The stock price rose exceeded 200%!A case of Davis double -click -Daida Research Selection

Source: WeChat public account "Daida" (WeChat public account ID: daoda1997)

Lao Tie, good weekend, I am Qian Yanjun.

Since it was the Mid -Autumn Festival yesterday, the live broadcast section of "Report on Saturday" also temporarily stopped. Next Saturday's live broadcast section will continue. Welcome to the old iron!

The old iron who are familiar with Qian Yanjun should know my style, and Qian Yanjun shared the content of dry goods. During the long holiday, Qian Yanjun would not talk about the research report, and the topic of easy but also valuable themes. By the way, some knowledge points mentioned in the first two live broadcasts.

Review of the first two live broadcasts

The core knowledge point of the first live broadcast is Davis double -click. The core knowledge point of the second phase of the live broadcast is solid basic theory (internal value) and the theory of the air tower (psychological value).

Davis double -click to tell us that the stock price (P) = P / E ratio (PE) × profit per share (EPS), which is a universal formula. As long as you have the level of primary school mathematics, you can completely derive it.

The price -earnings ratio is a valuation index, which is equivalent to the psychological value in the theory of the air. Each profit is a performance indicator, which is equivalent to the inherent value in a solid basic theory. Davis double -click, which can also be understood as double -click to internal value and psychological value.

Internal value is determined by the company's fundamentals, and psychological value is determined by most participants in the market. The company's fundamentals are relatively clear, but we cannot predict how the ideas of other participants in the market will change, so the certainty of internal value is much higher than psychological value.

Qian Yanjun's investment philosophy has always been briefly summarized into five words: "three good+catalysts", which is mainly based on solid basic theory (find investment opportunities that meet the "good industry, good company, good price"), use the theoretical of the empty pavilion theory, Supplemented (some catalysts may appear in the future, so that more people in the market recognize the investment value of an industry or company).

Here we still need to remind you of the old iron again. The changes in psychological value have great uncertainty, otherwise it will not be called the theory of the air tower. If you pay too much attention to changes in psychological value, it is very easy to turn investment into another form of gambling (or speculative).

Davis Double -click on the seaside section

In the live broadcast, the integrated die -casting industry chain mentioned by Qian Yanjun is a typical case of Davis double -click. Today, Qian Yanjun shared another case of Davis's double -click -the seal cable industry. Of course, like the integrated die -casting industry chain, the valuation of the seaside sector is no longer cheap, so from the perspective of internal value, the investment value is not obvious.

The leader of the seaside industry is Zhongtian Technology. Zhongtian Technology's stock price rose from less than 8 yuan in July 2021 to the highest 27.5 yuan (previous right) in July 2022. In just one year, the stock price rose exceeded 2 more than 2 Times! (Zhongtian Technology mentioned in this article is only its past performance and trend, not recommended stocks. Based on this, the risk is on the market.)

▲ Zhongtian Technology Month K -line diagram

Why is Zhongtian Technology's stock price trend so strong? Let's look at the industry in Tianshi Technology, the seal cable industry. In view of the limited space, Qian Yanjun directly quoted the research report of Ping An Securities. In the research report in January this year, Ping An Securities proposed that the competition pattern of offshore winds and cables is clear, and future demand is expected to grow rapidly, which is a high -quality growth track.

In the next few years, the high -speed growth of the sea cable industry is very strong. From the perspective of growth, it will be a good industry. As the boss in the sea cable industry, in the case of high -speed growth in the industry, Zhongtian Technology is expected to benefit fully, so it can be regarded as a good company. In August 2021, Zhongtian Technology's market ratio was only about 1 times. Considering the future growth prospect of the seal cable business, this price is a good price.

From the perspective of internal value, in July 2021, Zhongtian Technology fully meets our "three good" standards, and its future performance is expected to increase significantly. From the perspective of psychological value, the sea cable industry is directly related to the popular wind power sector, and it can be expected that its psychological value will also rise. Based on the above analysis, Qian Yanjun believes that the seaside sector and leading company are expected to welcome Davis in the future.

These judgments require evidence to verify. Zhongtian Technology's half -annual report in 2022 shows that the company achieved net profit of 1.824 billion yuan, an increase of 628.62%year -on -year! The high growth of performance is the strongest driving force for stock prices. Of course, the high growth of performance usually cannot last for a long time, which requires the old iron to pay attention.

Such a resume can make us understand why the seaside sector has such a strong performance. It's not difficult at all, right? Investment is a simple matter, but why are most people still lose money? Because most people do not figure out what investment is, I always want to make fast money and make speculation as investment.

Investment requires more in -depth research on the industry or company. Collecting and analyzing related materials is also a time -consuming thing.

Qian Yanjun believes that research and creating value. Qian Yanjun also hopes that his work can help everyone save some time on the one hand; on the other hand, it can help everyone to clarify the idea of ​​investment and not mistake the speculation as investment.

Well, I will talk to you today, I wish you all the time!

(Qian Yanjun)

(The content of this article is for reference only, and is not used as a basis for investment. Based on this, the risk is self -risk.) Daily Economic News

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