In the third quarter, the vacancy rate of Beijing office building was 16.4%.

Author:Securities daily Time:2022.09.28

Reporter Wang Lixin

"In the third quarter, the Beijing office building market has recovered as scheduled, but the market demand momentum is still yet to be improved." On September 27, Yan Districthai, managing director of Gaoli International North China, said that in the third quarter of 2022, Beijing Grade A office building The market net absorption was restored to -6400 square meters, and the demand strength improved significantly compared with the second quarter.

According to Gaoli International's monitoring data, as of September 27, the vacancy rate of Beijing's entire market in the third quarter remained at a level of 16.4%, and the net effective rent stabilized at 336.8 yuan per square meter per month. In terms of core sub -markets, in addition to the Dongcheng Business District, which benefits from the transactions of the community and the high cost -effective Lize Business District, the vacancy rate of other sub -market has increased to varying degrees. In terms of the industrial park market, due to the impact of corporate refund, the net suction volume was -49,000 square meters, the vacancy rate was 15.5%, and the net effective rent was 128.3 yuan per square meter per month.

"Since 2022, the Beijing office market has entered an exfoliating cycle, which is mainly due to the gradual decrease in Internet demand. This impact will last until 2023." Lu Ming, director of the research department of Gaoli International North China "The reporter said that the market will determine the trend by demand. From the current point of view, it is expected to recover in the fourth quarter, but it cannot see a strong power recovery.

According to Gauli International forecast, in the next year, the Grade A office market in northern Beijing will have nearly 400,000 square meters of new projects entering the market. In 1 million square meters, the area integration of Internet header companies is expected to continue to affect Wangjing, Zhongguancun and Shanghai -Local Market in 2023.

"The Beijing market has entered a 3rd to 5 -year exfoliating cycle, and the demand side strength will determine the future market trend." Yan District Haixiang "Securities Daily" and other media said that under the common role of various factors, under the common role of various factors, in the new cycle New industrial changes have emerged in the office building market. The Internet technology industry has entered a period of transition. The demand adjustment of the main tenant industry will greatly increase the uncertainty of the future market.

From the perspective of Yan District, in the short term, "cost reduction and efficiency" is the main theme of the demand side. The transformation of Internet companies is only a microcosm of the adjustment of the overall industrial structure. When the head enterprises begin to adjust, and the subsequent companies' vital army is not enough to support the development of the economy and industry, it will form a vacancies in the development of the industry. During the period when certainty gradually rises.

On the one hand, the increase in office buildings, on the other hand, the reduction of Internet leasing demand. Facing the uncertain market, the value of real estate assets began to decrease. At this time, some buyers will pay attention to some large real estate transactions, including office buildings and other real estate assets with appreciation space, such as industrial parks.

"In addition to reading office buildings in Beijing, more investors also care about emerging industrial bases such as biopharmaceutical bases. Such asset transactions are currently conducive to improving market liquidity." Said Yan Han, deputy director of Gaoli International North China Capital Market and Investment Services, said. At the same time, Lu Ming also revealed to the "Securities Daily" reporter that in the past two years, real estate assets such as logistics industry parks have been more active, and investors have always paid great attention to such targets.

According to Gaoli International Monitoring data, in the third quarter of 2022, there were 7 large real estate transactions in Beijing, with a total transaction amount of 4.1 billion yuan. Among them, the type of self -use types accounted for a relatively large type of transactions, involving about 1.4 billion yuan in funds. Recently, the market's main active buyer's transaction purpose has matched the purpose of the transaction.

"Having stable cash flow and office and business park projects that have enhanced space continue to attract investors." Yan Han said that from the perspective of the type of transaction, the transaction amount of office buildings was available, accounting for about 83%; of which, business, business There are two transactions in the park office, accounting for about 32%. Overall, transactions completed by domestic buyers this quarter accounted for relatively high total transactions.

Regarding the development trend of the large real estate trading market next, Yan Han said: "The self -use needs of state -owned enterprises, financial institutions and new economic enterprises are still strong, and the Beijing Real Estate's Dazheng trading market is not as popular." From the perspective of long -term development, Yan District Hai believes that maintaining a cautious and optimistic attitude.

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