The effect of "giving punch" has gradually appeared. In the first half of the year

Jimu Journalist Liu Yan

Affected by multiple factors, the property market was superimposed. In the first half of the year, the performance of the national property market continued to be under pressure, and Wuhan as a new first -tier city was no exception. According to the data of the China Finger Research Institute, in the first half of 2022, Wuhan's newly -built commercial housing was sold for 55,942 units and 6.277 million square meters, a year -on -year decrease of 47.2%and 48.9%, slightly higher than the national average decline.

"The impact of demand shrinkage, expected weakness, reduction of reduction, insufficient confidence, high inventory and other factors, the 2022 property market has been a bit downturn. However, from May, Wuhan has successively introduced the relaxation policy of the property market, and the transactions have rebounded significantly in June." July in July. On the 5th, Li Guozheng, director of the China Market Research Center of the Central Finger Research Institute, said in an interview with Jiomu Journalists.

Data map

In June, a monthly high of the monthly transaction was hit for half a year high

According to the China Independent Data, in the first half of 2022, 100 large and medium cities across the country, the average monthly transaction area of ​​new commercial housing was about 30.99 million square meters, a decrease of 42%year-on-year, and a 31%decrease in the same period compared with the same period of 2019-2021.

Depending on the data of Wuhan property market, in the first quarter of this year, Wuhan's market has a strong look at the emotions, and the supply and demand performance of the new house market is relatively low. From January to March, the number of Wuhan housing transactions was 10634, 5957, and 10368, respectively. Entering April and May, the property market continued to be sluggish, with 9,680 units in April, and 8,448 units in May, a decrease of two consecutive months.

At the same time, the destination rate is not satisfactory. In January 2022, the central finger research institute monitored the opening rate of the Wuhan property market to 39%, which was the highest in half a year, and in March and May less than 20%. The market is fiercely fighting. Most of the projects that are winning are created by brand companies. Security has become a prominent issue considering a house buyer. The steady advantage of state -owned enterprises is prominent. As of the end of May, Wuhan's housing exfoliating cycle reached 14.0 months, of which the average of 17.6 months in the new city area was 17.6 months, and the market pressure continued to appear. Therefore, Wuhan has made positive adjustments in many aspects.

From May, Wuhan issued measures to support reasonable housing needs. In the following June, the property market reached the bottom of the rebound, and the transaction was significantly active, creating a monthly high of 10,885 sets of monthly transactions.

Three -wheel adjustment to form a "combination boxing" effect

On May 21, Wuhan City issued a new policy of a heavy property market: two -child or three -child families can purchase third houses in the central urban area; parents or children come to Han to vote, or they can purchase third houses in the restricted purchase area; foreigners buy houses in Han The threshold is greatly reduced, and the social security or taxes can be changed for 2 years.

Since then, Wuhan property market has gone through three rounds of continuous increase process. At the same time, in the Han financial institutions, the mortgage interest rate was further reduced, and it was implemented in accordance with the first home loan interest rate of 4.8%and 5.05%of the second suite.

Li Guozheng reviewed the recent property market policy of Wuhan that in response to relatives, children's families, foreign -existential needs and other groups, they could buy a new house and make directional relaxation. Within 11 days from May 21st to 31st, a total of 3275 units were sold, with an average daily turnover of 297 units, an increase of less than 20 % compared with the previous increase, and did not meet expectations. Then, in early June, the four major areas such as Wuhan Economic Development Zone completely lifted the restriction restriction. From June 1st to 19th, a total of 5,414 units were sold, and the average daily units were available. Bounce greatly. Therefore, in response to improving sexual demand, from June 20, Wuhan New Deal has been added again. There are 3 houses to purchase houses for local household registration and households.

From June 20th to 30th, 5,441 units were sold in 11 days, with a daily average of 494 units. Compared with the average transaction level of 272 sets in May, an increase of 81.6%. Among them, there were 1,178 units of housing on June 30, and 1,226 housing transactions on July 1st, the highest single -day transaction in the past two months.

