The price of pigs has risen, and the National Development and Reform Commission's "Steading Price" meeting "stepping on the brakes": no blind pressure fences or collusion price increases
Author:Daily Economic News Time:2022.07.04
Today (July 4), the official WeChat public account of the National Development and Reform Commission introduced the relevant situation of the special meeting of the pig market for the stability of the pig market.
At the meeting, the Price Department of the National Development and Reform Commission stated that the state has always paid close attention to changes in the market price of raw pork and pork, strives to prevent sharp fluctuations in prices, and maintain the smooth operation of the market; require large breeding companies to take the lead The column reminds companies not to hoard the strangeness, coax the prices, and do not collude the price increase.
According to the statistics of the CCTV report, as of July 4, the average price of pigs in the country has exceeded 21 yuan per kilogram. In less than half a month, the increase of more than 20%.
On the afternoon of July 4, a participant said in a telephone interview with the reporter of "Daily Economic News" that he said on behalf of the company that the price of pig prices had a lot to do with the decrease in supply, and the reason for the decrease in supply was that pigs were pigs. During the cycle, the company's general profit is low, and the second is affected by high -priced grain, epidemic and disease.
Price Department of the National Development and Reform Commission: Large -scale breeding enterprises do not blindly press the fence, and must not hoard the strangeness and collude prices
A "Conference Notice" obtained by the reporter shows that the participants included the Chinese Animal Husbandry Association, Meat Association, Muyuan, Wenshi, Xinwen, Zhengbang, Dabei, Zhongliang, Shuanghui, Yanyun, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Jin, Golden, Golden, Golden Gong, Beijing Second Business Company. At the same time, the above -mentioned associations and enterprises need to provide the reasons for the rapid rise in the price of pigs in the near future. In the later period of market price trend, the company's production and operation conditions, including production plans and actual columns, heads, production costs and benefits, production in the second half of the year production, production in the second half of the year The plan arrangement, do a good job of providing and stable prices and suggestions.
On the afternoon of July 4, a participant said in an interview with the reporter of "Daily Economic News" that the meeting time today is relatively long. Each company has a report time of ten minutes. Some of these contents are inconvenient to disclose to the outside world.
The participants said that the information that can be revealed at present is that when he speaks on behalf of a company, the price of pigs' rising prices has a lot to do with the decrease in supply. The reason for the decrease in supply is that the general profit of enterprises in the pig cycle is low, and the other is affected by high -priced grain, epidemic, and diseases. According to him, the Price Department of the National Development and Reform Commission stated that the price of pigs will monitor the price of pigs, and it will be dealt with seriously for companies that coax the price. If necessary, they will interview with key supply companies. In addition, big pig companies such as Muyuan and New Hope promised not to be pressed and will be supplied normally. In the second half of the year, there will be a plan to go out of the column in the second half of the year.
In terms of market, on July 4th, the main contract of pigs exceeded 22755 yuan/ton in the main contract of the pig, setting a new high since this year, and finally closed at 22695 yuan/ton; The daily limit of science and technology, and Wen's stock price increased by more than 10%.
On the evening of July 4, the official WeChat signal of the National Development and Reform Commission stated that the analysis of relevant parties believes that the price of domestic pigs has risen too fast in the near future, and the important reason is that the market has irrational pressure fences and secondary fattening. Some media, especially themselves, especially themselves The media fabricated the spread of price increase information and rendering the atmosphere of price increase, which exacerbated the market for sale in the short term. At present, the production capacity of pigs is generally reasonable and abundant, and the consumption is not strong. As a result, the concentrated columns and prices fell rapidly, which caused market prices to rise and fall, but it was not conducive to the normal production and operation of enterprises and the long -term healthy development of the industry.
Participating representatives unanimously stated that it will strengthen the industry's self -discipline, take the lead in doing a good job of the pig market to protect the price of stable prices, and maintain the rhythm of the normal fence and not to stock up. "Cooling" and strengthening market supervision, especially the behavior of deliberately cracking down on the atmosphere of price increases and creating panic emotions.
At the meeting, the Price Department of the National Development and Reform Commission stated that the state has always paid close attention to changes in the market price of raw pork and pork, strives to prevent sharp fluctuations in prices, and maintain the smooth operation of the market; require large breeding companies to take the lead The column, reminding companies not to hoard their stories, make up prices, and do not collude prices; it is clearly stated that effective measures such as reserve adjustment, supply and demand adjustment will be taken in a timely manner to prevent the price of pigs from rising excessively. Illegal behaviors such as information and raising prices, maintaining normal market order, and promoting the long -term healthy development of the industry.
Industry: There is no factors that support the rise in pig prices
According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the "200 Index 200 Index of Agricultural Products Wholesale Price" was 116.93, an increase of 1.08 points from last Friday. As of 14:00 today, the average price of pork in the national agricultural wholesale market was 25.74 yuan/kg, an increase of 4.8%from last Friday.
"Selling pigs in these days is like selling stocks. Even if they can't sell the highest point, they will not sell at the lowest point." On the evening of July 4, Mr. Xiao, Henan breeding households, was interviewing by the reporter of "Daily Economic News". It is said that although the price of pork is rising, pig farmers have been covering them, for fear of selling less, only 8.5 yuan/jin on June 20, now it has risen to 12 yuan/jin. "Pig price will rise. Mr. Xiao believes that on the one hand, the consumption has not come up, and on the other hand, feed, veterinary drugs, and vaccines have not risen much. Nowadays, pig prices have risen abnormal. Li Wenxu, a pig product analyst at business club, also said in an interview with reporters on July 4 that the rapid rise of pig prices is not a factor of the pig cycle, but a corporate pressure bar. The fire ", the more the price increases, the less selling the price, which helps the price increase.
"After all, there is no substantial favorable support for supporting pig prices. At present, the school is on vacation, the main consumer exits, the number of pigs and can sow is smooth, and there is no culprit for African swine fever. What can support the price of pigs rising?"
Li Wenxu also said that the relevant state departments hoped that the price of pigs rose steadily, and the profits of farmers rose steadily, rather than ups and downs, and fluctuated sharply. After this meeting, as the fence was released, the supply increased, and some areas will gradually increase the price of pigs. With the comprehensive effect of market supply and demand, cost, and profit of farmers, pig prices will fall to a reasonable range, about 19 yuan/kg.
In contrast, on June 21, Wen's shares responded to investors on the interactive platform to ask the production plan that the company always insisted on steady production and did not bet the market. The rhythm of the sale of seedlings and outlets. Unless the rhythm of the large -scale holidays is adjusted, it rarely deliberately adopts a pressure bar or a early column strategy at other times to adjust the rhythm of the column.
In addition, Muyuan shares stated on the interactive platform that the market price of the pigs from April has a significant increase in continuous recovery. Combined with factors such as the data of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Ministry and the duration of the increase in pig prices, it can be roughly determined that the price of pig prices can be judged this time The rise is mainly due to the improvement of the margin of supply and demand, not driven by simple emotions or short -term expectations.
(Cover picture source: Visual China-VCG41115967554)
Daily Economic News
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