Goldman Sachs: Maybe oil prices rose to $ 140 per barrel?Is oil price going up again?

Recently, oil prices have finally seen the hope of decline. Under such circumstances, many people are looking forward to hoping that oil prices can return to a relatively cheap level. Detainer prices have risen to $ 140 per barrel? Many people were surprised when they saw it, and the oil prices that were hard to come down. Is this going to rise again?

1. Goldman Sachs: Maybe oil prices rose to $ 140 per barrel?

According to the economic reference report, although oil prices have fallen for the first two consecutive weeks since April this year, Goldman Sachs has seen oil prices. Goldman Sachs chief commodity strategist Jeff Corry said that the price price of Brent crude oil in London this summer will rise to $ 140 per barrel. He believes that insufficient investment in the oil and gas field will continue to promote the rise in oil prices.

In early June, Goldman Sachs issued a report to predict that the price of Brent crude oil will reach $ 140 per barrel. But since then, international oil prices have fallen for two consecutive weeks. At the end of June, Curi reiterated the expectation again and believed that the recent felling oil price was a good opportunity to buy.

Curry mentioned in the report that the structural shortage of crude oil has not yet been resolved, and the oil prices have further increased, so that the inventory can ultimately achieve normalization. Curi summarizes the following four -point factors to support the rise in oil prices: due to the continuous recovery of Asian demand and reducing Russia's production, the short -term inventory surplus has ended; at present, global crude oil demand is still elastic under high oil prices; Supply is difficult to increase; in addition, structural shortage has not been resolved.

The OPEC+oil -producing Alliance to the global market is more than 500 million barrels lower than its promised level, which exacerbates concerns about the organization's balance of global market capabilities, and then provide a certain favorable support for oil prices.

On Monday, the European Union reached a energy storage resolution on Monday, requiring that before the winter of 2022, the level of natural gas storage in the territory must reach 80%.

Second, the oil price is going to rise again?

We see Golden -Golden -scale saying that international oil prices will rise to $ 140 a barrel. Many people will feel more worried about what is the basis for Goldman Sachs. What should we think of Goldman Sachs?

First of all, for the current market, the reason why Goldman Sachs has such a statement is actually a normal phenomenon because Goldman Sachs has a clear judgment on the entire oil supply and demand market. From the current development of the entire market From the perspective of supply and demand, in fact, the trend has gradually become obvious:

From the perspective of oil supply, the current oil supply of the world is actually facing relatively large pressure. On the one hand, due to the influence of the European geographical crisis, Russia has gradually adopted measures to reduce oil production in oil production, which will lead The lack of oil supply throughout the world. On the other hand, for the entire country in the bay, although Iran is Iran, it is possible to increase the expectations of oil supply, but the entire OPEC organization is not attentive to the increase in oil production, so the end result is that OPEC is very good at OPEC very much. It may not cooperate with the oil production that the United States wants to do. To reduce production in Russia, OPEC has not reached enough increase in production, and the end result will lead to lack of oil supply.

From the perspective of petroleum demand, the current demand for oil is increasing rapidly. This aspect is because with the summer of the northern hemisphere, the entire world is at a strong stage of energy consumption. On the other hand, the entire European is in a state of relatively large energy pressure. It is likely to occur, that is, Europe will also have oil to replace the natural gas supply that has occurred before, so as to further increase the demand for oil.

The entire world is insufficient, but the demand is still surging. The final result is naturally the price of oil has further increased.

Secondly, for most Chinese consumers, everyone does not need to worry too much, because our country has a ceiling mechanism on the oil supply market. If the price of international oil rises to $ 130 a barrel, it will trigger oil to trigger oil. In the end, the rise in domestic oil prices will also show a certain stop trend. At least under the protection of oil price ceilings, the price of domestic refined oil will not rise without limit. In the process of violent fluctuations, a rare good news.

Third, for the perspective of the entire energy supply, the current crisis of oil has a certain degree of crisis, which actually sounds the alarm for our energy supply. Everyone must try to improve the market advantages of their own energy supply. For example, using new energy vehicles to gradually replace fuel vehicles and use more clean and renewable energy to replace fossil energy such as oil. Only in this way can we grasp the personnel safely in our own hands, otherwise it will always rely on oil to import a lot of oil imports. In fact, there is a certain danger. From the current perspective, this is very significant, so I hope that everyone can further promote the overall market in the direction of accelerating the acceleration of new energy. This may be what we need to do most.

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