Ten about the current economic situation: How to grasp how to grasp the situation and uncertainty and uncertainty.
Author:Zhejiang Daily Time:2022.06.30
Zhejiang News Client Seeing Reporter Hu Jingyi Reporter Xia Dan
The current economic situation is extremely complicated, and the "triple pressure" superimposed "two major variables", unstable and uncertain factors significantly increased. How to think about the current economic trend, how to open the stuck card, how to help market entities more powerful ... In response to some hot issues in the current economic operation, reporters and experts and scholars who have long been concerned about Zhejiang economy for a long time have been discussed.
Industry is the cockpit stone of the national economy. With the improvement of the epidemic situation, the industrial added value of Zhejiang regulations in May has achieved negative to positive.
Next, how to boost entrepreneur confidence, how to optimize the industrial structure by potential, can Zhejiang complete the annual growth goal of industrial added value? Our reporter interviewed Ling Yun, a special researcher at the provincial government.
Reporter: At present, what is the momentum of Zhejiang's industrial economic recovery?
Ling Yun: In 2022, the growth rate of industrial added value in Zhejiang Province is more than 6%. This is based on the complexity and variability of the international and domestic economic situation last year. It has increased the difficulty of completing the economic development goals of our province this year.
At present, from January to May this year, the added value of industrial industries in the province's regulations increased by 5.5%year -on -year, and there was still a certain distance from the annual goals. It is difficult to complete the goals in the first half of this year and the whole year. It is necessary to work together through the province, adhere to the problem orientation, do precision services, and stimulate the vitality of the enterprise. It is also possible to achieve the expected goal of the year.
Why do you see? There is a set of data here: R & D investment, while the profit declines from January to April this year, the province's regulatory industrial R & D investment still increases by 22.8%year -on -year, which reflects the deep understanding of innovation -driven and expected future development expectations of our province's enterprises in our province. Confidence. In terms of industrial added value, the industrial added value of the province in May is from negative to positive. It is expected that the industrial added value growth rate in June is better than May.
In addition, from January to May, the province's regulatory export value of industrial exports increased by 18.0%, industrial investment increased by 15.6%, and technological reform investment increased by 19.9%. These indicators showed a good trend.
Reporter: At present, there are still many uncertain factors.
Ling Yun: Expectation is an expectation of future uncertainty, and it guides enterprises to make economic decisions. In recent years, companies that have actively expanded the market, relying on innovation -driven, actively adjusting structures, and global management have still developed steadily and confident, but some companies have the problems of insufficient development confidence.
From the recent perspective, it is mainly affected by the epidemic, the supply chain is blocked and the production is difficult to keep production; the market expansion is blocked, the insured shares are difficult; the after -sales service is not smooth, it is difficult to protect customers; Difficult survival; decreased policies, difficult to stabilize expectations. In the recent "six difficulties", the core is the flow of people and logistics in the early days. Once the epidemic is relieved, the flow of people and logistics will flow up, and the difficulties will gradually resolve the recent difficulties.
However, from the long -term perspective, some companies may be affected by the complex international environment, and more companies are constrained by scientific and technological innovation bottlenecks.
To solve these problems, we must first stabilize the market entities to stabilize two expectations: First, policy stability expectations, policies and regulations must be relatively stable. It can be determined and can be grasped; the second is the market -oriented configuration of the element. It is necessary to allow entrepreneurs to have the bottom. Under what conditions to meet, there is no need to worry about the supply of factors such as land and energy. Especially for innovative small and medium -sized enterprises with large and large faces, this is a new growth pole of economic development. It is necessary to protect the enthusiasm of development.
At the same time, it should be noted that many of the current burden reduction policies are staged and very positive, but it is also necessary to take into account the long -term and stability of the burden reduction policy, so that the enterprise can make psychological preparations, and avoid suddenly "withdraw the ladder to withdraw the ladder. "".
Secondly, encourage enterprises to increase investment in scientific and technological innovation, make good use of foot technology support policies, and rely on scientific and technological progress to lead development. We found that even if affected by the epidemic, competitive companies will still not be "decoupled" and firmly grow on the global industrial chain.
Finally, the government should use high -quality services to solve problems for the enterprise and form a long -term mechanism to solve problems.
Reporter: In the face of downward pressure, how can Zhejiang realize the same frequency of industry and excellent structure?
Ling Yun: At present, the epidemic has a greater impact on the economy, and the stability of the economy is the most fundamental. It is necessary to use the policies to eliminate the development of corporate development with caution. In the direction of the development of the times, and adjust the industrial structure around innovation -driven optimization.
We will unswervingly promote green development and continue to eliminate high -energy -consuming and high -polluting enterprises; accelerate digital transformation, use digital intelligent facilities and equipment to increase labor productivity; firmly grasp the direction of intelligentization as the main direction of intelligence, and promote the high -quality development of the manufacturing industry.
In the adjustment of industrial structure, the government must respect both the inner law of the market and the regulation of production factors. Do not stand by and "self -affection", scientifically and reasonable use of policy leverage, and accurately guarantee.
Reporter: How do you think of Zhejiang's manufacturing industry to Southeast Asia?
Ling Yun: At present, Zhejiang's manufacturing industry has no outflow trend at both ends of R & D and brand. For example, the foundry giant Shenzhou Group, in China, the production and development, design, raw materials, equipment and high -end product production links are located in Zhejiang, and only the general processing link is transferred. Therefore, this phenomenon can be understood as a reasonable division of labor layout in the background of globalization, and there is no need to overly worry. Of course, localities must still grasp the dynamic balance of the industrial echelon. If the speed of technological innovation is not enough to support development and employment, it is necessary to avoid excessive and excessive transfer of industries.
Many people are worried that industrial transfer in processing and other links may bring "employment vacuum". In my opinion, while traditional industries are replaced by machines and optimized production, the number of employees they absorb must be decreasing. In the end Driven to open up new industries, create new positions, optimize and adjust employment structure, and realize full employment and high -quality employment.
In terms of optimizing the stock, Zhejiang should continue to promote digital and intelligent development to reduce the impact of labor cost on corporate competitiveness; continue to exert the advantages of Zhejiang's block economy, change production methods and manufacturing models; Core links and core technologies are firmly in their hands.
In terms of big increase, we must strengthen the chain and replenish the chain, and "recruit big and strong" around the industrial chain to form an industrial cluster that cannot be moved away and competitive. There are more and more new "little giants" enterprises and world -class companies.
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