Daoda Investment Notes: Pay attention to 4 o'clock in the backlook of big consumption leadership

When I went to the forum yesterday, Da Ge saw a question from an investor. Why can investors endure losses, but they can't make a profit? This should be the commonality of many shareholders.

The phenomenon we often see is that when dealing with losses and profitability, tend to sell stocks that are rising prices, and retain the stocks where the price is falling.

Behind this is that we are unwilling to admit the failure of past decisions, and the operation of similar early repaction of profits is also from the tendency to we do not want to lose profit opportunities.

In fact, it is really not important for the price you buy. Is the market worse your money? The law of prices will not change because of your movements. A more reasonable approach is to jump out of the fact that you have bought the fact and forget your buying price. Or think about it from another angle: how would you judge the market if you didn't buy it? What kind of operation will be taken?

In the final analysis, there is still no formation of its own trading system, or that they have not complied with their own trading rules, and are accustomed to making their own buying price as "anchor", staring at the profit and loss of the account to make investment decisions.

Da Technology has the potential of excavation

A shares walked out of independence yesterday. The funds in the north are not there. The domestic capital has strongly supported the market. Outside the market was adjusted at first sight. The most exaggerated was the TCL Central (SZ002129, the stock price of 58.89 yuan, and the market value of 190.3 billion yuan), close to 200 billion yuan The market value, the number of days before the day before yesterday, was successfully reflected yesterday. If you guess well, yesterday was the funds outside the field.

The upper market is dominated by large consumption. The concept stocks of the post -epidemic include tourism, film and television, tax -free, aviation, catering, medicine, white wine, etc., all rising.

For big consumption, Dago reminded to prepare the target in advance last Sunday. Yesterday they performed active collective performance to avoid the embarrassment of my face. However, it is still necessary to distinguish between short -term and mid -line, such as tourism and hotels. The company's market value is relatively small, the funds of the sector are limited, and the short -term is more suitable. For sectors with large capital capacity, the trend is better.

In addition to large consumption, photovoltaic, wind power, silicon wafers, phosphorus chemicals and other sectors related to track stocks are also good. It can be seen that some stocks are expected to be the first to do the first half -year report. For some short -term stocks, it is still more cautious at the moment.

The news of Samsung Electronics will officially announce the production of 3 -nanometer chips, which constitutes a stimulus to the semiconductor sector. Of course, it is also related to an important speech the day before yesterday. The rebound of Da Technology's rounds behind other track stocks is now a supplementary rise and the potential of excavation.

The more unexpected news is the leading intelligent leading Shangtang Technology (HK00020, the stock price of HK $ 3.130, and a market value of HK $ 104.9 billion), and Hong Kong stocks plummeted by 46.77%. The market value of 100 billion fell like this is really exaggerated. Dago thinks that some Hong Kong stocks have problems with the liquidity, so try to avoid it.

Do not rule out how much suspicion is

Throughout the quotation of yesterday, the broader market index realizes anti -bags. Everyone's emotions are naturally high, but you should pay attention to it in the short term:

First of all, the problem that the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index is different at the same time. Although the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index hit a new high yesterday, from the perspective of its daily K -line and small -level K line, the signs of exhaustion still did not change. There are many suspicions on the attack. The best way to resolve is to extend the current horizontal shocking time.

It can give the market a few days to observe the time. If you still can't rush up, the risk awareness must be available. In the short term, the gap below is an important reference. Once it is broken, there may be deeper adjustments.

The second is to observe the rhythm of this round of market. The Shanghai Stock Exchange Index has rebounded to the current stage, which has been pulled up after the mid -yin line. Many people have developed the inertial psychology of the bottom when they plummeted. This inertial psychology is more dangerous and needs to be vigilant.

Once again, it is the qualitative of collective rise in large consumption. Da Ge is not surprised to the rise of big consumption, but such a smooth switching method between them and track stocks is doubtful. Too consistent, almost walking along everyone's intentions, so I prefer to qualitative them as a supplement.

According to the previous idea of ​​switching in the past, it is difficult to say that it can be switched successfully without the fierce game of this long. Judging from the current situation, I am more inclined to think of big consumption and track stocks as a round of rebound, but the rhythm is different.

Finally, the operation level. Dago's strategy is that this position does not add positions and can adjust the positioning structure, but leave a little room in the position and do not chase.

Yesterday was the last day of June, perfect ending! The stock market has the saying that "five poor, six, and seven turn around". The market in May and June is not bad. Many people naturally have more expectations for the market in July. As far as the market is concerned, in the current current liquidity and the expectations of economic recovery expectations, the market as a whole is still good.

(Zhang Daoda)

According to the latest regulations of relevant national departments, this note does not involve any operating suggestions, and the risk of entering the market should be borne.

Daily Economic News

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