Ten Questions and Ten Answers 丨 Dialogue of the current economic situation 5: How can an order diversion and abortion capacity transfer foreign trade foreign capital?

Zhejiang News Client reporter worshiped Zhe Ye

The current economic situation is extremely complicated, and the "triple pressure" superimposed "two major variables", unstable and uncertain factors significantly increased. How to think about the current economic trend, how to open the stuck card, how to help market entities more powerful ... In response to some hot issues in the current economic operation, reporters and experts and scholars who have long been concerned about Zhejiang economy for a long time have been discussed.

Order diversion, production capacity transfer, foreign investment attracting difficulties ... Affected by the epidemic, since this year, it has faced heavy difficulties in opening up.

In this context, Zhejiang, the open province, has become the focus: to the outside world, Zhejiang's contribution to the growth and export growth of imports and exports in the country has always been high; internally, Zhejiang's foreign trade dependence is high, and the effect of foreign investment in economic development is obvious. It can be said that the situation of opening up to the outside world is directly related to the development prospects of Zhejiang's economy, and it is even more important.

How to break the problem continuously? How can foreign trade and foreign capital be stabilized? According to Lu Jing, a reporter from Zhejiang News Client interviewed by the Zhejiang International Economic and Trade Society and a professor of economics at Zhejiang University.

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Reporter: The current competition for foreign trade orders has intensified. What will happen in the future?

Lu Jing: The problem of order diversion should be seen from three aspects. First, the order transfer trend of traditional foreign trade enterprises has always existed. At present, the average salary of Chinese workers is several times in Southeast Asian countries, and enterprises will naturally move some labor -intensive links to countries with lower labor costs. The return phenomenon that appeared last year was because the epidemic situation in my country was relatively stable at that time. Orders flowing to Southeast Asia returned to China in order to deliver on time. This return was not normal.

Second, a considerable part of the transfer order is still in the hands of Zhejiang enterprises. In the past few years, many Zhejiang enterprises have deployed factories in Southeast Asia. The transfer of these orders has left Zhejiang statistically, but in fact it is still in the hands of Zhejiang enterprises.

Third, under the epidemic, high -value -added epidemic prevention materials and medical supplies orders have risen significantly, but this trend is falling as overseas demand declines.

My attitude is more optimistic about the future development of Zhejiang's outward economy. There are three reasons:

During this time, the import and export of private enterprises in Zhejiang Foreign Trade Data increased very brightly. From January to May this year, the import and export of private enterprises in the province increased by 21.6%year -on -year, accounting for more than 70%of the province's total foreign trade value. This shows that the response of private enterprises is rapid, the transformation is fast and fast, and the potential is endless.

The construction of oil and gas port provides a solid guarantee for the stability of Zhejiang import trade. We have Ningbo Zhoushan Port, one of the three major oil and gas ports in the country. We are developing the entire oil and gas industrial chain and building a global oil trade center. The storage and freight processing and trade volume of oil and gas has steadily improved. Therefore, no matter how the price of commodities in the international market fluctuate, it will not affect the import data of the commodity commodity in Zhejiang.

The effectiveness of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP) is an important benefit of this year. In the second half of the year, it will offset the trend of order transfer to a certain extent. At present, RCEP has taken effect in 12 countries, and more and more companies will understand and choose RCEP in the future. For example, this year's automotive parts have a significant growth rate on daily imports, which is the benefits of tax cuts brought by RCEP.

In short, Zhejiang is a large foreign trade province and is also actively developing a new format of foreign trade. In the future, the dependence of foreign trade and foreign trade dependence will still be stable.

Reporter: How should enterprises and the government respond?

Lu Jing: For enterprises, it is a long -term and important project to enhance the competitiveness of the brand. Products with low technical content have been replaced, the industrial chain is low, and the order loss is faster. Only industries that form a good industrial chain can survive. This requires enterprises to focus on building brands, enhance the level of technical level and industrial chain stickiness, and obtain stable foreign trade growth through exports of high value -added products.

In addition, it is recommended to seize the opportunity of RCEP. As RCEP takes effect, two -way investment in China and Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, Australia, New Zealand and other places will be more friendly. Our industrial chain can take the opportunity to extend Zhejiang and build a dual cycle within the scope of RCEP 15 member states. For example, enterprises can import fabrics from Japan and South Korea, after processing to a certain degree of Zhejiang, put the last link to Vietnam, Indonesia and other places, and exported to Europe and the United States. , Get more tariff -free discounts.

For local governments, on the one hand, instead of passively responding, it is better to take the initiative to "go to sea". Since it is impossible to block the laws of economic and unstoppable the transfer of labor -intensive links, it is better to change the idea to accelerate the construction of overseas industrial parks and overseas front positions, and orderly guiding small and medium -sized enterprises to "go out". Guide them to stabilize the production link of the high value of the industrial chain in Zhejiang.

This method can achieve common growth of trade and investment, prevent a single enterprise's foreign investment "investment alternative trade", causing local governments to lose leading enterprises; Follow the "Belt and Road" national strategy for production capacity cooperation.

On the other hand, export -oriented enterprises are an important starting point for employment. Local governments need to serve companies that have been left. They will make significant contributions to local employment and economic growth.

Reporter: Where is the new increase of Zhejiang investment promotion?

Lu Jing: Zhejiang's structure of attracting foreign capital is optimizing. Singapore, Japan, South Korea, and the United States are ranked in the top of Zhejiang. This year, we must focus on the flow of funds in Northeast Asia. Investment from Japan and South Korea will increase due to the good profit of the three major profits: "Special Management Measures for Foreign Investment Admission (negative list) (2021)" "Special Management Measures for Foreign Investment Access for Foreign Investment Zone of the Free Trade Zone (negative list) (2021 edition ) ", And the second half of the" Hainan Free Trade Port Cross -border Service Trade Special Management Measures (Negative List) (2021) "may be promoted to the Zhejiang Pilot Zone. These will reduce the restrictions on foreign investment and encourage Japanese and Korean companies to come to domestic investment. In addition, service trade may become an important area for future foreign direct investment inflows, and may even replace manufacturing and become the focus of investment promotion. From January to May of this year, a large part of China -China attracting investment is concentrated in high -tech industries, and the service category is surpassing the manufacturing category: the high -tech manufacturing industry increased by 32.9%year -on -year, and the high -tech service industry increased by 45.4 year -on -year to 45.4 %.

Compared with the manufacturing industry, the service industry's exit of the service industry is less limited by time, space and government administration. I also learned that Zhejiang is planning to develop the development of service trade innovation, such as the open cooperation of many new service industries such as cultural tourism and maritime affairs. Instead of simply staring at the manufacturing industry to introduce foreign capital, it is better to plan in advance and encourage open platforms such as free trade pilot zones and development zones to accurately attract service trade projects.

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