The S & P 500ETF (159612) rose nearly 0.5%, and the turnover exceeded 30 million yuan.

Author:Capital state Time:2022.08.30

Last night, the three major stock indexes of the U.S. stock index shocked and fell throughout the day.As of the close, the Dow fell 0.57%, the Nasdaq fell 1.02%, and the S & P fell 0.67%.Today, the S & P 500ETF (159612) rose nearly 0.5%, with a turnover of over 30 million yuan, and the premium transaction in the market.

Guosheng Securities pointed out that the subsequent fluctuations in U.S. stocks may increase, but the risk of continuous decline in the short term is limited.1) The US position may only significantly turn as early as November. The follow -up rate hike path is even more likely to be: September 75bp, November 50bp, December 25BP, February 25BP next year, and then stopped hikes, and in the second half of 2023, 2023, in the second half of 2023The probability is still likely to cut interest rates.2) U.S. stocks are still in the "buying expectations" stage, and subsequent fluctuations may increase, but the risk of continuous decline in the short term is limited.

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