What is the supply of vegetables at high temperature

This summer, the south encountered the longest duration, the most influential, and the largest intensity of high temperature and rainy weather since 1961. The rapid development of drought, superimposed high temperature heat damage, which caused a lot of threats to agricultural production. What is the production and price of aquatic products?

Vegetable: Affects limited prices slightly rising

"In August, the national vegetable prices rose slightly, and it is expected to continue to rise sharply in the later period. Vegetable supply in autumn and winter is guaranteed." Said Zhang Jing, chief analyst of the vegetable market analysis and early warning team of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Ministry.

In August, the average monthly wholesale price of vegetables across the country was 4.77 yuan per kilogram, up 3.9%month -on -month, 4.1%year -on -year, and 7.4%higher than the same period in the past three years. In terms of varieties, the price of 18 kinds of vegetables rose and 10 kinds of declines. Among them, lettuce, leek, cucumber, green onion and mushrooms rose 23.0%, 15.8%, 14.9%, 14.7%, and 12.0%month -on -month, and lotus root and green peppers fell 14.6%and 13.5%respectively.

Since mid -to -late June, the south has continued to have high temperature and heat damage, high temperatures in the north, and the price of national vegetables has risen from decline and fluctuating frequently. In July and August, the price of vegetables was significantly higher than the same period of the year. Specifically, the price of vegetables fell first and then rose in August, and the price rose in the late ending. According to data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Ministry, the average price of 28 kinds of vegetables monitored by the key monitoring was 4.58 yuan, 4.57 yuan, 4.71 yuan and 4.93 yuan, respectively. 3.1%and 4.7%. In the early stage, vegetables were expanded in the cold area in the north, and the price was listed in summer. The price was expelled. After the high temperature weather in the south continued, the supply of real estate vegetables was tight. From the second half of August, the national vegetable prices rose again.

Di Qing, a business analyst at the Institute of Vegetable Flowers and Flowers of Chongqing Academy of Agricultural Sciences, told reporters that in August, Chongqing's vegetable wholesale and retail prices increased by less than 10%month -on -month, but the price of vegetables in the place of production increased by more than 20%month -on -month. The main problem facing local vegetable production is to reduce the production of field vegetables and the lack of seedlings, which may have a greater impact on the next quarter.

Wang Duanhua, a researcher at the Institute of Vegetables of the Institute of Vegetables of the Hunan Academy of Agricultural Sciences, said that the continuous high temperature and drought have a certain impact on Hunan's vegetable production: First, the current summer and autumn stubble season, high temperature influence early, there are many early -term listing amounts, and the short -term listing amount is tight; The variety of vegetable varieties cultivated on the long -term cycle of deleutes, ginger, eggplant, etc. have a greater impact on the variety of vegetables, and it is expected to reduce production to a certain degree. Third, it will increase the cost management costs of the concentrated seedlings of autumn and winter vegetables. Therefore, the price of vegetables in autumn and winter may have something raise.

"The country's vegetable area in the field was 1.04 billion mu, a year -on -year increase of 3.85 million mu; the output reached 29.59 million tons, an increase of 1.42 million tons. Especially this year's cold vegetables have expanded. Some vegetables will be delayed, which is also an effective supplement to the national market in the later period. Summer high temperature drought in autumn and winter vegetables will be delayed, but the weather has begun to cool down, and western Sichuan and other places have ushered in precipitation. "Zhang Jing said , Settles to enter the period of production and variety in various places. First, we must pay attention to preventing the rapid rotation of droughts and floods, and pay close attention to the weather changes; second, we must do a good job of field management in the seedling period of autumn and winter stubble vegetable seedlings; Vegetables and enhanced buds of sprouts. In fact, the overall vegetable area and output this year have increased year -on -year. The foundation of stable production is better. It is expected that the supply of vegetables in the autumn and winter and spring is guaranteed, and the prices will not continue to rise sharply.

Guatuo: The price of sufficient supply has decreased

"This summer is extremely high -temperature frequency, wide range, and long duration, which not only causes high temperature and heat damage to varying degrees of fruit production, but also increases the loss and cost of fruit flow." Zhao Junyi said.

Kiwi production is greatly affected by high temperature and drought. Shaanxi is the largest province in kiwi cultivation in the country. From June to mid -August, the main production area of ​​Guanzhong and southern Shaanxi kiwi in Shaanxi encountered severe high temperature burning disasters. Some orchards had dry leaves and sunburned fruit. Sichuan kiwi planting scale is second only to Shaanxi. It enters the red heart kiwi harvesting period in mid -to -late August. Extremely high temperatures lead to some parks with severe sunburning.

In addition, Hunan, Hubei, Sichuan and other places are at the peak of the grape listing. Due to the continuous high temperature and drought, the grape burns are severe, and even the self -drying of the trees occur, which significantly affects yield and fruit quality.

Although high temperature and drought have affected the production of some fruits, the national fruit market is currently sufficient, the categories are diverse, and the price is still in the seasonal decline channel.