Li Guozheng's analysis believes that in the first half of 2022, the transactions fell over 10,000 levels in April and May. Unprecedented cooling, which prompted the relevant departments to continue to shoot, a series of stability maintenance measures continued to be introduced. The effect of the end of half a year is effective. In general, through a gradual adjustment of three rounds, a series of methods such as mortgage interest rates, settlement, and relaxation of purchase restrictions are formed to form a combination of boxing effects, which effectively promotes the release of market demand, especially self -occupation and improvement of sexual needs. The market transactions are active.

The proportion of transactions in Xincheng District has increased

Continuous regulation, the "housing and living" in Wuhan property market have been fully reflected. According to the data released by Wuhan Housing Provident Fund Management Center, in the first quarter of 2022, in the 40s, young people under the age of 40 accounted for more than 90%, the first home loan accounted for nearly 80%, and small and medium -sized units accounted for more than 95%. , Staying in Han University in Han'an and Yueye.

In addition, in terms of improving sexual needs, high -end houses represented by Wuchang and Hankou River continued the popularity of 2021, and achieved a performance that was stronger than that of real estate. Among them, in the Wuchang Binjiang Business District, the unit price of 30,000+ Moon Bay One opened twice and sold out twice. Wuhan Yangtze River Center, Longhu Qingneng Tianyi, Lianyou Center, China Resources Yangtze River Yue and so on were also remarkable. Huangpu Bay, the Greentown of the Hankou Binjiang Business District, the latest period of the record reached a average price of a rough of 50,000+, which once again exceeded market expectations. China Resources Ruifu, Renheng Binjiang Garden, and New Hope D10 are relayed to strengthen the first lineup of the two -seven Binjiang River. The changes in policy have also increased regional differentiation. Due to the lifting of restrictions on the purchase restrictions of Huanghua, East and West Lake, Jiangxia, and Wuhan Economic Development Zone, the proportion of transactions in the new city has been increased. According to the data of the China Finger Research Institute, the proportion of the main urban area of ​​Wuhan housing transactions has begun to decline, with 70.7%, 60.6%, and 54.5%in April to June, respectively. Among them, the four major regions that recently lifted the purchase restrictions have increased significantly in June, the lowest increase of 54%from the previous month, and the highest east -west lake area reached 169%.

However, the new change in the market is that the overall traffic has declined in Caidian, Xinzhou, Hannan and other areas, which had an unlimited purchase advantage, and the transactions in June were significantly down. It is expected that this new challenge will continue for a period of time.

There is still room for policies at both ends of the supply and demand

In the first half of 2022, the downward pressure on macroeconomics increased, and the importance of "stabilizing real estate" to "stabilize the economy" has increased. However, the current regulatory policies of some cities remain relatively restrained. Under the circumstances of market sales, the policy intensity is expected to be further strengthened. In the short term, before the real estate market resumes a stable operation, the frequency of urban policies may be maintained at a faster pace, and the policies at both ends of the supply and demand are still space.

Li Guozheng said that after continuous efforts, the transactions of the Wuhan property market rebounded significantly in June, but under multiple pressures, the continuous momentum needs to be observed. The market transaction volume continues to hover at the bottom of the valley, which has affected the enthusiasm of housing companies to pick up land to a certain extent. The market destocking pressure is still relatively difficult. However, it is gratifying that many housing companies have strengthened marketing efforts to increase their marketing efforts, accelerate the efforts of destocking, and the market generally presents the characteristics of "increasing quantities and no price".

Li Guozheng's analysis believes that, in the context of weak overall demand, strictly adhere to the red line of "housing do not fry". Although local governments have continued to adjust and improve relevant policies, there are still some difficulties in grasping the specific scale. This also makes consumption from another side. The watches of the person worsen. "Compared with similar cities, Wuhan has a late time. According to the principles of urban policies and step -by -step principles, Wuhan will not be ruled out in the later period that will continue to optimize related measures to support the reasonable demand for house purchase." He said.

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