In 2021, the population of the 60 cities flowed in, and the population flow in Wuhan and Chengdu ranked among the best

Jimu Journalist Leihara

The flow of population not only brings changes in human resources, but also affects the rise and fall of the city. On August 30, the Zhuge Housing Data Research Center further explored the relationship between population flow and the real estate market from the characteristics of the regional characteristics of population flow. Data show that the population presents the characteristics of gathering towards the southeast coast. A large number of population still chooses to enter the hot circle layer of the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta. At the same time, the provincial capitals of the central and western regions have gradually emerged, becoming an important population. The inflow volume is among the best.

Last year, the net inflow of Wuhan population exceeded 1 million people

The flow contains vitality, and the flow also creates value. In the post -epidemic era, the migration of the population brought some new characteristics. According to the 100 key cities monitored by Zhuge Housing Data Research Center, there are 60 cities in cities with net population in 2021, and 40 cities with net population outflows.

From the perspective of population flow into the city rankings, all TOP20 cities are all second -tier cities, distributed in many areas such as the Yangtze River Delta, Central, Southwest, and other areas. Among them, Wuhan jumped to the first place with quite obvious advantages. In 2021, the net inflow of population exceeded 1 million People, this is mainly because during the epidemic period, a large number of migrant workers cannot return to Han, and even some people choose to return to their hometowns or other cities to enter 2021. As the new crown epidemic is gradually controlled, a large number of people return to Wuhan, which makes the population inflow volume. Surgery; Chengdu and Hangzhou population inflows ranked second and third, and the magnitude of the number was more than 200,000. As a core of Chengdu -Chongqing Economic Circle, Chengdu enjoys national planning dividends, coupled with its leisure and livable temperament and the business environment of the shoulder coastal cities. In recent years, it has attracted tens of thousands of young people to pour in. second.

Hangzhou is an old -fashioned core city of the Yangtze River Delta. It has a first -class supporting environment and high -quality employment opportunities. In recent years, several rounds of talent attracting policies have been introduced. The population has stabilized. In recent years, it has reached the top. As a provincial capital city in Hunan Province, Changsha has a population flow of 190,000, ranking fourth, followed by Nanchang City. This is really surprising. In the figure, Nanchang first released a zero threshold in the introduction of talent introduction, and began to introduce a large number of new industries, such as VR, power battery industry, etc., consolidating and improving its exposure as the provincial capital city, attracting a large number of provinces and other provinces. City personnel stay in Gan. In addition, the Yangtze River Delta cities such as Ningbo, Suzhou, Nanjing, and Changzhou are still the key cities with the favor of the population, and the net inflow of population is more than 70,000. Zhengzhou, as the provincial capital of Henan Province, the largest household registration province, and the Central Plains Historical and Cultural Town, in the process of accelerating urbanization in Henan, a large number of people flowed into Zhengzhou.

From the perspective of population outflowing cities, the Bohai Rim cities occupy 15 seats, and the third and fourth -tier cities in the central region are also a heavy town for the loss of population. The loss of Baoding's population is far ahead. Baoding is a historic and cultural city in Hebei Province. The cultural heritage is strong. However, lack of comprehensive supporting facilities and high -quality industries. After graduation, a large number of graduates choose to leave Baoding and go to the neighboring Beijing development. Secondly, the net outflow of the Tianjin population was 156,000, ranking second in the population outflow of the hundred cities. The net outflow of Harbin in 2021 exceeds 100,000. Due to the imbalance of the industrial structure and the restriction of the natural environment, a large number of young people go out to work in other provinces and municipalities every year. They are all important cities in Hebei Province. They are also as large -scale provinces, but for a long time, the industrial structure has been unreasonable, the proportion of the three industries is low, the lack of economic growth momentum, and the population is difficult to retain.

The population is gradually escaping from first -tier cities

Under the influence of the new crown epidemic, first -tier cities with huge survival pressure are no longer the target of young people for chasing, and even a large number of workers have begun to escape from first -tier cities. At the same time, the population of second -tier cities has accelerated. According to the data, 64,000 first -tier cities were inflow in 2021, 3.11 million people flowed into second -tier cities, and 1.873 million people flowed out of third- and fourth -tier cities. Compared with 2019, the first -tier cities have inflows less than 500,000 people, and the scale of second -tier cities has increased by more than 1 million, and third -tier and fourth -tier cities have accelerated outflow.

2022 Baicheng Population flow diagram (source of the source: Zhuge Finding Data Research Center produced)

In just one or two years, the population flow has shifted significantly. The first -tier cities are no longer "fragrant". Some second -tier cities with good fundamentals and many potential opportunities are more popular with people. An important cause of the epidemic is the epidemic. Under the impact of the epidemic, all aspects of people's work and life are inevitable, the unemployment rate is raised, and the income is expected to be affected. At this time At this time, some second -tier cities are rising rapidly, and a large number of emerging industries are gradually introduced. The continuous improvement of the education and medical system has given second -tier cities a layer of gold, and the pressure on house prices and consumption is less than first -tier cities. Therefore, these cities It becomes the best choice for young generations. However, the disadvantages of third- and fourth -tier cities are also accelerating, lack of industrial and living facilities, poor survival conditions, and more appeared under the intensification of the epidemic, and it is not surprising that the acceleration of population accelerates.

After entering a city, some population will choose to buy a house to stay in this city for a long time. In addition, people in the short -term life will also choose to use rental houses to solve their own living needs. Therefore trend. According to data, the average rent of population flowing into cities rose 1.56%, while the average rent of cities flowing out of population fell 1.82%. Most of the cities with population inflow show a trend, while most cities with population flowing out of the population show a different degree of decline. Specifically, Wuhan, which ranked first in the population in, rose 1.75%in 2021, the rent of Chengdu rose 8%, and the rent level of cities such as Hangzhou and Xi'an also showed varying degrees. At the same time, although the population of Dalian, Zhengzhou, Shenyang, Taiyuan and other cities flowed into the trend, the rental level is still declining. These cities are northern cities and most of the provincial capital cities. The problem that the market is too demanding makes it difficult to rise at the level of rent. The population of Shenzhen, Foshan, Dongguan and other cities in the Pearl River Delta still continued to flow in, but compared with the past few years, the population of the flow was significantly reduced. The urban mobility population decreased, and the demand for rental houses decreased. From the perspective of rental levels, the rental decline in 2021 was between 0.5%-2%. Among the cities where the population flows, the rent levels of Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, Beijing, Yantai and other cities have fallen by more than 1%.

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