Central bank survey: 51.5%of entrepreneurs in the second quarter believe that the macro economy is "normal"

China Economic Net, Beijing, June 29. According to the official website of the central bank, the central bank recently released an investigation report of an entrepreneur questionnaire in the second quarter of 2022. The report showed that 51.5%of the entrepreneurs in the second quarter believed that the macro economy was "normal".

Investigation and Analysis

Entrepreneur questionnaire survey report in the second quarter of 2022

The results of the questionnaire survey of the People's Bank of China entrepreneurs in the second quarter of 2022 showed:

one

Entrepreneur macroeconomic heat index

Entrepreneur's macroeconomic heat index was 26.5%, a decrease of 9.2 percentage points from the previous season, a decrease of 15.5 percentage points from the same period last year. Among them, 47.7%of entrepreneurs believed that the macro economy was "cold", 51.5%considered "normal", and 0.8%considered "hot".

two

Product sales price experience index and raw material purchase price experience index

The product sales price experience index was 52.4%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points from the previous season, a decrease of 9.7 percentage points from the same period last year. Among them, 16.9%of entrepreneurs believed that the sales price of product sales this season was "increased" from the previous quarter, 71.0%considered "flat", and 12.2%considered "decline".

The purchase price index of raw materials was 68.1%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points from the previous quarter, a decrease of 9.5 percentage points from the same period last year. Among them, 40.7%of entrepreneurs believe that the purchase price of raw materials this season has "increased" from the previous quarter, 54.8%believe that it is "flat", and 4.5%think "decline".

three

Export order index and domestic order index

The export order index was 41.0%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous quarter, a decrease of 9.6 percentage points from the same period last year. Among them, 16.6%of entrepreneurs believed that the export orders this season were "increased" compared with the previous quarter, 48.9%considered "flat", and 34.6%considered "decrease".

The domestic order index was 40.9%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from the previous season, a decrease of 15.1 percentage points from the same period last year. Among them, 16.0%of entrepreneurs believed that domestic orders this season "increased" from the previous quarter, 49.8%considered "flat", and 34.2%considered "decrease".

Four

Fund turnover index and sales payment index

The funds weekly transfer index was 57.7%, a decrease of 2.3 percentage points from the previous season, and a decrease of 2.6 percentage points from the same period last year. Among them, 29.9%of entrepreneurs believed that the turnover of funds this season was "good", 55.6%considered "general", and 14.5%considered "difficulty".

The sales payment index was 59.9%, a decrease of 3.5 percentage points from the previous season, a 4.5 percentage point decreased by 4.5 percentage points from the same period last year. Among them, 30.4%of entrepreneurs believed that the return on sale in this quarter was "good", 58.9%considered "general", and 10.7%considered "difficulty".

five

Business prosperity index and profit index

The business prosperity index was 48.7%, a decrease of 4.7 percentage points from the previous season, a decrease of 11.0 percentage points from the same period last year. Among them, 17.0%of entrepreneurs believed that the business status of the enterprise this season was "better", 63.4%considered "general", and 19.7%considered "worse".

The profit index was 51.2%, an increase of 2.0 percentage points from the previous quarter, a decrease of 9.5 percentage points from the same period last year. Among them, 31.6%of entrepreneurs believed that it was "increasing or reducing losses" compared with the previous quarter, 39.3%believed that "profit and loss remain unchanged", and 29.1%believe that "increasing losses or reducing profits".

Preparation description:

Entrepreneur questionnaire survey is a quarterly survey established by the People's Bank of China since 1992. The survey target is more than 5,000 industrial enterprises nationwide (except Tibet). The survey content mainly includes seven aspects of the company's overall production status, production factors, market demand status, capital status, cost and benefits, investment status and other aspects. Essence The index in the entrepreneur questionnaire survey report is calculated by the diffusion index method, that is, the proportion of each option is calculated, and the weight of each option is given different weights (given the "good/growth" option weight of 1, and the "general/constant" option is given to the "general/constant" options The weight is 0.5, and the weight of the "difference/decrease" option is 0), and the proportion of each item is multiplied by the corresponding weight, and the final index is added. The range of all indexes is between 0 and 100%. The index is more than 50%, reflecting that the indicator is in a good or expanded state; below 50%, reflecting the indicator is in a different time or contraction state.

The main index calculation method is briefly introduced as follows:

1. Macroeconomic Hotel Index: Reflects the diffusion index of entrepreneurs' judgment of the macroeconomic situation this season. The calculation method of this index is to calculate the proportion of "hot" and "normal" in the economic situation of the quarterly economic situation in all surveyed enterprises, and then give me the weight of 1 and 0.5 respectively.

2. Product sales price experience index: reflect the diffusion index of entrepreneurs' judgment of product sales price this season. The calculation method of this index is to calculate the proportion of product sales prices from the "level" and "flat" compared with the previous quarter, and then give the weights and obtaining weights after 1 and 0.5, respectively.

3. Surgery of the purchase price index of raw materials: reflect the diffusion index of entrepreneurs' judgment of the purchase price of raw materials this season. The calculation method of this index is to calculate the proportion of the purchase price of raw materials this season from the "level" and "flat" proportion of the purchase price of the raw materials this season from the previous quarter, respectively, and then gives the weight 1 and 0.5 after the weight of 1 and 0.5, respectively.

4. Domestic order index: reflect the diffusion index of entrepreneurs' domestic ordering levels of the company this season. The calculation method of this index is to calculate the proportion of domestic products this season's domestic product orders compared to the previous quarter, respectively, and then give up the weight of 1 and 0.5, respectively. 5. Export order index: reflect the diffusion index judged by entrepreneurs' orders for export product orders this quarter. The calculation method of this index is to distinguish between enterprises with export business among all the investigations, and then among all export companies, calculate the proportion of export orders this season compared to the "increase" and "flat" of the previous quarter. Finally, after 1 and 0.5, the weights are given and obtained.

6. Fund Week Transfer Index: Reflects the diffusion index judged by entrepreneurs' funds this season. The calculation method of the index is to calculate the proportion of "good" and "general" of the company's capital turnover in this quarter, and then give the weights and obtains after 1 and 0.5, respectively.

7. Rewarding index of sales: It reflects the diffusion index of entrepreneurs who believe that the company's sales money return situation this season. The calculation method of this index is to calculate the proportion of entrepreneurs in this season that entrepreneurs believe that the sales of the sales money will be "good" and "general" this season, and then give up and obtain the weight of 1 and 0.5 respectively.

8. Business Establishment Index: Reflects the index of entrepreneurs' overall operating status of the company this season. The calculation method of the index is to calculate the proportion of the overall business status of the enterprise in all investigations, and then give the proportion of "better" and "general", and then give the weight 1 and 0.5 respectively.

9. Profit Index: Reflect that entrepreneurs believe that the proliferation index of profit from the previous season is compared with the previous season. The calculation method of this index is to calculate the proportion of "increased profit/loss" and "unchanged profit and loss" of the company's profit in this quarter, and then give the weights and obtained after 1 and 0.5, respectively.

- END -