The United States wants to pull the new iron curtain to the gate of China?
Author:Zhigu Trend Time:2022.07.07
The United States is becoming more and less shy about using China as the primary or even competitors.
In 2014, Obama announced his high profile to return to Asia Pacific;
In 2018, Trump set off a trade war against China;
In 2022, Biden had a security dialogue mechanism for the four countries shortly after taking office.
Three presidents before and after, small actions are constantly, but the purpose is to curb China.
Even ordinary people can feel that the enclosure of the United States has been continuing. Even the Russian and Ukraine War failed to divert its attention. What's more terrible is that the enclosure of China is comprehensive:
On May 23 this year, Biden announced the launch of the "Indo -Pacific Economic Framework" (IPEF) in Tokyo, Japan. Once the IPEF relevant rules are implemented and implemented, it will accelerate the decoupling of China and the United States and the relocation of China's domestic industrial chain;
On June 26, at the Bavarian G7 summit in Germany, the United States took the new plan of "global infrastructure and investment partnerships" with 7 countries. To compete with China's great infrastructure -this areas of China enjoy the reputation of the global "infrastructure madness";
Two days later, on the 28th, the Treaty Summit in Madrid, Spain, should be targeted at Russia, but the United States aims at China again. NATO, which is not beaten by the eight poles of China, is listed as a military "challenge".
It is meaningful that South Korea in Asia not only appeared at this NATO summit, but also Cui Xiangmu, chief secretary of the South Korean President's Secretary's Secretary, said publicly: "The era of South Korea’ s export economy prosperity has ended. "
This is regarded as a formal announcement of South Korea's decourse statement with China's economy.
What many people do not know is that Japan and South Korea are an important source of high -tech China and South Korea.
If Japan and South Korea fully join the United States' chorus on the siege of China, the impact on China is really not great.
The surrounding circle of the United States is slowly tightening.
The purpose of the United States will never be concealed by the purpose of being to be achieved by China:
The most important thing at the moment is to delay the pace of Chinese innovation and re -open China's distance from key technical and Western. (US Secretary of Commerce Raymond, September 29, 2010)
In a word, the key is that the competition in the technical field is only self -reliance, and only technological innovation.
"Washington has never encountered opponents like China."
This sentence comes from the mouth of economist David Paul Goldman. Now it has almost become the consensus of US policy makers.
So why did the United States look so high in China?
Michael Potter, a professor at Harvard University, and the theory of national competition advantages, discovered three historic turning points from such a century -old change:
◆ First, the development of global science and technology usually recovers in one cycle in 60 years, and a new round of scientific and technological revolution is ready to go;
◆ Second, the global power of the world takes about 100 years as the rise of one cycle. The development of the times will promote the rise of new great powers;
◆ Third, the development cycle of China's high -speed growth has lasted for more than 40 years, and a new round of development is imperative.
Since the reform and opening up, China has achieved great achievements. It is difficult for the original growth mechanism and development model to rely on population and investment dividends to meet the needs of China's new round of high -quality development.
Mastering core technology has become an inevitable choice for China's next development cycle. Only through innovation can China realize the "Creative Destruction" proposed by Kum Peter, which eventually brings new growth and prosperity to the economy.
This is a path that the United States is familiar with.
At that time, Britain led the industrial revolution, while the United States continued to lead the electrical revolution and the information revolution. The first three industrial revolutions have greatly consolidated the status of the British and American powers, and also achieved the extraordinary influence and discourse rights of Britain and the United States in the world.
Right now, on the eve of the fourth science and technology revolution, the situation has changed with the previous three industrial revolution.
In 2020, at the second World Science and Technology and Development Forum, Bai Chunli, then the dean of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, pointed out the difference in the new round of scientific and technological revolution:
◆ First, the scientific and technological revolution is not a single technical dominance, but a trend of multi -point breakthroughs and group breakthroughs;
◆ Second, this scientific and technological revolution is closer to the industry, and technological changes are accelerating to real productivity;
◆ Third, the digital economy represented by "Internet+" and "Smart+" has flourished, driving economic and social acceleration to digital transformation.
There are not many countries that are eligible to participate in competition in the whole field!
And now China is exactly one.
In fact, China is operating carefully in all high -precision fields, and I hope to break through more and dare not partial:
The heavy weapon of the country, the sky on the spacecraft, the aircraft carrier goes off the sea, and the large aircraft, especially the core engine, China has always spared no effort to invest;
Information technology, China takes chips and components, computing power, and communication technology as its core point, especially semiconductor breakthroughs have become the consensus of the whole society;
Life science, the overall breakthrough in the fields of genomics, synthetic biology, brain science, stem cells and other fields, is comprehensively improving the ability of human cognition, regulation and transformation of human beings;
Artificial intelligence, with the rapid progress and extensive penetration of Chinese companies in this practical science, has greatly accelerated the development of relevant disciplines and began to help many other industries transformation and upgrading.
