Golden Valley Observation ｜ There will be an important counterattack window period early next month

Text/Kim Gu Ming

This week's A -shares have been repeated. On Wednesday, the Shanghai Index closed at 3236 points, and the weekly lines were yin, and the weekly decline was 0.67%. The weekly map kept the box finishing platform formed in the last 6 weeks.

On the daily map, the Shanghai Index fell below the 3265 -point line of defense this week, but the 3215 -point one -line defense line was held down. It can be preliminarily determined that when the intensive disclosure was gradually released in late August, the broader market had initially proved the support below.

I have said before, looking down, there is a medium and long -term defensive stock price box at 3070-3150 points, which provides strong support for the development of the market for the development of the market. Previously, on August 3, the broader market had already explored a low position on the upper edge of this stock price box, 3159 points. The low of the market this week is supported by 3215 points, which is much higher than the low on August 3. The Shenzhen City has not fallen below the low point on August 3 this week. This shows that the market is initially preliminary The support below is the support. The market market needs to further consolidate the results. The most important thing is to have a firm upside -down action. Of course, it is also necessary to have active support for fundamentals and messages.

On Wednesday's Yin Line, the Shanghai Index fell 1.86%, the Shenzhen Index fell 2.88%, and the GEM index fell 3.64%. Compared with the market since May this year, it can be called a middle yin line. The varieties of motors, semiconductor, photovoltaic, battery and other track are sold, and chips have been loosened.

In the cycle, the two trading days on Thursday and Friday were the continuation of the trend on Wednesday and did not form anti -kill. There are 3 trading days left in August. The disclosure of the interim report continues, the market itself has a certain structural risk aversion, coupled with pressure on the market, it is expected that the trend will still be defensive next week. The important counterattack (window period) should be in early September.

A key and obvious indicator is that the broader market must return to its 10 -day moving average to operate more operations and provide a more stable protection mechanism for general investors. Since the beginning of this week, the broader market has basically returned to the 10 -day moving average. This state needs to be completely changed. This state does not change, and the operation should be careful, and it is not appropriate to do too much on a single variety.

Source | Yangcheng Evening News • Yangcheng School

Editor -in -law | Hu Yan

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