this video is exactly the twists and turns growth of humanoid robots. True portrayal.

Although it was unexpectedly grabbed by Xiaomi, according to Musk's common behavior, Tesla's Optimus Prime Road will inevitably continue to advance. May After all, a Tesla, from a certain degree of perspective, the autonomous driving capacity of cars in the future is also based on artificial intelligence technology.

In this regard, humanoid robots are similar to autonomous vehicles. In fact, Optimus Prime can also be said to be another carrier of Tesla automotive artificial intelligence technology. Move it to Optimus Prime.

This may be Musk's goal. To become a world -renowned high -tech company in the world, not just an electric vehicle manufacturer, it develops in this direction. May It appeared in the real world.

The cost of stepping up the layout is the key to restricting commercialization

The broad development prospects have attracted the layout of many technology companies in the supply chain links of the humanoid robot industry. The earliest domestic enterprise engaged in humanoid robots was developed. The Spring Festival Gala and the Chinese Pavilion of the World Expo last year appeared on the stage.

In general, in the upstream links of the supply chain, especially in key components such as power systems, compilation coders, and AI devices, domestic companies still have a lot of gaps. Essence

For example, the data of the server, Ruiye's data shows that last year's domestic products accounted for 42%, which surpassed Japanese and Korean manufacturers for the first time. Among them, the sales of Huichuan technology increased from 6.2%in 2018 to 16.6%in the first quarter of this year. There is also a reducer, Japan's Nabetusk and Hammenco occupy an absolute advantage, but the market proportion of domestic companies' green harmonics in the harmonic reducer last year has increased to 25%, an increase of 4, which has increased by 4, which has increased by 4 percentage point.

In the future, with the advantages of price and service, domestic enterprises will inevitably have a big difference in the upstream supply chain of humanoid robots, and related industries also hope to reach the international first -class level in a short period of time.

In terms of equipment assembly and system integration, the level of domestic and foreign levels is equivalent. For example, Dazhen Technology's intelligent flexible actuator SCA2.0 integrates a variety of standardized and modular functions such as communication, sensing, and power. The humanoid robot built on the top can complete different types of service needs. While it is easy to produce, it also solves the problem of high manufacturing costs.

"Yu Jian column" believes that in the future, it is not technology that restricts the large -scale commercial application of human robots, but the cost of R & D, manufacturing and use. Due to the complex structure of humanoid robots and high performance control requirements. Costs will always be constrained by the development of the industry.

For example, the value of ATLAS is as high as about $ 2 million. So far, the cost of AMECA, which has the closest expression of the face, has more than $ 133,000. between.

High prices will make the vast majority of families discourage, and the use of robots is large to use, and subsequent maintenance costs will also be a small expenditure. Therefore The price can never be reduced to a suitable range.

In turn, it will affect people's purchasing enthusiasm and product popularization rate. The product can only be appointed, valuable, and no market, and reducing the cost of manufacturing and use will be a long -term and gradual process.

Conclusion

There is no doubt that humanoid robots will eventually enter the home of ordinary people. This is only a problem of time. In the next few years, the robot industry will usher in an important opportunity period for upgrading. At the same time Cutting -edge technology and another dynamic track.

The beautiful vision in film and television dramas will one day become a lifelike reality. With the gradual progress of artificial intelligence technology, humanoid robots will also become another great industrial miracle in human history.

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