However, many technology clusters can be classified as two types of tracks.
◆ One is a technology that requires long -term accumulation. Such as semiconductor, large aircraft (engine) and other fields. This type of developed countries in Europe and the United States has a huge advantage. China has to invest in and accumulate by time. It cannot be achieved overnight. ◆ One is emerging technology. Such as artificial intelligence, cloud computing, new energy and other fields. Because the technology is too new, countries are almost the same running line. As long as China exerts it in time and adds some luck, it can seize the heights, such as AI and Clouds, and China's performance is not bad.
According to Gartner data from international authoritative research institutions, in 2021, the global cloud computing IaaS market size, Alibaba Cloud is second only to Amazon and Microsoft, ranking 3rd in the world. After that, Google Cloud, Huawei Cloud, Tencent Cloud.
This means that in the field of cloud computing, China has initially caught up with the United States.
Recently, Gartner has announced the "Key Report of Cloud AI Developer Service". The report shows that Ali has surpassed American technology giants such as Amazon AWS and Microsoft in the field of language AI (voice+semantics) and came to the world's second. This is also the best achievement of Chinese companies since the report was born.
This is undoubtedly a strong proof of successful overtaking in the field of emerging technology.
The language AI field is the basic technology of AI and the core component. On the AI Crown, the language is a pearl. If the machine can talk to people, this machine must have powerful artificial intelligence.
It is worth mentioning that even in emerging technologies like AI, China and Europe and the United States are absolutely latecomers.
In 1947, Dr. W. WEAver, American scientist, and British engineer A. D. Booth proposed the use of computers for automatic translation of language. Essence In the 1950s, voice technology officially started. In 1952, Bell Labs developed the first experimental system in the world to identify 10 English digital pronunciation: Audry.
However, it was beyond imagination at the beginning.
On the one hand, the accuracy and speed of the recognition and translation of machines cannot meet the requirements of the actual application; on the other hand, the application scenarios at that time are scarce and it is difficult to use the technical accumulation. In addition, the European and American industry believed that language AI technology would completely subvert and replace computers and mobile phones instead of blending with each other.
Until 2009, with the rise of deep learning, the accuracy rate of voice recognition was significantly improved. With the air outlet of AI, many domestic technology companies have released their new acoustic model structures to refresh the identification records of each database.
With the advantages of R & D, intelligent voice technology companies represented by HKUST Xunfei use the advantages of core technology to provide customized products and services for downstream applications, and dig deep in the moat under the trend of all things.
Internet companies represented by Ali and Baidu have accumulated continuous efforts in the field of voice interactive technology with huge user resources and data of various scenarios. The characteristics of the Internet company market -driven, with the user data, provide the foundation for the functional design of the product, and the sustainable development of the driver technology based on customer demand.
On the AI track, China rely on the competition of enterprises to achieve multiple breakthroughs in R & D, manufacturing, and application links, and eventually transforms China from "follower" to "leader".
In the Sino -US AI competition, Chinese companies also showed an advantage that the United States did not have.
Just as human cubs need to learn from reality, artificial intelligence also needs to learn from reality.
However, the growth of artificial intelligence is more dependent on "feeding" more than babies.
Language AI technology has developed slowly in the United States for 50 years, not because American technology is not good, but because of the lack of application scenarios. With the rise of China's Internet, various scenarios are greatly rich, and application problems are solved.
China has long been the world's largest cargo trading country and has made trade throughout every corner of the world.
In the past few years, China has experienced a turnaround impact of the trade war and epidemic, but in 2021, China's foreign trade still increased by 21.4%year -on -year, an increase of nearly 30%at the exchange rate, accounting for 13.5%of the total global trade.
A large amount of foreign trade needs to talk, communicate, and talk. English is a world language. Americans and other countries do business. They basically use English. The scenario of cross -language translation is far less than trade between China and foreign countries. Chinese businessmen's demand for translation of cross -language is stronger than Americans. Chinese companies have unique advantages compared to American companies.
The scene of language communication is an extremely important data source pool and training field for AI technology.
For example, a few -year -old children can easily learn a language, but letting AI understand human language is a very high technique of threshold. To reach the language level of children, a large number of training and learning requires a lot of training. In the final analysis, the language technology in AI is still incapable of data.