In August, the average wholesale price of the six kinds of fruits of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs was 6.83 yuan per kilogram. Among them, the prices of Yali and Jufeng grapes were 6.33 yuan/kg, 11.63 yuan/kg, respectively, down 7.32%and 6.96%, respectively.

Zhao Junzheng told reporters that citrus and apples are the two largest types of fruits in my country, and they are also important varieties of fruits for fruits this winter. High temperature and dry weather has a small impact on Apple. The continuous high temperature in August mainly affects the coloring of precocious apples, leading to a decline in the fruit rate; there is no significant impact on the output and varieties of late -maturing varieties.

In contrast, the impact of high temperature on citrus production is greater. Continuous and high temperature will cause citrus fruits to expand, resulting in small and precocious fruit; high temperature and strong sunlight will cause the fruit to sunburn, affect the commodity rate and the fruit rate of consequences, and the fruit rate. Sudden rainfall after continuous high temperature can cause citrus cracks. New fruit sunburn in the main citrus production areas such as Meishan, Pujiang, and Ehime in Sichuan, and Ehime are obvious. The fruit is obviously less than in previous years, and it is expected to reduce production to a certain extent. Jiangxi citrus producing areas generally have moderate to severe high temperature heat hazards of severe levels. Disaster conditions such as sunburning, abnormal fruit drops, and leaves burns are heavier than in previous years. It is also serious, the incidence of sunburning fruit is high, and it is expected to be significantly reduced. However, in recent years, the area and total output of citrus parks in my country have increased significantly. The reduction of production caused by high temperatures is expected to not cause supply shortages, and its impact on the market is relatively limited. It is expected that in the later period, as autumn turns cool, the supply of apples, pears, citrus, kiwi, jujube, persimmon, pomegranate and other autumn fruits will gradually increase.

Aquatic products: Overall controllable local control

"High temperature and dry weather has a greater impact on aquaculture." Zhang Jingyi, an associate researcher at the Grand Freshwater Fish Industry Economic Research Office of the Rural Economic Research Center of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, told reporters.

High temperature drought this summer has caused certain losses to southern aquaculture. Sichuan, Chongqing, Hubei, Hunan, Jiangxi, Anhui and other provinces with heavy conditions are also the main products of southern aquaculture in Southern my country. Ponds, factories, farmers, fish and fish farming, and comprehensive breeding of rice and fishing are all affected by varying degrees. It is estimated that the output loss of the affected farmers accounts for about 20%to 30%of the monthly output.

A farmer in Chongqing told reporters that in the summer, the aquaculture is growing for a long time and weight gain period. Due to the continuous high temperature, the water level of pond with a deep water depth of about 2 meters dropped by about 50 cm, and some ponds that lacked water supply were even completely dried up. The continuous high temperature delaying growth rate has increased the incidence of aquatic products. The mortality rate of pond pond in normal years is only 1%. In August this year, it was estimated to reach 2%due to high temperature heat damage mortality. In order to cope with high temperature drought, oxygen, water change, electricity, epidemic prevention and other expenses have increased significantly. Human operations at high temperatures are also more difficult, and cost pressure is much larger than usual.

"System monitoring households in the provinces of the Yangtze River Basin, the average artificial, hydropower, epidemic prevention, and feed costs in July and August increased by 9.5%, 54.4%, 38.6%, and 47.6%from the same period last year. And transportation costs, etc., have adversely affected the outlet and circulation of fresh aquatic products, and the enthusiasm of farmers from farmers is generally not high. Some farmers are forced to leave the pond in advance in the severe drought area, but due to the small product specifications, the sales situation is also due to the product specifications, and the sales situation is also due Not ideal. "Zhang Jingyi said.

Relevant experts point out that although the supply surface of this round of breeding cycles is tightened as a whole, high temperature weather is not conducive to live product transportation, and cross -regional exports have decreased, but the impact is staged and regional. It is estimated that Chongqing, Hubei, Hunan, Jiangxi and other places have less than 1%of the total output of aquatic products due to disaster damage, and the supply of breeding in Northeast, North China, and South China is relatively stable. Flat. In short, aquatic products may postpone the time of listing, resulting in insufficient regional supply, but the disaster situation on the country's impact on the country is generally controllable, and the supply is still guaranteed.

According to data from China Agricultural Information Network, as of August 25, the average daily transaction volume of the 68 wholesale markets monitored by the monitoring market was 4679.72 tons, a decrease of 4.6%from July and a decrease of 14.3%from August last year. It rose 0.1%in July, down 15.9%from August last year. The supply of aquatic products in the country has decreased compared with the previous month, and the prices were basically smooth and rising steadily. Under the support of lack of regional supply, extension of the breeding cycle, and rising costs, the market price of the aquatic products in the later period has a certain increase in power, especially large -scale products with less sources of fish, crayfish, and hairy crabs, and prices may rise significantly. In summary, the prices of aquatic products in the later period will show a stable and upward trend.

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