The price of gold rose to $ 2,500?Is Goldman Sachs Blowing the price of oil and blowing gold?

Recently, if you want to ask what topics are the hottest in the international capital market, the basically rising price is a long -lasting topic. Many international investment banks have made a lot of money in the process of advocating the price increase. For example, the world's largest investment banking bank Goldman Sachs, this is not just that after the oil price will rise, Goldman Sachs once again claims that the price of gold will rise to $ 2,500. Is the high predictive judgment reliable? What should we see?

1. The price of gold rose to $ 2,500?

According to Wall Street News, with the renewal high of the US dollar index, the golden shortness of gold is broken. As of the closing of July 9, the US dollar index was reported to 106.90 to 20 years, and spot gold fell to less than $ 1750/ounce.

Although the major central banks in Europe and the United States have recently increased gold, Goldman Sachs, which has been optimistic about gold for a long time, has been "shouting" for gold. After adjusting the golden target price to $ 2,500/ounce a week ago, today's Goldman Sachs product analyst Mikhail Sprogis sang more gold again.

In the latest report, SPROGIS and his commodity research team wrote that the slowdown of inflation can turn the market focus from continuous tightening to risk of decline. This transformation will weaken the downward pressure brought by the US dollar and interest rates to the price of gold prices.

The Sprogis team also pointed out that if funds appear "defensive conversion" from the stock market to the bond market, gold will "shine again."

In Goldman Sachs, the direction of the future demand for gold will also be in the eagle Federal Reserve's interest rate hike expectations, the global economic recession prediction game: If the economic recession is concerned about continuous existence, and the pace of the Federal Reserve ’s interest rate hike slows down due to the normalization of inflation, then Gold investment demand should eventually increase. At the beginning of the year, we observed similar dynamics. At that time, there was growth and inflation concerns, but it was unclear how tough the central bank's response would be.

Second, is Goldman Sachs really reliable to tout the price?

We see that Goldman Sachs further regarded the price of international gold to such a high level, and many people will be surprised. After all, the price of gold has risen in recent times, but it shows a significant weakness. Will gold really rising large -scale prices? Intersection What should we think of Goldman Sachs's judgment?

First of all, we need to see why gold is always in a state of decline in price. This is because the rise in gold prices before was under the background of the large -scale depreciation of the US dollar in large scale. Naturally, there will be a trend of upward. However, in recent days, with the continuous interest rate hikes of the Federal Reserve, the intention of controlling inflation is very obvious. In such a big background, gold will actually show the trend of a seesaw. If you continue to strengthen and the situation of interest rate hikes continues, the price of gold is likely to fall further, so this is the core reason for the current large -scale decline in gold prices.

Secondly, as the most well -known investment bank in the world, why does Goldman Sachs have a confidence that the price of gold is expected to rise significantly. In fact, this is also a judgment of Goldman Sachs. The economy may show a tendency to decline. Once the trend of economic recession is determined, it is likely to drive the price of the entire gold market. This is because for the entire market, gold is the best risk aversion in the market. Metal, if the world economy is very popular, the price of gold will definitely fall on a large scale. However, once a large -scale decline in the world economy, gold as an important hedging metal will become the goal of most people buying, and naturally there will be a rise in prices. This is the core logic of the rise in gold prices.

Third, for us ordinary people, do you want to buy gold at this time? In fact, for ordinary people, it is not a good time to buy gold now, because what we see is that although the international gold price is constantly falling, compared with the price of previous periods, the current price of international gold prices is actually relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively relatively compared High high levels, and most of the gold we buy is physical gold. Most of the prices of physical gold are various fees and costs. In fact, the price of real gold is not high. The price has risen on a large scale. If you get gold to the bank or gold jewelry store to monetize, you may not make a lot of money, so for ordinary people, we can pay attention to the trend of the gold market. Buy large -scale gold.

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