Now that AI has developed in the deep learning phase, the sample data and its quality are higher, so that the machine can complete deep learning.
In the first five months of this year, the number of foreign trade enterprises with import and export performance in my country was 482,000. It can be imagined how much language data does 482,000 merchants talk about business every day? And these massive data are the best learning samples of AI.
Today, the hard core of Ali's language AI technology is largely due to its foreign trade, and it has mastered the important scene of foreign trade. On the other hand, the actual needs of these 482,000 merchants will force enterprises to improve technology and products.
For example, many merchants go to sea to see business opportunities in Southeast Asia and Africa. But when I tied it in, I found the reality skin.
Taking the population of 260 million, Indonesia, the fourth largest population of thousands of islands, is used as an example. The local accent changes every 50 kilometers, and the language will change every 250 kilometers, which is a bit similar to China's ten miles of different sounds.
These reality restrictions allow most companies to go to sea, business can only achieve the capital of other countries, and the business cannot continue to sink to the first floor of the township.
At Ali International Station, 70 % of buyers use English communication, and 30 % use small languages. About 96%of sellers are powerless, and many sellers are not familiar with English.
Faced with the large amount of amounts in cross -border e -commerce translation, fragmented information, and multi -language, many platforms in China have been breaking through. Only by breaking through the difficulty of language AI technology, can it be considered a bridge of communication between cross -border e -commerce trading and seller.
Among them, the development process of Ali AI translation technology can be used as a microcosm of the continuous improvement of Chinese platform translation technology.
In 2009, Ali began using the open source translation system to provide merchants with translation services in the field of e -commerce;
In 2013, Ali spent three years to set up an independent technical team to build a statistical machine translation technology to improve the accuracy of translation;
In 2016, Ali constructed a neural network -based translation technology system to provide automatic translation services in multi -language and multi -field;
In 2018, Ali participated in WMT2018 World Machine Translation Competition for the first time to win the first direction.
All kinds of accumulation and efforts have allowed Chinese companies to surpass American science and technology giants such as Amazon AWS and Microsoft in the field of language AI, and come to the second high level in the world, which seems to be a success.
Many years of technical cultivation is not only reflected in the high ranking and good evaluation of international authoritative research institutions, but also the changes in the naked eye when tens of millions of merchants talk about business.
Beiwangzhuang Village, Laiwu District, Jinan City is an inconspicuous village on the Qilu land.
Gu Guoming, the person in charge of the village secretary and the head of Jinsheng carpet, recalled: In the 1980s, the production of carpets began in the 1980s.
In fact, our production process is non -woven fabric. At that time, Laiwu was a base for the production of carpets in China. The advantage was maintained until 2014, and the price fell sharply as the number of carpet plants followed down.
Gu Guoming turned to the foreign trade market.
How can it be so easy to turn the village entrance into the estuary?
Sun Hui was the first young man to join Jinsheng carpet. She was very impressed by her first customer:
The other party is a Belgian designer who asked very detailed questions, including the length, width, thickness, and heavy of product packaging, and the loading capacity of each container. I have never experienced such a detailed inquiry. I thought he was talking about English. After listening to it for a long time, I found that it was a small language (Dutch).
In the end, the business was not talked about.
In small places like Laiwu, there are not many foreign trade, and English translations can be barely found. When they meet customers who speak small languages, they can't even invite translations. So when receiving foreign customers, they always find a good translation a few days in advance.
Fortunately, the platform resolved Gu Guoming's pain points and realized real -time translation of various languages.
"We use the news of Chinese. If the buyer is French, he can directly see the French after the translation. The French news he posted can also read Chinese directly. The speed is fast and almost synchronized."
For example, Ali's translation currently covers 214 languages, providing 100 million words of translation services for 2 million small and medium businesses in China. The average number of access to the Alida Academy has exceeded 1 billion times.
Powerful translation ability is not only breadth, but also accuracy.
The AI translation model of the Dharma Academy enhances the translation ability between small and small language through multi -language knowledge migration and continuous semantic enhancement technology, and enhances the translation ability between small language and Chinese and English, so that the translation is more in line with the language expression habits of various regions.
For example, for the word Fiesta de Luna in Spanish, many translation software, including Google, will be literally translated into "Carnival" or "Moon Party", and Ali translation will accurately translate "Mid -Autumn Festival" according to Chinese characteristics.
In terms of Chinese translation, Ali Translation will also consider the generalization of foreigners. We call the product "baby". If it is directly translated into baby, foreign people will find it strange. At this time, the translation technology of the Dharma Academy can automatically adjust the context into translations like Product.
The communication is easy, the business is easy to do, countless small and medium -sized enterprises break the ceiling, and eventually summarize the country's dazzling foreign trade transcripts:
In the first four months of this year, my country's foreign trade growth rate was 10.1%. Among them, private enterprises in foreign trade entities increased by 15.4%in the first four months, and the proportion of imports and exports of the entire foreign trade increased by 2.4 percentage points to 58.5%.
Market demand is the best incubator for high -tech.
Cross -border e -commerce will also break out. Data show that by 2024, China's cross -border export e -commerce transaction scale will generally exceed 2.95 trillion yuan.
In the foreseeable future, the neighboring cross -border e -commerce will also have a greater breakthrough for platform translation technology.
The evolutionary language AI technology will help China to develop the major developing countries and the small language market, and open new opportunities. New technologies have the power of moisturizing and silent.
Whether it is Ali, Huawei, HKUST Xunfei or other Chinese companies; whether it is AI, big data, cloud computing, or other emerging industries and fields. China is all over the city and overtaking.
We want to thank the countless scientists and engineers in the company to pay every day. At the same time, we should also be fortunate that our country has an advantage that the vast majority of the world does not have -a super unified market of 9.6 million square kilometers, 1.4 billion people.
Russia and Canada, which are vast but sparsely populated, are not a unified market;
India, which has a large population but complicated language and religion, is not a unified market.
In fact, the world has the United States and China that has a large unified market in China.
Today, although the international situation is changing, the capital market fluctuates frequency. But in any case, China's unified domestic demand market with a scale of more than 40 trillion is still the most important basic disk stabilizing the Chinese economy.
However, if the contribution of unified large markets to large powers is limited to the consumer field, the cognition is obviously too shallow.
Writing here, you might ask me: "Didn't you still analyze foreign trade to expand overseas markets, how can this return to the domestic market again?"
It is important to emphasize that it is a new technology that is changing with each other to expand overseas markets. And a unified domestic market is the cause of the evolution of new technology.
The most important application scenario mentioned earlier is foreign trade, but there is no support for underlying technology and computing power. This AI cannot be trained. The bottom technology and computing power of Ali mainly rely on huge domestic markets.
The unified market with more than one billion people is undoubtedly a rich mine in application scenarios. The emergence of the Internet and the digital economy has accelerated the mining process of this rich mine.
Many emerging technologies in the new round of scientific and technological revolution are based on practical science. The Internet is actually the most vivid practice in the modern economy. It is pushing many underlying technologies forward.
It is not difficult to find out that China ’s 5G, big data, cloud computing, AI and other new technologies have amazing coupling with the rise of the Internet.
There is a well -known "Metkafel effect" in the Internet field, and the value of the network is equal to the square of the node it connected. Therefore, the more the network connection, the greater the value.
The world's largest Internet companies, except for the huge domestic market in the United States (more than 300 million people, in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and other developed economies and the United States, they all appear in China.
This is by no means accidental. This is actually a new technology mechanism of the Internet, which brings a dividend to this post -developed country. It not only brings business dividends, but also brings technological dividends.
In the pre -Internet era, the science and technology tree climbing process of each country is linear. From the era of steam, to the electrical era, to the new science and technology revolution after World War II. Which country occupies a leading advantage at the beginning, it is difficult to surpass the country, even if the volume and scale of these countries are not large.
To this day, do not say that in European countries such as Germany and France, countries with less than 10 million people in the Netherlands, Sweden, Finland and other population still ranks the world's leading positions in many technologies.
The emergence of the Internet has changed this situation, giving a huge "development bonus" for large population countries such as the United States and China, and enlarging the demographic dividend and market dividends.
The huge domestic market and rich application scenarios have promoted China's technological upgrade. The penetration of technology across the country has also promoted the development of the domestic market.
An undeniable fact is that the stimulus and technological innovation of unified market dividends and technological innovation are forming a positive cycle.
Cloud computing, AI, 5G communication, new energy vehicles ... more and more industries on this series of lists. The huge market is the source of technological innovation.
Nowadays, the two -wheel drive of business+technology has made companies such as Ali not only achieve business achievements, but also occupy a place in global science and technology competition.
With the in -depth advancement of the scientific and technological revolution, technology iterations will be faster. The more advanced to the peak of technology, the harder the road is.
It is no wonder that even when the development of China is facing the most severe challenges, it is necessary to adhere to the two -cycle route of internal circulation and international cycle.
Since this direction is right, of course, you should stick to it without any hesitation. And this direction is also the only way to break through the blockade of China's breakthrough.
Even if the storms outside, we have to go forward.
- END -
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